66.6 average across 2 concepts
Local operating-model alignment analysis
Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Bronx, New York
We compared 14 franchise concepts for Bronx, New York. Local business demand was a leading positive mechanism. Route and curb productivity pressure was a leading operating constraint.
Evaluation set
Why these concepts were evaluated
This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.
Concepts were included when enough operating-model information existed to assign a provisional local-sensitivity profile. Unresolved inputs reduce confidence or remain conditional rather than automatically excluding a concept.
A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.
City-level conclusions
What stood out in our assessment
1.1 points average among 12 affected concepts
1.5 points average reduction among 13 affected concepts
Tested rank range spans 5 positions
Executive conclusion
What the ranking means for Bronx, New York
City Wide, ActionCOACH, and Jan-Pro International produced the highest modeled local-alignment scores in the evaluated set. Local business demand was the strongest positive scored mechanism among 10 exposed concepts, adding 1.1 points on average. Route and curb productivity pressure was the broadest operating constraint, reducing exposed concepts by 1.1 points on average. ZOOM DRAIN was especially relationship-sensitive: removing route and curb productivity pressure moved it from #12 to #9 in the full model rerun. These scores describe local operating alignment, not expected returns or overall franchise quality; the offered territory and franchise economics still require separate diligence.
How this differs from a directory: the model does not award points for brand popularity, advertising placement, or referral compensation. It tests how documented local conditions interact with each concept’s operating requirements.
Best franchise opportunities assessed
Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed
“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.
| Rank | Franchise | Alignment and tier | Largest advantage | Largest constraint | Evidence confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | City WideFacility managementInvestment: $229,729–$410,730 | 73.8Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment | +3.5 ptsTarget-market demand | -0.4 ptsLabor and staffing friction | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 2 | ActionCOACHBusiness coachingInvestment: $71,668–$303,513 | 72.3Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment | +2.0 ptsTarget-market demand | -0.2 ptsTerritory quality | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 3 | Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaningInvestment: $130,000–$421,500 | 70.1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +2.9 ptsTarget-market demand | -1.7 ptsLabor and staffing friction | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 4 | FASTSIGNSSigns and graphicsInvestment: $231,226–$386,285 | 70.1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +2.5 ptsTarget-market demand | -0.8 ptsTerritory quality | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 5 | HomeSmilesProperty maintenance servicesInvestment: $148,110–$201,800 | 69.8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +1.7 ptsTarget-market demand | -1.2 ptsLabor and staffing friction | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 6 | Tiger AdjustersPublic insurance adjustingInvestment: $43,050–$159,500 | 68.8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.3 ptsTarget-market demand | -0.5 ptsTransportation, routing, and parking | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 7 | Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome inspectionInvestment: $102,690–$134,290 | 68.3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.2 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand | -1.0 ptsTransportation, routing, and parking | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 8 | Rainbow International RestorationRestorationInvestment: $185,336–$351,900 | 66.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.6 ptsReferral ecosystem | -2.0 ptsLabor and staffing friction | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 9 | PuroCleanRestorationInvestment: $54,575–$262,145 | 66.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.6 ptsReferral ecosystem | -1.9 ptsLabor and staffing friction | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 10 | Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical | 66.3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +1.0 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand | -2.5 ptsLabor and staffing friction | Moderate evidence confidence |
Conditions that changed the analysis
What mattered most in Bronx, New York
Dense resident and business base supports broad local commercial demand without establishing uniform walk-in traffic
This relationship affected 10 concepts and added 1.1 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: Employer establishments, employer employment, annual payroll, and nonemployer establishments: employer establishments 2023: 18,674; employer employment 2023: 285,540; annual payroll 2023 usd: 15,984,872,000; nonemployer establishments 2022: 136,151 counts and usd. [4]
Truck-route, parkway, curb, bus-lane, and commercial-parking rules constrain vehicle-based operations
This relationship affected 14 concepts and reduced 1.1 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: Active bus lanes restrict goods delivery and are subject to automated enforcement: goods delivery in active bus lane permitted: no; fine range usd: 50, 250; citywide loading zones announced minimum: 500; buses with automated enforcement announced minimum: 1,000 rule summary and counts. [15] [16] [13] [14]
asset-light-b2b
This operating-model cluster separated from the broader set because its exposure to local support and constraints differed. The strongest positive factor was target-market demand, while the main constraint was labor and staffing friction. [8] [4] [7] [26] [9] [25] [27] [10] [3] [22]
Evidence behind the city mechanisms
Dense resident and business base supports broad local commercial demand without establishing uniform walk-in traffic1 modeled effect
Predominantly multifamily stock and elevated serious-code-violation incidence support building-system service demand and complexity3 local facts · 2 modeled effects · 3 sources
- Estimated housing units on July 1, 2025: 583,114 housing units [4]
- Housing tenure and structure profile: renter occupied share: 80; multi unit structure share: 89; housing units: 574,059 percent and units [5]
- Serious housing-code violations per 1,000 privately owned rental units in 2025: 271.5 violations per 1000 privately owned rental units [6]
Construction and maintenance wage levels indicate skilled-trade staffing pressure1 modeled effect
Truck-route, parkway, curb, bus-lane, and commercial-parking rules constrain vehicle-based operations1 modeled effect
Low retail availability and elevated corridor asking rents raise fixed-location site burden1 modeled effect
Large-building emissions rules create threshold-gated compliance burden and retrofit demand3 local facts · 2 modeled effects · 3 sources
- Local Law 97 covered-building size thresholds: single building gross sqft over: 25,000; same tax lot combined gross sqft over: 50,000; same condominium board combined gross sqft over: 50,000; first emissions limits year: 2,024; stricter limits year: 2,030 square feet and years [18]
- Local Law 97 noncompliance penalty formulas: article 320 late report usd per sqft per month: 0.5; article 320 excess emissions usd per metric ton per year: 268; article 321 late report usd: 10,000; article 321 compliance failure usd: 10,000 usd penalty formulas [19]
- Housing tenure and structure profile: renter occupied share: 80; multi unit structure share: 89; housing units: 574,059 percent and units [5]
Large Bronx healthcare systems support institutional service demand while creating role-specific labor and campus-containment considerations3 local facts · 3 modeled effects · 3 sources
- Health care and social assistance receipts or revenue in 2022: 17,269,742,000 usd [4]
- Bronx hospital and health-system economic and employment scale: economic activity usd: 16,758,000,000; jobs supported: 67,000; payroll expenditures usd: 6,074,000,000 usd and jobs [28]
- Montefiore Einstein network scale and Bronx campus presence: employees minimum: 40,000; patients annually minimum: 1,100,000; patient interactions annually minimum: 7,700,000; specialty care locations minimum: 300; named bronx campuses: Moses, Hutchinson, Einstein, Wakefield, Westchester Square network totals and named locations [27]
Healthcare, public-sector, and institutional buyers support referral opportunities but can require formal procurement3 local facts · 2 modeled effects · 3 sources
- Employer establishments, employer employment, annual payroll, and nonemployer establishments: employer establishments 2023: 18,674; employer employment 2023: 285,540; annual payroll 2023 usd: 15,984,872,000; nonemployer establishments 2022: 136,151 counts and usd [4]
- Health care and social assistance receipts or revenue in 2022: 17,269,742,000 usd [4]
- New York City agency opportunities use PASSPort and related vendor-registration and notice systems: passport required for contracting actions: yes; pip required for payment: yes; public opportunities browsable: yes; vendor enrollment may require approval time: yes; solicitations over 100000 advertised in city record: yes process summary [25] [26]
Compare all assessed concepts
Local impact by franchise concept
14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see the score-changing factors and their modeled drivers; the full audit ledger stays collapsed.
City Wide
Initial investment: $229,729–$410,730
Rank sensitivity: Stable
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +3.5 pts | |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.8 pts |
| Labor and staffing friction |
| -0.4 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -0.1 pts |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -0.1 pts |
| Net local movement | +3.76 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +3.5 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.4 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.1 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.8 |
| Territory quality | -0.1 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 73.76 |
| Published local-market alignment | 73.8 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +3.5 pts
- Tested rank range
- #1–#2
ActionCOACH
Initial investment: $71,668–$303,513
Rank sensitivity: Stable
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +2.0 pts | |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.7 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -0.2 pts |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -0.1 pts |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Institutional procurement-cycle friction EvidenceConditional — applicability must be confirmed | Not scored |
| Net local movement | +2.32 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +2.0 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Effect below the publication threshold |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.1 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Effect below the publication threshold |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.7 |
| Territory quality | -0.2 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 72.32 |
| Published local-market alignment | 72.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +2.0 pts
- Tested rank range
- #1–#2
Jan-Pro International
Initial investment: $130,000–$421,500
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +2.9 pts | |
| Labor and staffing friction |
| -1.7 pts |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -0.7 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -0.5 pts |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.2 pts |
| Net local movement | +0.15 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +2.9 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -1.7 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.7 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.2 |
| Territory quality | -0.5 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.15 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.1 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +2.9 pts
- Tested rank range
- #3–#7
FASTSIGNS
Initial investment: $231,226–$386,285
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +2.5 pts | |
| Territory quality |
| -0.8 pts |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -0.7 pts |
| Real estate and site feasibility |
| -0.7 pts |
| Labor and staffing friction |
| -0.6 pts |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.4 pts |
| Net local movement | +0.08 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +2.5 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.6 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.7 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | -0.7 |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | -0.8 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.08 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.1 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +2.5 pts
- Tested rank range
- #3–#6
HomeSmiles
Initial investment: $148,110–$201,800
Rank sensitivity: Stable
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +1.7 pts | |
| Labor and staffing friction | -1.2 pts | |
| Territory quality |
| -0.7 pts |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.7 pts |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -0.6 pts |
| Net local movement | -0.19 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +1.7 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -1.2 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.6 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.7 |
| Territory quality | -0.7 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 69.81 |
| Published local-market alignment | 69.8 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +1.7 pts
- Tested rank range
- #4–#5
Tiger Adjusters
Initial investment: $43,050–$159,500
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -0.5 pts |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.5 pts | |
| Territory quality |
| -0.4 pts |
| Target-market demand |
| +0.3 pts |
| Net local movement | -1.19 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.3 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.5 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.5 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | -0.4 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 68.81 |
| Published local-market alignment | 68.8 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Transportation, routing, and parking -0.5 pts
- Tested rank range
- #3–#6
Pillar To Post Home Inspectors
Initial investment: $102,690–$134,290
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -1.0 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -0.6 pts |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.4 pts | |
| Property replacement-cycle demand |
| +0.2 pts |
| Target-market demand |
| +0.2 pts |
| Net local movement | -1.70 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.2 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.2 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.4 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -1.0 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | -0.6 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 68.30 |
| Published local-market alignment | 68.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Transportation, routing, and parking -1.0 pts
- Tested rank range
- #5–#10
Rainbow International Restoration
Initial investment: $185,336–$351,900
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.0 pts | |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -1.6 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -0.7 pts |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.6 pts |
| Property replacement-cycle demand |
| +0.3 pts |
| Target-market demand |
| +0.2 pts |
| Net local movement | -3.26 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.2 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.3 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.0 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -1.6 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.6 |
| Territory quality | -0.7 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 66.74 |
| Published local-market alignment | 66.7 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Labor and staffing friction -2.0 pts
- Tested rank range
- #8–#10
PuroClean
Initial investment: $54,575–$262,145
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Labor and staffing friction | -1.9 pts | |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -1.8 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -0.7 pts |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.6 pts |
| Property replacement-cycle demand |
| +0.3 pts |
| Net local movement | -3.60 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.3 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -1.9 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -1.8 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.6 |
| Territory quality | -0.7 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 66.40 |
| Published local-market alignment | 66.4 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Labor and staffing friction -1.9 pts
- Tested rank range
- #9–#11
Mister Sparky Electric
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.5 pts | |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -1.5 pts |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +1.0 pts | |
| Territory quality |
| -0.7 pts |
| Net local movement | -3.74 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +1.0 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.5 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -1.5 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | -0.7 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 66.26 |
| Published local-market alignment | 66.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Labor and staffing friction -2.5 pts
- Tested rank range
- #8–#12
Aire Serv
Initial investment: $113,308–$271,708
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.6 pts | |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -1.8 pts |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.9 pts | |
| Territory quality |
| -0.7 pts |
| Target-market demand |
| +0.4 pts |
| Net local movement | -3.80 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.4 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.9 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.6 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -1.8 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | -0.7 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 66.20 |
| Published local-market alignment | 66.2 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Labor and staffing friction -2.6 pts
- Tested rank range
- #7–#12
ZOOM DRAIN
Initial investment: $266,250–$570,500
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -2.3 pts |
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.3 pts | |
| Territory quality |
| -0.8 pts |
| Referral ecosystem |
| +0.5 pts |
| Target-market demand |
| +0.4 pts |
| Property replacement-cycle demand |
| +0.4 pts |
| Net local movement | -4.03 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.4 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.4 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.3 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -2.3 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.5 |
| Territory quality | -0.8 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 65.97 |
| Published local-market alignment | 66.0 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Transportation, routing, and parking -2.3 pts
- Tested rank range
- #9–#13
Mr. Rooter
Initial investment: $152,900–$298,675
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.3 pts | |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -2.1 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -0.8 pts |
| Property replacement-cycle demand |
| +0.4 pts |
| Target-market demand |
| +0.3 pts |
| Net local movement | -4.42 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.3 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.4 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -2.3 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -2.1 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | -0.8 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 65.58 |
| Published local-market alignment | 65.6 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Labor and staffing friction -2.3 pts
- Tested rank range
- #12–#14
Workout Anytime
Initial investment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
Why it ranks here
Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.
| Local factor | Modeled drivers | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Real estate and site feasibility |
| -1.5 pts |
| Territory quality |
| -1.4 pts |
| Target-market demand |
| -1.3 pts |
| Labor and staffing friction |
| -0.9 pts |
| Transportation, routing, and parking |
| -0.2 pts |
| Net local movement | -5.43 pts | |
Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.
Franchise evidence
Source material assessed
Full calculation and evidence confidence
Audit layer
Full factor ledger
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | -1.3 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.9 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.2 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | -1.5 |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | -1.4 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 64.57 |
| Published local-market alignment | 64.6 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Strong
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Adequate
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Real estate and site feasibility -1.5 pts
- Tested rank range
- #11–#14
No franchise concepts match the selected filters.
Worked score example
How we calculated City Wide
This example uses the same ledger shown for every concept and must reconcile exactly to the published score.
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not mistaken for a score-changing effect.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +3.5 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | -0.4 |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | -0.1 |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.8 |
| Territory quality | -0.1 |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 73.76 |
| Published local-market alignment | 73.8 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Factor impact
Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?
We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.
Target-market demand
We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.
Why concepts react differently
We applied a measurable adjustment to 12 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 11 concepts changed position. Jan-Pro International moved from #3 to #7, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
What we observed
- Resident Population Estimate On July 1, 20251,406,332 people
- Population Density In 202034,920.2 people per square mile
- Employer Establishments, Employer Employment, Annual Payroll, And Nonemployer Establishmentsemployer establishments 2023: 18,674; employer employment 2023: 285,540; annual payroll 2023 usd: 15,984,872,000; nonemployer establishments 2022: 136,151 counts and usd
Concepts helped most
Concepts challenged most
Property replacement-cycle demand
We compared the age and condition of relevant property systems with the services each concept is actually equipped to provide.
Why concepts react differently
We applied a measurable adjustment to 7 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 3 concepts changed position. ZOOM DRAIN moved from #12 to #10, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
Concepts helped most
Labor and staffing friction
We compared each concept’s frontline and specialist staffing requirements with the local labor environment.
Why concepts react differently
We applied a measurable adjustment to 13 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 7 concepts changed position. Aire Serv moved from #11 to #7, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
What we observed
- New York City Minimum Wage Effective January 1, 202617 usd per hour
- Selected Major Occupational Group Mean Hourly Wages Compared With National Averagesall occupations: metro: 41.5, united states: 33.54; food preparation and serving: metro: 22.22, united states: 17.86; building and grounds: metro: 23.02, united states: 19.66; sales: metro: 36.03, united states: 26.43; office and administrative: metro: 28.72, united states: 24.79; construction and extraction: metro: 39.49, united states: 31.42; installation maintenance and repair: metro: 34.5, united states: 30.44; transportation and material moving: metro: 27.92, united states: 23.96 usd per hour
- Serious Housing Code Violations Per 1,000 Privately Owned Rental Units In 2025271.5 violations per 1000 privately owned rental units
Concepts challenged most
Transportation, routing, and parking
We recalculated route-dependent models after accounting for travel corridors, parking, and the number of productive stops they require.
Why concepts react differently
We applied a measurable adjustment to 14 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 6 concepts changed position. ZOOM DRAIN moved from #12 to #8, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
What we observed
- Commercial Vehicle Curb And Overnight Parking Rulesgeneral maximum street parking hours: 3; residential street prohibition start: 21:00; residential street prohibition end: 05:00; hunts point ibz overnight pilot: yes hours and rule summary
- Active Bus Lanes Restrict Goods Delivery And Are Subject To Automated Enforcementgoods delivery in active bus lane permitted: no; fine range usd: 50, 250; citywide loading zones announced minimum: 500; buses with automated enforcement announced minimum: 1,000 rule summary and counts
- Tolls Apply When Eligible Bronx Origin Commercial Routes Enter Manhattan's Congestion Relief Zonesmall commercial vehicle peak toll usd: 9; small commercial vehicle overnight toll usd: 2.25; truck peak toll range usd: 14.4, 21.6 usd per entry
Concepts challenged most
Real estate and site feasibility
We applied site and operating-base constraints only to concepts requiring comparable storefront, production, warehouse, or fleet space.
Why concepts react differently
We applied a measurable adjustment to 2 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 5 concepts changed position. Workout Anytime moved from #14 to #12, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
What we observed
- Observed Bronx Storefront Vacancy Rate As Of April 15, 20268 percent of storefronts
- Storefront Vacancy Varied Materially Within The Bronxhutchinson metro center percent: 18.6; areas reported above 10 percent: Mott Haven, Crotona, Eastchester; persistent vacancy areas: Concourse, Claremont Village, Crotona, Eastchester, Pelham Gardens, Kingsbridge, Norwood percent and named areas
- Bronx Retail Availability And Asking Rents In Q1 2026availability rate percent: 7.31; average asking rent usd psf year: 64.89; fordham road asking rent usd psf year: 125.22; inventory sqft: 31,325,105 percent usd per sqft and sqft
Concepts challenged most
Referral ecosystem
We tested whether the local professional and institutional referral ecosystem materially separated the assessed concepts.
Why concepts react differently
We applied a measurable adjustment to 8 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 6 concepts changed position. Rainbow International Restoration moved from #8 to #10, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
Concepts helped most
Territory quality
We measured whether the territory structure could support the required customer density, service radius, and operating model.
Why concepts react differently
We applied a measurable adjustment to 14 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 2 concepts changed position. FASTSIGNS moved from #4 to #3, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
What we observed
- Observed Bronx Storefront Vacancy Rate As Of April 15, 20268 percent of storefronts
- Storefront Vacancy Varied Materially Within The Bronxhutchinson metro center percent: 18.6; areas reported above 10 percent: Mott Haven, Crotona, Eastchester; persistent vacancy areas: Concourse, Claremont Village, Crotona, Eastchester, Pelham Gardens, Kingsbridge, Norwood percent and named areas
- The Special City Island District Imposes Localized Use, Height, Setback, And Sign Controlsspecial sign controls: yes; special setback controls: yes; height controls: yes; use limitations: yes rule summary
Concepts challenged most
- Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
- Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
- Regulatory and operating frictionNo material score adjustment
Rank stability
Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?
The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.
Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.
Original factor comparison
How each factor affected the highest-rated franchise concepts
The graph includes the top 14 concepts by local-alignment score. Only nonzero score contributions are plotted. A factor is removed when every displayed concept received 0.0 points from it. Hover or focus a concept name to highlight all of its remaining data points.
View the chart data as a table
| Concept | Target-market demand | Property replacement-cycle demand | Labor and staffing friction | Transportation, routing, and parking | Real estate and site feasibility | Referral ecosystem | Territory quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 City Wide | +3.5 pts | — | -0.4 pts | -0.1 pts | — | +0.8 pts | -0.1 pts |
| #2 ActionCOACH | +2.0 pts | — | — | -0.1 pts | — | +0.7 pts | -0.2 pts |
| #3 Jan-Pro International | +2.9 pts | — | -1.7 pts | -0.7 pts | — | +0.2 pts | -0.5 pts |
| #4 FASTSIGNS | +2.5 pts | — | -0.6 pts | -0.7 pts | -0.7 pts | +0.4 pts | -0.8 pts |
| #5 HomeSmiles | +1.7 pts | — | -1.2 pts | -0.6 pts | — | +0.7 pts | -0.7 pts |
| #6 Tiger Adjusters | +0.3 pts | — | -0.5 pts | -0.5 pts | — | — | -0.4 pts |
| #7 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors | +0.2 pts | +0.2 pts | -0.4 pts | -1.0 pts | — | — | -0.6 pts |
| #8 Rainbow International Restoration | +0.2 pts | +0.3 pts | -2.0 pts | -1.6 pts | — | +0.6 pts | -0.7 pts |
| #9 PuroClean | — | +0.3 pts | -1.9 pts | -1.8 pts | — | +0.6 pts | -0.7 pts |
| #10 Mister Sparky Electric | — | +1.0 pts | -2.5 pts | -1.5 pts | — | — | -0.7 pts |
| #11 Aire Serv | +0.4 pts | +0.9 pts | -2.6 pts | -1.8 pts | — | — | -0.7 pts |
| #12 ZOOM DRAIN | +0.4 pts | +0.4 pts | -2.3 pts | -2.3 pts | — | +0.5 pts | -0.8 pts |
| #13 Mr. Rooter | +0.3 pts | +0.4 pts | -2.3 pts | -2.1 pts | — | — | -0.8 pts |
| #14 Workout Anytime | -1.3 pts | — | -0.9 pts | -0.2 pts | -1.5 pts | — | -1.4 pts |
Interpretation
How to interpret the result
City Wide, ActionCOACH, Jan-Pro International led because their operating requirements captured more of the local support from target-market demand while remaining less exposed to labor and staffing friction. The same city condition can help one operating model and constrain another, so score differences should be read through each concept's factor pattern rather than as a universal franchise-quality verdict. The ordering is most assumption-sensitive for Jan-Pro International, Pillar To Post Home Inspectors, Mister Sparky Electric; their ranks move more widely when individual factors are neutralized.
Category comparisons
Best franchise categories we assessed in Bronx, New York
Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.
Best Restoration franchise opportunities we assessed in Bronx, New York
2 Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 66.4 to 66.7. Rainbow International Restoration ranked highest at 66.7. Referral ecosystem added 0.6 points on average among the affected concepts. Labor and staffing friction reduced the exposed concepts by 2 points on average.
Interpret cautiously: A 0.3-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.
- Concepts compared
- 2
- Score range
- 66.4–66.7
- Category average
- 66.6
Metric registry
The 33 local metrics behind this analysis
The registry shows each public metric’s raw value, period, geography, source, and its actual role in the compiled analysis.
View all local metrics
| Metric | Raw value | Period | Geography | Role in analysis | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025 | 1,406,332people | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Used in scoring | [4] |
| Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025 | -4.5percent | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Context only | [4] |
| Population density in 2020 | 34,920.2people per square mile | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Used in scoring | [4] |
| Land area | 42.17square miles | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Context only | [4] |
| Estimated housing units on July 1, 2025 | 583,114housing units | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Supports modeled relationship | [4] |
| Housing units authorized by building permits in 2025 | 6,032housing units | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Context only | [4] |
| Housing tenure and structure profile | renter occupied share: 80; multi unit structure share: 89; housing units: 574,059percent and units | 2024 American Community Survey 1-year and 5-year estimates as labeled | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Supports modeled relationship | [5] |
| Rental vacancy and median gross rent indicators | rental vacancy rate: 2.4; median gross rent 2025 dollars: 1,510; median recent mover rent 2025 dollars: 1,780percent and usd per month | Housing and neighborhood indicators through 2025, with 2024 ACS rent and housing values | Bronx, New York | Used in scoring | [6] |
| Renter households spending more than 50 percent of household income on rent in 2024 | 35.8percent of renter households | Housing and neighborhood indicators through 2025, with 2024 ACS rent and housing values | Bronx, New York | Used in scoring | [6] |
| Serious housing-code violations per 1,000 privately owned rental units in 2025 | 271.5violations per 1000 privately owned rental units | Housing and neighborhood indicators through 2025, with 2024 ACS rent and housing values | Bronx, New York | Used in scoring | [6] |
| Employer establishments, employer employment, annual payroll, and nonemployer establishments | employer establishments 2023: 18,674; employer employment 2023: 285,540; annual payroll 2023 usd: 15,984,872,000; nonemployer establishments 2022: 136,151counts and usd | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Used in scoring | [4] |
| Health care and social assistance receipts or revenue in 2022 | 17,269,742,000usd | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Used in scoring | [4] |
| Retail and accommodation-and-food-service sales in 2022 | retail sales usd: 11,798,408,000; accommodation and food services sales usd: 1,979,761,000usd | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Context only | [4] |
| Median household income and persons in poverty | median household income usd: 48,676; persons in poverty percent: 28.7usd and percent | July 1, 2025 population and housing estimates; 2020-2024 ACS; 2022 economic metrics; 2025 building permits | Bronx borough / Bronx County, New York | Used in scoring | [4] |
| Observed Bronx storefront vacancy rate as of April 15, 2026 | 8percent of storefronts | Observed storefront status through April 15, 2026 | Bronx, New York | Used in scoring | [7] |
| Storefront vacancy varied materially within the Bronx | hutchinson metro center percent: 18.6; areas reported above 10 percent: Mott Haven, Crotona, Eastchester; persistent vacancy areas: Concourse, Claremont Village, Crotona, Eastchester, Pelham Gardens, Kingsbridge, Norwoodpercent and named areas | Observed storefront status through April 15, 2026 | Selected Bronx neighborhoods and commercial corridors | Used in scoring | [7] |
| Bronx retail availability and asking rents in Q1 2026 | availability rate percent: 7.31; average asking rent usd psf year: 64.89; fordham road asking rent usd psf year: 125.22; inventory sqft: 31,325,105percent usd per sqft and sqft | Q1 2026 | Bronx retail market; Fordham Road corridor | Used in scoring | [10] |
| Current industrial-market indicators do not establish borough-wide critical scarcity | bronx vacancy rate percent: 8.6; bronx ytd net absorption sqft: -634,096; outer borough average asking rent usd psf year: 27.5percent sqft and usd per sqft | Q2 2026 | Bronx industrial submarket and New York outer-borough industrial market | Context only | [11] |
| Selected major occupational-group mean hourly wages compared with national averages | all occupations: metro: 41.5, united states: 33.54; food preparation and serving: metro: 22.22, united states: 17.86; building and grounds: metro: 23.02, united states: 19.66; sales: metro: 36.03, united states: 26.43; office and administrative: metro: 28.72, united states: 24.79; construction and extraction: metro: 39.49, united states: 31.42; installation maintenance and repair: metro: 34.5, united states: 30.44; transportation and material moving: metro: 27.92, united states: 23.96usd per hour | May 2025 | New York-Newark-Jersey City metropolitan statistical area | Used in scoring | [8] |
| New York City minimum wage effective January 1, 2026 | 17usd per hour | Effective January 1, 2026 | New York City | Used in scoring | [9] |
| Montefiore Einstein network scale and Bronx campus presence | employees minimum: 40,000; patients annually minimum: 1,100,000; patient interactions annually minimum: 7,700,000; specialty care locations minimum: 300; named bronx campuses: Moses, Hutchinson, Einstein, Wakefield, Westchester Squarenetwork totals and named locations | Current institutional figures displayed August 2026 | Montefiore Einstein network with major Bronx campuses | Supports modeled relationship | [27] |
| Bronx hospital and health-system economic and employment scale | economic activity usd: 16,758,000,000; jobs supported: 67,000; payroll expenditures usd: 6,074,000,000usd and jobs | Data mainly from 2024 New York hospital cost reports and 2023 regional multipliers | Bronx County, New York | Supports modeled relationship | [28] |
| Truck movements are constrained by the designated truck-route network and parkway prohibitions | truck route network required: yes; parkways generally prohibit trucks: yes; off route destination access: nearest permissible routerule summary | Current rules accessed August 2026 | New York City truck network and Bronx roadways | Used in scoring | [12] |
| Commercial-vehicle curb and overnight parking rules | general maximum street parking hours: 3; residential street prohibition start: 21:00; residential street prohibition end: 05:00; hunts point ibz overnight pilot: yeshours and rule summary | Current rules and pilot locations accessed August 2026 | New York City; Hunts Point Industrial Business Zone in the Bronx | Used in scoring | [13] [14] |
| Active bus lanes restrict goods delivery and are subject to automated enforcement | goods delivery in active bus lane permitted: no; fine range usd: 50, 250; citywide loading zones announced minimum: 500; buses with automated enforcement announced minimum: 1,000rule summary and counts | Current rules accessed August 2026 | New York City bus lanes and loading zones | Used in scoring | [15] [16] |
| Tolls apply when eligible Bronx-origin commercial routes enter Manhattan's congestion-relief zone | small commercial vehicle peak toll usd: 9; small commercial vehicle overnight toll usd: 2.25; truck peak toll range usd: 14.4, 21.6usd per entry | Toll schedule active August 2026 | Manhattan congestion-relief zone for routes originating in the Bronx | Used in scoring | [17] |
| Local Law 97 covered-building size thresholds | single building gross sqft over: 25,000; same tax lot combined gross sqft over: 50,000; same condominium board combined gross sqft over: 50,000; first emissions limits year: 2,024; stricter limits year: 2,030square feet and years | Compliance beginning in 2024; 2026 Covered Buildings List published March 2026 | Covered buildings in the Bronx under New York City law | Supports modeled relationship | [18] |
| Local Law 97 noncompliance penalty formulas | article 320 late report usd per sqft per month: 0.5; article 320 excess emissions usd per metric ton per year: 268; article 321 late report usd: 10,000; article 321 compliance failure usd: 10,000usd penalty formulas | Penalty formulas current August 2026 | Buildings subject to Local Law 97 Articles 320 and 321 | Supports modeled relationship | [19] |
| Business signs are governed by construction, zoning, special-district, and historic-district rules | permit generally required unless painted or smaller than sqft: 6; zoning district controls size location projection and illumination: yes; special district and historic district rules may apply: yesrule summary and square feet | Current zoning and permit guidance accessed August 2026 | Business premises in the Bronx | Conditional relationship | [20] |
| Tier A street frontage rules apply blank-wall and ground-floor parking restrictions to designated frontages | blank wall restrictions: yes; ground floor parking restrictions: yes; applies to development or ground floor enlargement: yes; change of use rules separately apply: yesrule summary | Current Zoning Resolution accessed August 2026 | Applicable Tier A street frontages in Bronx commercial and paired manufacturing districts | Conditional relationship | [21] |
| The Special City Island District imposes localized use, height, setback, and sign controls | special sign controls: yes; special setback controls: yes; height controls: yes; use limitations: yesrule summary | Current Zoning Resolution accessed August 2026 | Special City Island District, Bronx | Used in scoring | [22] |
| Commercial Waste Zones are fully implemented across Bronx East and Bronx West | fully implemented date: 2025-12-01; authorized carter contract required: yes; assignment at maximum allowable rate if no contract: yesdate and rule summary | Rollout status current August 2026 | All commercial establishments in Bronx East and Bronx West | Context only | [23] [24] |
| New York City agency opportunities use PASSPort and related vendor-registration and notice systems | passport required for contracting actions: yes; pip required for payment: yes; public opportunities browsable: yes; vendor enrollment may require approval time: yes; solicitations over 100000 advertised in city record: yesprocess summary | Current procurement platform accessed August 2026 | New York City agencies serving or buying in the Bronx | Supports modeled relationship | [25] [26] |
How to use the ranking
What the model can and cannot establish
- Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
- Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.
- Conditional effects are shown for diligence but do not change the published score until their applicability is established.
Methodology
How the local-alignment ranking is calculated
Measure the city
Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.
Profile each operating model
Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.
Apply scoreable effects
Score only effects whose applicability is established at the report’s current geographic and operating scope.
Preserve conditional effects
Keep location- or territory-dependent issues visible for diligence without automatically changing the score.
Test rank sensitivity
Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.
Generate public output
Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.
How the common baseline becomes a city-specific score
Every concept starts from the same 70.0 reference point, so differences come only from modeled local interactions. In this city, City Wide reached 73.76 after target-market demand +3.5 pts, referral ecosystem +0.8 pts, labor and staffing friction -0.4 pts, territory quality -0.1 pts, and transportation, routing, and parking -0.1 pts. The current model caps total local movement at ±18.0 points. The score is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.
Precision and materiality
Calculations use full-precision values. Published scores and factor contributions display one decimal place, while ranks use full precision. Effects smaller than 0.1 points are identified as below the publication threshold rather than presented as a meaningful zero.
Score tiers
How factor rows are classified
“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.
Model governance
How this report is calculated and corrected
Calculation controls
- Model designer
- Thomas Jepsen
No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Before this template is activated, the report is reviewed for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability.
Model history
- Model 0.9.0-calibration · August 19, 2026Added compiler-derived decision intelligence and observation usage mapping., Changed factor sensitivity and channel counterfactuals to full model reruns., Added data-dependent city content signals while preserving legacy public report fields., and Added model-owned semantic compatibility gates and backward-compatible channel-level evidence attribution.
Corrections policy
Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.
Source registry
Evidence represented in this report
Each source identifies its period, scope, and the claims or metrics it supports. Internal or supplied research is clearly distinguished from publicly accessible evidence.
- 1United States Structural Inefficiency and CRE Arbitrage AuditInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 2Jurisdictional Friction and Structural Capital Constraints: A Forensic Audit of Municipal Operating EnvironmentsInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 3Franchise data - 2 - riverside through charlotteInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 4QuickFacts: Bronx County, New York
Used for: Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025, Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025, Population density in 2020, Land area, and Estimated housing units on July 1, 2025
- 5Bronx borough, Bronx County, NY - Profile data
Used for: Housing tenure and structure profile
- 6The Bronx
Used for: Rental vacancy and median gross rent indicators, Renter households spending more than 50 percent of household income on rent in 2024, and Serious housing-code violations per 1,000 privately owned rental units in 2025
- 7Who's Minding the Storefronts? An Analysis of Storefront Vacancies in New York City
Used for: Observed Bronx storefront vacancy rate as of April 15, 2026 and Storefront vacancy varied materially within the Bronx
- 8Occupational Employment and Wages in New York-Newark-Jersey City — May 2025
Used for: Selected major occupational-group mean hourly wages compared with national averages
- 9New York State's Minimum Wage
Used for: New York City minimum wage effective January 1, 2026
- 10Q1 2026 Bronx Retail Leasing Market Report
Used for: Bronx retail availability and asking rents in Q1 2026
- 11New York Outer Boroughs Industrial MarketBeat Q2 2026
Used for: Current industrial-market indicators do not establish borough-wide critical scarcity
- 12Truck Routing
Used for: Truck movements are constrained by the designated truck-route network and parkway prohibitions
- 13Parking a Truck or Commercial Vehicle
Used for: Commercial-vehicle curb and overnight parking rules
- 14Parking Rules and Regulations
Used for: Commercial-vehicle curb and overnight parking rules
- 15Bus Lanes
Used for: Active bus lanes restrict goods delivery and are subject to automated enforcement
- 16NYC DOT Announces Expansion of Loading Zones and Automated Enforcement
Used for: Active bus lanes restrict goods delivery and are subject to automated enforcement
- 17Congestion Relief Zone Tolling
Used for: Tolls apply when eligible Bronx-origin commercial routes enter Manhattan's congestion-relief zone
- 18LL97 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Reduction
Used for: Local Law 97 covered-building size thresholds
- 19LL97 GHG Emissions Violations
Used for: Local Law 97 noncompliance penalty formulas
- 20Installing a Business Sign: A Step-by-Step Guide
Used for: Business signs are governed by construction, zoning, special-district, and historic-district rules
- 21Zoning Resolution Sections 32-30 and 32-31: Streetscape and Tier A Street Frontage Regulations
Used for: Tier A street frontage rules apply blank-wall and ground-floor parking restrictions to designated frontages
- 22Special City Island District
Used for: The Special City Island District imposes localized use, height, setback, and sign controls
- 23Commercial Waste Zones Rollout Schedule and Info Sessions
Used for: Commercial Waste Zones are fully implemented across Bronx East and Bronx West
- 24Commercial Waste Zones: What You Need to Do
Used for: Commercial Waste Zones are fully implemented across Bronx East and Bronx West
- 25About PASSPort
Used for: New York City agency opportunities use PASSPort and related vendor-registration and notice systems
- 26Vendor Instructions
Used for: New York City agency opportunities use PASSPort and related vendor-registration and notice systems
- 27Montefiore Einstein by the Numbers
Used for: Montefiore Einstein network scale and Bronx campus presence
- 28Bronx County (The Bronx): Economic & Community Benefit
Used for: Bronx hospital and health-system economic and employment scale
- 29
Before contacting a franchisor
Complete the next layer of due diligence
- Confirm the exact protected territory and neighboring units.
- Review the current Franchise Disclosure Document.
- Validate local staffing, licensing, insurance, and service-base assumptions.
- Obtain location, vehicle, buildout, or working-capital estimates.
- Speak with current and former franchisees.
- Build a candidate-specific financial scenario.
Apply the analysis to your situation
Review how these market findings apply to your budget, role, and proposed territory.
The city score does not include your experience, capital structure, time commitment, financing, or exact territory.















































































