Local operating-model alignment analysis

Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Dayton, Ohio

Compare 14 franchise concepts in Dayton and see how More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment shaped local-alignment scores.

What “best” means in this ranking“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page. It does not estimate earnings or determine which franchise is best for a particular candidate.
Analysis by Thomas Jepsen, MSc Model: 0.10.0

Bottom line

FASTSIGNS ranks first among the concepts assessed for Dayton, Ohio

We compared 14 franchise concepts against Dayton's local operating conditions. The More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment reported for Dayton region created one of the strongest positive local signals for concepts exposed to defense/aerospace economic concentration. [18] Dayton's 48.4% owner-occupied housing share created one of the more important local constraints for concepts exposed to low homeownership concentration. [1] [2]

FASTSIGNS scored 70.79. It leads City Wide Facility Solutions by 0.05 points. For Dayton region, the documented wright-patterson afb employment is More than 38,000 employees. For FASTSIGNS, this was the largest positive contribution, adding 0.45 points through defense/aerospace economic concentration. [18] The model applied its general operating-friction guardrail at 0.10 points. The largest direct difference versus City Wide Facility Solutions came from the +4.4% construction employment year-over-year growth reported for Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical Area, which contributed +0.32 points to FASTSIGNS versus 0.00 points to City Wide Facility Solutions. [4]

Evidence chain
  • Local condition: For Dayton region, the documented wright-patterson afb employment is More than 38,000 employees. [18]
  • Why it matters to this model: FASTSIGNS's operating model targets institutions or large commercial accounts, giving it direct exposure to defense/aerospace economic concentration.
  • Modeled consequence: The model assigned +0.45 points through defense/aerospace economic concentration.

What this means: this is a deterministic comparison of documented local conditions against resolved operating-model exposures. It is not an earnings forecast, investment recommendation, or franchise-quality rating.

Best franchise opportunities assessed

Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed

“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.

Rankings use full-precision scores.Displayed scoring values use two decimal places. Identical displayed scores can therefore have different ranks, and close results should be treated as effectively similar.
RankFranchiseAlignment and tierLargest advantageLargest constraintEvidence confidence
1FASTSIGNSSigns & GraphicsInvestment: $231,226–$386,285 Item 7 source
70.79Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.45 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.10 ptsgeneral operating-friction guardrail Moderate evidence confidence
2City Wide Facility SolutionsIntegrated Facility Management
70.74Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.48 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.10 ptsgeneral operating-friction guardrail Moderate evidence confidence
3JAN-PRO InternationalFranchise Consulting TrainingInvestment: $130,000–$421,500 Item 7 source
70.30Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.34 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.10 ptsgeneral operating-friction guardrail Moderate evidence confidence
4PuroCleanProperty RestorationInvestment: $54,575–$262,145 Item 7 source
70.15Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.35 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.37 pts48.4% owner-occupied housing share Moderate evidence confidence
5Rainbow International RestorationProperty RestorationInvestment: $185,336–$351,900 Item 7 source
70.11Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.32 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.36 pts48.4% owner-occupied housing share Moderate evidence confidence
6ActionCOACHBusiness CoachingInvestment: $71,668–$303,513 Item 7 source
70.01Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.13 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.10 ptsgeneral operating-friction guardrail Moderate evidence confidence
7Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome InspectionInvestment: $102,690–$134,290 Item 7 source
69.92Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.49 pts20.6% recent-mover share -0.54 pts48.4% owner-occupied housing share Moderate evidence confidence
8Workout AnytimeFull-Service FitnessInvestment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550 Item 7 source
69.75Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
No material positive scored relationship-0.20 pts$100,600 median owner-occupied home value Moderate evidence confidence
9Mr. RooterPlumbing & Drain ServicesInvestment: $152,900–$298,675 Item 7 source
69.70Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.24 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.54 pts48.4% owner-occupied housing share Moderate evidence confidence
10ZOOM DRAINPlumbing & Drain ServicesInvestment: $266,250–$570,500 Item 7 source
69.65Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.13 ptsMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment -0.54 pts48.4% owner-occupied housing share Moderate evidence confidence

View all 14 score calculations

Cross-concept impact analysis

The local conditions that moved scores most

A city condition changes a franchise score only when it intersects with a relevant operating-model exposure. The center shows average effect when applied; the surrounding ring shows how broadly that relationship reached across the concepts assessed.

Most impactful relationship #2
Local condition38,000Wright-Patterson AFB employment
Operating exposureDefense/aerospace economic concentration
9 of 14 concepts affected64% of concepts assessed
City Wide Facility SolutionsFASTSIGNSPuroCleanJAN-PRO International+5
Most impactful relationship #3
Local condition-0.7%Population change since 2020
Operating exposureBroad population or household decline
8 of 14 concepts affected57% of concepts assessed
HomeSmilesAire ServMr. RooterMister Sparky Electric+4
Most impactful relationship #4
Local condition51.6%Renter-occupied housing share
Operating exposureHigh renter-household concentration
8 of 14 concepts affected57% of concepts assessed
City Wide Facility SolutionsJAN-PRO InternationalFASTSIGNSZOOM DRAIN+4
Most impactful relationship #5
Local condition20.6%Recent-mover share
Operating exposureHigh housing turnover and occupancy change
1 of 14 concepts affected7% of concepts assessed
Pillar To Post Home Inspectors
Details for 48.4% owner-occupied housing share × Low homeownership concentration
Relationship #148.4% owner-occupied housing share Low homeownership concentration
Dayton evidence48.4% [1] [2]20.6% recent-mover share
Ohio
67.2%
Difference
-18.8 percentage points
Model exposureLow homeownership concentration

Most relevant modeled attributes: homeownership dependency.

Average effect-0.52 ptsTotal absolute modeled influence4.657 ptsLargest single effect-0.67 ptsEvidence confidenceModerate
Effect across concepts
Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical Services-0.67 pts
HomeSmilesRecurring Property Maintenance-0.60 pts
Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome Inspection-0.54 pts
Aire ServHVAC-0.54 pts
Mr. RooterPlumbing & Drain Services-0.54 pts
ZOOM DRAINPlumbing & Drain Services-0.54 pts
Tiger AdjustersPublic Adjusting & Claims Advocacy-0.48 pts
PuroCleanProperty Restoration-0.36 pts
Rainbow International RestorationProperty Restoration-0.36 pts
Selected by total absolute modeled influence across affected concepts.Open evidence chain
Details for More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment × Defense/aerospace economic concentration
Relationship #2More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment Defense/aerospace economic concentration
Dayton evidenceMore than 38,000 employees [18]20.6% recent-mover share
Model exposureDefense/aerospace economic concentration

Most relevant modeled attributes: institutional sales.

Average effect+0.30 ptsTotal absolute modeled influence2.676 ptsLargest single effect+0.48 ptsEvidence confidenceModerate
Effect across concepts
City Wide Facility SolutionsIntegrated Facility Management+0.48 pts
FASTSIGNSSigns & Graphics+0.45 pts
PuroCleanProperty Restoration+0.35 pts
JAN-PRO InternationalFranchise Consulting Training+0.34 pts
Rainbow International RestorationProperty Restoration+0.32 pts
Mr. RooterPlumbing & Drain Services+0.24 pts
HomeSmilesRecurring Property Maintenance+0.24 pts
ActionCOACHBusiness Coaching+0.13 pts
ZOOM DRAINPlumbing & Drain Services+0.13 pts
Selected by total absolute modeled influence across affected concepts.Open evidence chain
Details for -0.7% population change since 2020 × Broad population or household decline
Relationship #3-0.7% population change since 2020 Broad population or household decline
Dayton evidence-0.7% [1] [2]20.6% recent-mover share
Ohio
0.9%
Difference
-1.6 percentage points
Model exposureBroad population or household decline

Most relevant modeled attributes: recurring residential demand and local business density dependence.

Average effect-0.11 ptsTotal absolute modeled influence0.861 ptsLargest single effect-0.16 ptsEvidence confidenceModerate
Effect across concepts
HomeSmilesRecurring Property Maintenance-0.16 pts
Aire ServHVAC-0.13 pts
Mr. RooterPlumbing & Drain Services-0.13 pts
Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical Services-0.12 pts
ZOOM DRAINPlumbing & Drain Services-0.09 pts
FASTSIGNSSigns & Graphics-0.09 pts
JAN-PRO InternationalFranchise Consulting Training-0.07 pts
ActionCOACHBusiness Coaching-0.07 pts
Selected by total absolute modeled influence across affected concepts.Open evidence chain
Details for 51.6% renter-occupied housing share × High renter-household concentration
Relationship #451.6% renter-occupied housing share High renter-household concentration
Dayton evidence51.6% [1] [2]20.6% recent-mover share
Ohio
32.8%
Difference
+18.8 percentage points
Model exposureHigh renter-household concentration

Most relevant modeled attributes: multi family housing dependency.

Average effect+0.08 ptsTotal absolute modeled influence0.626 ptsLargest single effect+0.15 ptsEvidence confidenceModerate
Effect across concepts
City Wide Facility SolutionsIntegrated Facility Management+0.15 pts
JAN-PRO InternationalFranchise Consulting Training+0.09 pts
FASTSIGNSSigns & Graphics+0.07 pts
ZOOM DRAINPlumbing & Drain Services+0.07 pts
PuroCleanProperty Restoration+0.06 pts
Rainbow International RestorationProperty Restoration+0.06 pts
HomeSmilesRecurring Property Maintenance+0.06 pts
Tiger AdjustersPublic Adjusting & Claims Advocacy+0.05 pts
Selected by total absolute modeled influence across affected concepts.Open evidence chain
Details for 20.6% recent-mover share × High housing turnover and occupancy change
Relationship #520.6% recent-mover share High housing turnover and occupancy change
Dayton evidence20.6% [1] [2]20.6% recent-mover share
Ohio
11.9%
Difference
+8.7 percentage points
Model exposureHigh housing turnover and occupancy change

Most relevant modeled attributes: housing turnover dependency and real estate transaction dependency.

Average effect+0.49 ptsTotal absolute modeled influence0.490 ptsLargest single effect+0.49 ptsEvidence confidenceModerate
Effect across concepts
Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome Inspection+0.49 pts
Selected by total absolute modeled influence across affected concepts.Open evidence chain

Modeled evidence traces

Why the same Dayton conditions affect franchise models differently

Each trace follows one documented local condition through resolved operating-model exposure, exact score contribution, and the resulting modeled difference. Open either image for the full-size analytical view.

Why the ranking came out this way

Why the top concepts are nearly tied

The comparison, score path, and counterfactual below all use the same contribution ledger as the published ranking.

Head-to-head

FASTSIGNS vs. City Wide Facility Solutions

The modeled gap is small enough that the two concepts should be treated as a leading cluster rather than a decisive first and second place.

Modeled gap: +0.05 pts
Modeled relationshipFASTSIGNSCity Wide Facility SolutionsDifference
+4.4% construction employment year-over-year growth [4]+0.32 pts0.00 pts+0.32 pts
$4.379 billion health care and social assistance receipts [1] [22]+0.07 pts+0.18 pts-0.11 pts
51.6% renter-occupied housing share [1] [2]+0.07 pts+0.15 pts-0.07 pts

The +4.4% construction employment year-over-year growth reported for Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical Area created the largest modeled gap in this head-to-head: +0.32 points for FASTSIGNS versus 0.00 points for City Wide Facility Solutions. [4]

How to interpret the leading cluster

FASTSIGNS, City Wide Facility Solutions, and JAN-PRO International gained more than the rest of the field from More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment and $4.379 billion health care and social assistance receipts through target-market demand. The ordering is assumption-sensitive for FASTSIGNS, City Wide Facility Solutions, and JAN-PRO International when individual factors are neutralized and the model is rerun. The same city condition can help one operating model while constraining another, so this ranking describes local operating alignment rather than universal franchise quality. [18] [1] [22]

Contribution path

Contribution path for FASTSIGNS

Baseline70.00Final70.79Net change+0.79 pts
Scored local driverRelationship effectScore after driver
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment [18]Defense/aerospace economic concentration
+0.45 pts
70.45
+4.4% construction employment year-over-year growth [4]Construction and renovation activity
+0.32 pts
70.77
general operating-friction guardrailGeneral operating friction
-0.10 pts
70.67
-0.7% population change since 2020 [1] [2]Broad population or household decline
-0.09 pts
70.58
51.6% renter-occupied housing share [1] [2]High renter-household concentration
+0.07 pts
70.65
$4.379 billion health care and social assistance receipts [1] [22]Healthcare institutional service demand
+0.07 pts
70.72
Other modeled adjustments below the display threshold
+0.07 pts
70.79
View the full score ledger for FASTSIGNS

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand+0.86
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating friction-0.10
Full-precision calculated score70.793
Published local-market alignment70.79

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

14Concepts evaluated
35Local sources used
31Primary local sources
56Local metrics

Evaluation set

Why these concepts were evaluated

This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.

14Concepts assessed

Concepts were included when the available operating-model evidence supported a deterministic local-sensitivity profile. Brand participation in our referral network does not affect the score.

A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.

City-level conclusions

What stood out in our assessment

Highest category average (limited comparison)Property Restoration

70.13 average across 2 concepts

Largest positive factorLabor and staffing friction

0.07 points average among 4 affected concepts

Largest negative factorTarget-market demand

0.08 points average reduction among 14 affected concepts

Most assumption-sensitive rankHomeSmiles

Tested rank range spans 11 positions

Conditions that changed the analysis

What mattered most in Dayton, Ohio

01

Defense/aerospace economic concentration

This relationship affected 9 concepts and added 0.30 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment. [18]

02

Low homeownership concentration

This relationship affected 9 concepts and reduced 0.52 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: 48.4% owner-occupied housing share. [1] [2]

Evidence behind the city mechanisms

Low homeownership concentration1 local fact · 1 modeled effect · 2 sources
Low homeownership concentrationTarget-market demand
  • 48.4% owner-occupied housing share [1] [2]
Low household purchasing and property-project capacity2 local facts · 1 modeled effect · 2 sources
Low household purchasing and property-project capacityTarget-market demand
  • $45,247 median household income [1] [2]
  • 26.9% poverty rate [1] [2]
Defense/aerospace economic concentration1 local fact · 1 modeled effect · 1 source
Defense/aerospace economic concentrationTarget-market demand
  • More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment [18]

Compare all assessed concepts

Local impact by franchise concept

14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see every material score-changing relationship, with factor net shown only as secondary context; the full audit ledger stays collapsed.

#1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.79

FASTSIGNS

Signs & Graphics · b2b fixed center sign graphics production sales and installation

Initial investment: $231,226–$386,285 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.45 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.10 pts general operating-friction guardrail

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.98 pts
Constraints-0.19 pts
Net local movement+0.793 pts
Final score70.79

6 material local relationships changed this score: 4 advantages and 2 constraints. 3 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.069 pts.

Largest individual score driverMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.45 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal+0.86 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #1 to #2 without this driver.+0.45 ptsModerateEvidence
+4.4% construction employment year-over-year growth+0.32 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.09 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.07 ptsModerateEvidence
$4.379 billion health care and social assistance receipts+0.07 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Regulatory and operating friction

Factor subtotal-0.10 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
general operating-friction guardrail-0.10 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement+0.793 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintCity of Dayton vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintMontgomery County vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
2 images
Additional brand source material assessed
3 sources
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand+0.86
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating friction-0.10
Full-precision calculated score70.793
Published local-market alignment70.79

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.86 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#10
#2Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.74

City Wide Facility Solutions

Integrated Facility Management · sales-led B2B integrated facility-management coordinator

Advantage +0.48 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.10 pts general operating-friction guardrail

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.88 pts
Constraints-0.14 pts
Net local movement+0.742 pts
Final score70.74

4 material local relationships changed this score: 3 advantages and 1 constraint. 5 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.041 pts.

Largest individual score driverMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.48 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal+0.83 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #2 to #1 without this driver.+0.48 ptsModerateEvidence
$4.379 billion health care and social assistance receipts+0.18 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.15 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Regulatory and operating friction

Factor subtotal-0.10 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
general operating-friction guardrail-0.10 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement+0.742 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintCity of Dayton vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintMontgomery County vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand+0.83
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating friction-0.10
Full-precision calculated score70.742
Published local-market alignment70.74

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.83 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#12
#3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.30

JAN-PRO International

Franchise Consulting Training · regional franchisor business support and commercial account development office

Initial investment: $130,000–$421,500 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.34 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.10 pts general operating-friction guardrail

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.53 pts
Constraints-0.22 pts
Net local movement+0.305 pts
Final score70.30

5 material local relationships changed this score: 2 advantages and 3 constraints. 4 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.096 pts.

Largest individual score driverMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.34 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal+0.38 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentLargest driverRelationship test: Rank stays #3 without this driver.+0.34 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.09 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.07 ptsModerateEvidence
$100,600 median owner-occupied home value-0.05 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Regulatory and operating friction

Factor subtotal-0.10 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
general operating-friction guardrail-0.10 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement+0.305 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintCity of Dayton vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintMontgomery County vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand+0.38
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating friction-0.10
Full-precision calculated score70.305
Published local-market alignment70.30

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.38 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#11
#4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.15

PuroClean

Property Restoration · mobile emergency property-restoration and remediation operator with insurance, property-manager and commercial-account…

Initial investment: $54,575–$262,145 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.35 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.37 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.51 pts
Constraints-0.36 pts
Net local movement+0.150 pts
Final score70.15

3 material local relationships changed this score: 2 advantages and 1 constraint. 4 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.104 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.36 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal+0.11 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #4 to #3 without this driver.-0.36 ptsModerateEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.35 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.06 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement+0.150 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintCity of Dayton vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintMontgomery County vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintI-75 corridor construction disruptionTransportation, routing, and parking
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand+0.11
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score70.150
Published local-market alignment70.15

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.11 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#7
#5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.11

Rainbow International Restoration

Property Restoration · emergency property restoration and remediation

Initial investment: $185,336–$351,900 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.32 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.36 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.47 pts
Constraints-0.36 pts
Net local movement+0.111 pts
Final score70.11

3 material local relationships changed this score: 2 advantages and 1 constraint. 4 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.092 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.36 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal+0.07 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #5 to #4 without this driver.-0.36 ptsModerateEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.32 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.06 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement+0.111 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintI-75 corridor construction disruptionTransportation, routing, and parking
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintCity of Dayton vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintMontgomery County vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand+0.07
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score70.111
Published local-market alignment70.11

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.07 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#8
#6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.01

ActionCOACH

Business Coaching · home-based B2B business coaching and executive advisory franchise

Initial investment: $71,668–$303,513 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.13 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.10 pts general operating-friction guardrail

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.18 pts
Constraints-0.17 pts
Net local movement+0.012 pts
Final score70.01

3 material local relationships changed this score: 1 advantage and 2 constraints. 3 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.045 pts.

Largest individual score driverMore than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.13 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal+0.11 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #6 to #5 without this driver.+0.13 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.07 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Regulatory and operating friction

Factor subtotal-0.10 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
general operating-friction guardrail-0.10 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement+0.012 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintCity of Dayton vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintMontgomery County vendor-onboarding frictionReferral ecosystem
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand+0.11
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating friction-0.10
Full-precision calculated score70.012
Published local-market alignment70.01

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.11 pts
Tested rank range
#6–#13
#7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.92

Pillar To Post Home Inspectors

Home Inspection · transaction-linked mobile home-inspection service with executive multi-inspector ownership

Initial investment: $102,690–$134,290 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.49 pts 20.6% recent-mover shareConstraint -0.54 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.53 pts
Constraints-0.61 pts
Net local movement-0.076 pts
Final score69.92

2 material local relationships changed this score: 1 advantage and 1 constraint. 3 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to -0.022 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.54 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.12 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #7 to #5 without this driver.-0.54 ptsModerateEvidence
20.6% recent-mover share+0.49 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.076 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Additional brand source material assessed
2 sources
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.12
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score69.924
Published local-market alignment69.92

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.12 pts
Tested rank range
#7–#9
#8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.75

Workout Anytime

Full-Service Fitness · fixed location value priced recurring membership fitness club

Initial investment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550 · Item 7 evidence below

No material positive local adjustment identifiedConstraint -0.20 pts $100,600 median owner-occupied home value

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.04 pts
Constraints-0.29 pts
Net local movement-0.246 pts
Final score69.75

2 material local relationships changed this score: 0 advantages and 2 constraints. 1 additional scored relationship fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.045 pts.

Largest individual score driver$100,600 median owner-occupied home value-0.20 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.20 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
$100,600 median owner-occupied home valueLargest driverRelationship test: Rank stays #8 without this driver.-0.20 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Regulatory and operating friction

Factor subtotal-0.09 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
Approved backflow device required for commercial and industrial cross-connections and at the point of service commercial/industrial backflow prevention requirement-0.09 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.246 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintCommercial plan-review revision frictionRegulatory and operating friction
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintHistoric-district design reviewRegulatory and operating friction
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.20
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating friction-0.09
Full-precision calculated score69.754
Published local-market alignment69.75

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.20 pts
Tested rank range
#8–#14
#9Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.70

Mr. Rooter

Plumbing & Drain Services · mobile plumbing and drain service business

Initial investment: $152,900–$298,675 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.24 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.54 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.39 pts
Constraints-0.69 pts
Net local movement-0.298 pts
Final score69.70

4 material local relationships changed this score: 2 advantages and 2 constraints. 5 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.075 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.54 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.36 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #9 to #8 without this driver.-0.54 ptsModerateEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.24 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.13 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Labor and staffing friction

Factor subtotal+0.06 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
$18.50/hour mean wage for building and grounds occupations+0.06 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.298 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate advantageHard-water scale and mineral exposureProperty replacement-cycle demand
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintI-75 corridor construction disruptionTransportation, routing, and parking
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.36
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing friction+0.06
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score69.702
Published local-market alignment69.70

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.36 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#9
#10Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.65

ZOOM DRAIN

Plumbing & Drain Services · mobile drain and sewer specialist

Initial investment: $266,250–$570,500 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.13 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.54 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.32 pts
Constraints-0.68 pts
Net local movement-0.352 pts
Final score69.65

5 material local relationships changed this score: 3 advantages and 2 constraints. 4 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.015 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.54 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.41 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #10 to #9 without this driver.-0.54 ptsModerateEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.13 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.09 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.07 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Labor and staffing friction

Factor subtotal+0.06 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
$18.50/hour mean wage for building and grounds occupations+0.06 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.352 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate advantageHard-water scale and mineral exposureProperty replacement-cycle demand
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Potential candidate constraintI-75 corridor construction disruptionTransportation, routing, and parking
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.41
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing friction+0.06
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score69.648
Published local-market alignment69.65

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.41 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#10
#11Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.65

HomeSmiles

Recurring Property Maintenance · mobile recurring multi-service property maintenance

Initial investment: $148,110–$201,800 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.24 pts More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentConstraint -0.60 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.48 pts
Constraints-0.83 pts
Net local movement-0.353 pts
Final score69.65

7 material local relationships changed this score: 4 advantages and 3 constraints. 2 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.023 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.60 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.43 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #11 to #6 without this driver.-0.60 ptsModerateEvidence
More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment+0.24 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.16 ptsModerateEvidence
$4.379 billion health care and social assistance receipts+0.08 ptsModerateEvidence
$100,600 median owner-occupied home value-0.07 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.06 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Labor and staffing friction

Factor subtotal+0.08 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
$18.50/hour mean wage for building and grounds occupations+0.08 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.353 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.43
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing friction+0.08
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score69.647
Published local-market alignment69.65

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.43 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#12
#12Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.62

Tiger Adjusters

Public Adjusting & Claims Advocacy · home-based regulated property-claims advocacy with field inspection and relationship-led acquisition

Initial investment: $43,050–$159,500 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.05 pts 51.6% renter-occupied housing shareConstraint -0.48 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.10 pts
Constraints-0.49 pts
Net local movement-0.384 pts
Final score69.62

2 material local relationships changed this score: 1 advantage and 1 constraint. 3 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.045 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.48 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.43 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #12 to #10 without this driver.-0.48 ptsModerateEvidence
51.6% renter-occupied housing share+0.05 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.384 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Additional brand source material assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.43
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score69.616
Published local-market alignment69.62

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.43 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#12
#13Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.42

Aire Serv

HVAC · mobile hvac field service with required service base

Initial investment: $113,308–$271,708 · Item 7 evidence below

Advantage +0.06 pts $18.50/hour mean wage for building and grounds occupationsConstraint -0.54 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.14 pts
Constraints-0.72 pts
Net local movement-0.579 pts
Final score69.42

3 material local relationships changed this score: 1 advantage and 2 constraints. 3 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold and reconcile to +0.034 pts.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.54 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.64 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #13 to #12 without this driver.-0.54 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.13 ptsModerateEvidence
Factor

Labor and staffing friction

Factor subtotal+0.06 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
$18.50/hour mean wage for building and grounds occupations+0.06 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.579 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Additional brand source material assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.64
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing friction+0.06
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score69.421
Published local-market alignment69.42

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.64 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#13
#14Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.21

Mister Sparky Electric

Electrical Services · mobile residential electrical service

No material positive local adjustment identifiedConstraint -0.67 pts 48.4% owner-occupied housing share

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local relationships are grouped by factor. Each factor subtotal shows the net contribution after model controls.

Baseline70.00
Advantages+0.04 pts
Constraints-0.83 pts
Net local movement-0.788 pts
Final score69.21

2 material local relationships changed this score: 0 advantages and 2 constraints. 2 additional scored relationships fell below the public row threshold.

Largest individual score driver48.4% owner-occupied housing share-0.67 pts
Factor

Target-market demand

Factor subtotal-0.83 pts
Scored local driverEffectEvidence
48.4% owner-occupied housing shareLargest driverRelationship test: Rank #14 to #13 without this driver.-0.67 ptsModerateEvidence
-0.7% population change since 2020-0.12 ptsModerateEvidence
Overall local score movement-0.788 ptsThis is the accounting total after all factor subtotals and model controls.
Potential candidate-specific adjustmentsThese relationships depend on territory, site, customer mix, project, or another candidate-specific selection. They stay outside the baseline city score until that selection is known; the model should then be rerun to produce the candidate-adjusted score.
Potential candidate constraintI-75 corridor construction disruptionTransportation, routing, and parking
Evidence: HighEvidence

Applicability depends on candidate-specific site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections

Relationship effects are shown individually. Factor net values are secondary subtotals. Any scored relationship below the public materiality threshold is reconciled in the accounting residual.

Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified. Factor values here are net totals; the score-changing relationship table above preserves material positive and negative drivers even when they offset inside the same factor.

Neutral model baseline70.00
Target-market demand-0.83
Property replacement-cycle demandPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionEffect below the publication threshold
Transportation, routing, and parkingPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemPotential candidate-specific adjustment
Territory qualityNot included in the score
Regulatory and operating frictionNot applicable to this operating model
Full-precision calculated score69.212
Published local-market alignment69.21

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to two decimal places; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Strong
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand -0.83 pts
Tested rank range
#6–#14

Factor impact

Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?

We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.

Observed model effectMixed or model dependent

Target-market demand

We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.

Why concepts react differently

We applied a measurable adjustment to 14 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 14 concepts changed position. Aire Serv moved from #13 to #2, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.

Concepts adjusted14 of 14
Average among affected-0.08 pts
Average across all concepts-0.08 pts
Concepts changing rank14

What we observed

  • Population Change Since 2020-0.7%
  • Owner Occupied Housing Share48.4%
  • Renter Occupied Housing Share51.6%

Concepts helped most

FASTSIGNSSigns & Graphics
+0.86 pts
City Wide Facility SolutionsIntegrated Facility Management
+0.83 pts
JAN-PRO InternationalFranchise Consulting Training
+0.38 pts
ActionCOACHBusiness Coaching
+0.11 pts
PuroCleanProperty Restoration
+0.11 pts

Concepts challenged most

Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical Services
-0.83 pts
Aire ServHVAC
-0.64 pts
HomeSmilesRecurring Property Maintenance
-0.43 pts
Tiger AdjustersPublic Adjusting & Claims Advocacy
-0.43 pts
ZOOM DRAINPlumbing & Drain Services
-0.41 pts
Measured but not differentiating in this concept set
  • Property replacement-cycle demandNo material score adjustment
  • Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
  • Transportation, routing, and parkingNo material score adjustment
  • Real estate and site feasibilityNo material score adjustment
  • Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
  • Referral ecosystemNo material score adjustment
  • Territory qualityNo material score adjustment

Rank stability

Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?

The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.

#1 FASTSIGNSHighly sensitive · tested #1–#10
#2 City Wide Facility SolutionsHighly sensitive · tested #2–#12
#3 JAN-PRO InternationalHighly sensitive · tested #3–#11
#4 PuroCleanModerately sensitive · tested #4–#7
#5 Rainbow International RestorationModerately sensitive · tested #5–#8
#6 ActionCOACHHighly sensitive · tested #6–#13
#7 Pillar To Post Home InspectorsModerately sensitive · tested #7–#9
#8 Workout AnytimeHighly sensitive · tested #8–#14
#9 Mr. RooterHighly sensitive · tested #3–#9
#10 ZOOM DRAINHighly sensitive · tested #4–#10
#11 HomeSmilesHighly sensitive · tested #1–#12
#12 Tiger AdjustersHighly sensitive · tested #5–#12
#13 Aire ServHighly sensitive · tested #2–#13
#14 Mister Sparky ElectricHighly sensitive · tested #6–#14

Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.

Net factor impact

Net factor totals across the highest-ranked concepts

This graph plots net factor totals for the top 14 concepts. A near-zero net can contain meaningful positive and negative scored relationships that offset each other; those underlying drivers remain visible in each franchise's expanded score explanation.

Factor impact among the highest-rated franchise conceptsDiverging dot plot showing nonzero factor score contributions for the top 14 concepts. Zero-point concept-factor pairs are omitted, and factors with no nonzero contributions are excluded.+1.00+0.500.00-0.50-1.00
Target-market demand
#1 FASTSIGNS · Target-market demand · +0.90 pts1#2 City Wide Facility Solutions · Target-market demand · +0.80 pts2#3 JAN-PRO International · Target-market demand · +0.40 pts3#4 PuroClean · Target-market demand · +0.10 pts4#5 Rainbow International Restoration · Target-market demand · +0.10 pts5#6 ActionCOACH · Target-market demand · +0.10 pts6#7 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors · Target-market demand · -0.10 pts7#8 Workout Anytime · Target-market demand · -0.20 pts8#9 Mr. Rooter · Target-market demand · -0.40 pts9#10 ZOOM DRAIN · Target-market demand · -0.40 pts10#11 HomeSmiles · Target-market demand · -0.40 pts11#12 Tiger Adjusters · Target-market demand · -0.40 pts12#13 Aire Serv · Target-market demand · -0.60 pts13#14 Mister Sparky Electric · Target-market demand · -0.80 pts14
Labor and staffing friction
#9 Mr. Rooter · Labor and staffing friction · +0.10 pts9#10 ZOOM DRAIN · Labor and staffing friction · +0.10 pts10#11 HomeSmiles · Labor and staffing friction · +0.10 pts11#13 Aire Serv · Labor and staffing friction · +0.10 pts13
Regulatory and operating friction
#1 FASTSIGNS · Regulatory and operating friction · -0.10 pts1#2 City Wide Facility Solutions · Regulatory and operating friction · -0.10 pts2#3 JAN-PRO International · Regulatory and operating friction · -0.10 pts3#6 ActionCOACH · Regulatory and operating friction · -0.10 pts6#8 Workout Anytime · Regulatory and operating friction · -0.10 pts8
Primary source records by factorTarget-market demand: [4] [1] [2] [16] [17] [21] [22] [34] [20] [19] [18]Labor and staffing friction: [4] [3] [1] [2]Transportation, routing, and parking: [1] [2] [28] [27] [26]Real estate and site feasibility: [16] [17] [11]Referral ecosystem: [35] [29] [30] [18]Territory quality: [1] [2]Regulatory and operating friction: [1] [2] [10] [9] [13] [14] [7] [12] [6] [8] [11] [5] [31] [32] [33] [24] [25] [15]
View the chart data as a table
ConceptTarget-market demandLabor and staffing frictionRegulatory and operating friction
#1 FASTSIGNS+0.90 pts—-0.10 pts
#2 City Wide Facility Solutions+0.80 pts—-0.10 pts
#3 JAN-PRO International+0.40 pts—-0.10 pts
#4 PuroClean+0.10 pts——
#5 Rainbow International Restoration+0.10 pts——
#6 ActionCOACH+0.10 pts—-0.10 pts
#7 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors-0.10 pts——
#8 Workout Anytime-0.20 pts—-0.10 pts
#9 Mr. Rooter-0.40 pts+0.10 pts—
#10 ZOOM DRAIN-0.40 pts+0.10 pts—
#11 HomeSmiles-0.40 pts+0.10 pts—
#12 Tiger Adjusters-0.40 pts——
#13 Aire Serv-0.60 pts+0.10 pts—
#14 Mister Sparky Electric-0.80 pts——

Interpretation

How to interpret the leading cluster

FASTSIGNS, City Wide Facility Solutions, and JAN-PRO International gained more than the rest of the field from More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employment and $4.379 billion health care and social assistance receipts through target-market demand. The ordering is assumption-sensitive for FASTSIGNS, City Wide Facility Solutions, and JAN-PRO International when individual factors are neutralized and the model is rerun. The same city condition can help one operating model while constraining another, so this ranking describes local operating alignment rather than universal franchise quality.

Category comparisons

Best franchise categories we assessed in Dayton, Ohio

Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.

Limited two-concept comparison

Limited comparison: Property Restoration franchise opportunities assessed in Dayton, Ohio

70.13

2 Property Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 70.11 to 70.15. PuroClean ranked highest at 70.15. Target-market demand added 0.09 points on average among the affected concepts.

Interpret cautiously: A 0.04-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.

Concepts compared
2
Score range
70.11–70.15
Category average
70.13
PuroClean70.15
Rainbow International Restoration70.11
Limited two-concept comparison

Limited comparison: Plumbing & Drain Services franchise opportunities assessed in Dayton, Ohio

69.67

2 Plumbing & Drain Services concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 69.65 to 69.70. Mr. Rooter ranked highest at 69.70. Labor and staffing friction added 0.06 points on average among the affected concepts. Target-market demand reduced the exposed concepts by 0.39 points on average.

Interpret cautiously: A 0.05-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.

Concepts compared
2
Score range
69.65–69.70
Category average
69.67
Mr. Rooter69.70
ZOOM DRAIN69.65

Metric registry

The 56 local metrics behind this analysis

The registry shows each public metric’s raw value, period, geography, source, and its actual role in the compiled analysis.

View all local metrics
MetricRaw valuePeriodGeographyRole in analysisSource
Population estimate136,6882020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1]
Population change since 2020-0.7%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Population density2,466.5 persons/sq mi2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1]
Households58,4772020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1]
Owner-occupied housing share48.4%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Renter-occupied housing share51.6%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Same-house one-year share79.4%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Recent-mover share20.6%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Median owner-occupied home value$100,6002020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Median gross rent$9182020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Median owner cost with mortgage$1,1472020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Median household income$45,2472020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Poverty rate26.9%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Senior population share14.1%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Under-18 population share21.3%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Under-65 disability share14.8%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioSupports modeled relationship [1] [2]
Under-65 uninsured share9.4%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Labor-force participation58.8%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Household broadband subscription85.5%2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Mean travel time to work20.3 minutes2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1] [2]
Retail sales per capita$7,3072020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1] [2]
Health care and social assistance receipts$4.379 billion2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1]
Transportation and warehousing receipts$1.112 billion2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioUsed in scoring [1]
Accommodation and food-service sales$345.3 million2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business dataDayton, OhioContext only [1]
All-occupations mean hourly wage$31.60/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaContext only [3]
Food preparation and serving mean hourly wage$16.26/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaUsed in scoring [3]
Mean hourly wage for building and grounds occupations$18.50/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaUsed in scoring [3]
Office and administrative support mean hourly wage$23.41/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaUsed in scoring [3]
Sales mean hourly wage$22.55/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaUsed in scoring [3]
Construction and extraction mean hourly wage$31.12/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaContext only [3]
Installation, maintenance and repair mean hourly wage$29.25/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaContext only [3]
Healthcare practitioner and technical mean hourly wage$48.47/hourMay 2025Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaContext only [3]
Metro unemployment rate3.5%July 2026Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaContext only [4]
Construction employment year-over-year growth+4.4%July 2026Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaUsed in scoring [4]
Manufacturing employment42,400 jobsJuly 2026Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaUsed in scoring [4]
Trade, transportation and utilities employment71,200 jobsJuly 2026Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaUsed in scoring [4]
Education and health services employment81,700 jobsJuly 2026Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH Metropolitan Statistical AreaContext only [4]
Industrial vacancy rate3.9%Q2 2026Dayton commercial real-estate marketUsed in scoring [16]
Industrial asking rent$5.81/SFQ2 2026Dayton commercial real-estate marketContext only [16]
Industrial space under construction1.4 million SFQ2 2026Dayton commercial real-estate marketUsed in scoring [16]
Office vacancy rate20.0%Q2 2026Dayton commercial real-estate marketContext only [17]
Office asking rent$16.42/SFQ2 2026Dayton commercial real-estate marketContext only [17]
Ohio statutory minimum wage for covered employers$11.00/hour2026OhioContext only [5]
City municipal income tax rate2.5%Current; 2.5% rate effective 2025Dayton, OhioContext only [6] [7]
SOPEC small-business aggregation supply rate10.691 cents/kWhJune 2026-May 2027Dayton, OhioContext only [10]
One-inch monthly water minimum charge$39.99/monthEffective January 1, 2026City of Dayton water service areaContext only [8]
Minimum sign-permit fee package per regulated sign$190.79 minimum per sign2025 applicationDayton, OhioContext only [12]
HVAC contractor registration fee$250 for one year2026-2027Dayton, OhioContext only [14] [13]
HVAC contractor surety bond requirement$10,000 surety bond2026-2027Dayton, OhioContext only [14]
Food-service plan review timingPlans required 30 days before constructionCurrentMontgomery County, OhioContext only [15]
Wright-Patterson AFB employmentMore than 38,000 employeesCurrentDayton regionUsed in scoring [18]
Wright-Patterson AFB annual economic impact$6.5 billion/yearCurrentDayton regionContext only [18]
University of Dayton enrollment9,713 studentsFall 2025University of Dayton campusContext only [19]
Sinclair Community College system enrollment34,580 studentsFY 2025-26 / 2025Dayton regionContext only [20]
Dayton International Airport passengersMore than 1.3 million passengers2025Dayton regionUsed in scoring [21]
Dayton International Airport enplanement growth+1.7%2025Dayton regionContext only [21]

How to use the ranking

What the model can and cannot establish

  • Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
  • Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.

Methodology

How the local-alignment ranking is calculated

01

Measure the city

Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.

02

Profile each operating model

Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.

03

Apply broadly applicable effects

Apply fully supported relationships at full weight and otherwise scoreable research- or taxonomy-gated relationships at a reduced provisional weight.

04

Preserve candidate-dependent effects

Keep territory-, site-, customer-, project-, or configuration-dependent relationships outside the baseline score until the relevant candidate selections are known.

05

Test rank sensitivity

Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.

06

Generate public output

Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.

How the common baseline becomes a city-specific score

Every concept starts from the same 70.00 reference point, so differences come only from modeled local interactions. In Dayton, FASTSIGNS reached 70.793. Target-market demand netted to +0.86 points after more than 38,000 employees wright-patterson afb employment was partly offset by -0.7% population change since 2020. [18] [1] [2] Regulatory and operating friction netted to -0.10 points after combining observed local relationships with a conservative or model-applied adjustment.

The current model caps total local movement at ±18.00 points. The score is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.

Score calibration

How relationship effects become score adjustments

Each score-changing relationship starts with its model-defined maximum effect. The documented city-condition strength and the franchise's weighted operating exposure scale that maximum. Evidence confidence, provenance, geographic applicability, and the profile-confidence multiplier then modify the pre-cap effect. Fully supported relationships use full weight; broadly applicable relationships held back only by research or taxonomy-review gates use an additional 0.80 eligibility multiplier. Candidate-dependent site, territory, customer, project, or operating selections remain outside the baseline score until resolved. Correlation and score caps can reduce the resulting magnitude before the final contribution is added to the common baseline.

Local conditionMore than 38,000 employees [18]More than 38,000 employees wright-Patterson AFB employmentStrength 0.550 / 1.000
Operating exposureDefense/aerospace economic concentrationFASTSIGNS weighted operating exposureExposure 0.517 / 1.000
Model calibration+3.00 pts ceilingEvidence/applicability ×0.660 · pre-cap +0.45 ptsRelationship-specific maximum
Score effect+0.45 ptsNo post-calibration control reduced this relationshipOpen evidence chain
Worked-example calibration inputsActual model values, not generic point bands
City-condition strength0.550 / 1.000
Operating exposure0.517 / 1.000
Evidence & applicability×0.660
Relationship ceiling3.000 pts

The model does not use one universal Minor/Moderate/Strong point table. Relationship-specific max_effect values are the actual point ceilings, so publishing generic point bands would misstate the scoring system.

Score tiers

Tier 1 · Strongest modeled alignment80.00–100.00
Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment72.00–<80.00
Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment64.00–<72.00
Tier 4 · Higher-friction modeled alignment0.00–<64.00

How factor rows are classified

Positive local adjustmentNegative local adjustmentMeasured; no meaningful local adjustmentEffect below the publication thresholdNot applicable to this operating modelPotential candidate-specific adjustmentNot included in the score
What “best” means here

“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.

Model 0.10.0 · Compiler 0.33.2-impact-summary-precision-reconciliation · Report generated September 10, 2026 (site timezone)

Model governance

How this report is calculated and corrected

Calculation controls

Model designer
Thomas Jepsen

No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Reports are checked for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability before publication.

Model history

Model updates are versioned and dated, documenting material changes to scoring, evidence handling, methodology, governance, and presentation across published reports.

Corrections policy

Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.

Source registry

Local evidence supporting this report

The city page keeps the local sources used for its visible findings and metrics. Franchise-source provenance stays with the underlying franchise research rather than being duplicated across every city page.

  1. 1
    QuickFacts: Dayton city, Ohio

    Used for: Population estimate, Population change since 2020, Population density, Households, and Owner-occupied housing share

    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Data period
    2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business data
    Scope
    Dayton city, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  2. 2
    QuickFacts: Ohio

    Used for: Population change since 2020, Owner-occupied housing share, Renter-occupied housing share, Same-house one-year share, and Recent-mover share

    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Data period
    2020-2025 / ACS 2020-2024 / 2022 business data
    Scope
    Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  3. 3
    Occupational Employment and Wages in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek — May 2025

    Used for: All-occupations mean hourly wage, Food preparation and serving mean hourly wage, Mean hourly wage for building and grounds occupations, Office and administrative support mean hourly wage, and Sales mean hourly wage

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Published
    July 20, 2026
    Data period
    May 2025
    Scope
    Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH MSA
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  4. 4
    Dayton, OH Economy at a Glance

    Used for: Metro unemployment rate, Construction employment year-over-year growth, Manufacturing employment, Trade, transportation and utilities employment, and Education and health services employment

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Data period
    July 2026
    Scope
    Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH MSA
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  5. 5
    State Minimum Wage Laws

    Used for: Ohio statutory minimum wage for covered employers

    Publisher
    U.S. Department of Labor
    Published
    January 1, 2026
    Data period
    2026
    Scope
    Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  6. 6
    Tax Information & Forms

    Used for: City municipal income tax rate

    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Current; 2.5% rate effective 2025
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  7. 7
    Popular Annual Financial Report for the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2024

    Used for: City municipal income tax rate

    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Published
    September 11, 2026
    Data period
    FY 2024
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio and Ohio peer cities
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  8. 8
    Water & Sewer Service Rates

    Used for: One-inch monthly water minimum charge

    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Effective January 1, 2026
    Scope
    City of Dayton water/sewer service area
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  9. 9
    Prevent Backflow Conditions
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Current
    Scope
    City of Dayton water service area
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  10. 10
    Electric Power Aggregation

    Used for: SOPEC small-business aggregation supply rate

    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    June 2026-May 2027
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  11. 11
    City of Dayton Zoning Code, amended August 6, 2025
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Published
    August 6, 2025
    Data period
    Current zoning code
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  12. 12
    Sign Permit Application

    Used for: Minimum sign-permit fee package per regulated sign

    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Published
    January 1, 2025
    Data period
    2025 application
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  13. 13
    Contractors Registration & Bond Forms

    Used for: HVAC contractor registration fee

    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    2026
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  14. 14
    2026 City of Dayton Mechanical (HVAC) Contractor Registration Application

    Used for: HVAC contractor registration fee and HVAC contractor surety bond requirement

    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Published
    October 1, 2025
    Data period
    2026-2027
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  15. 15
    Food Service Plan Review

    Used for: Food-service plan review timing

    Publisher
    Public Health - Dayton & Montgomery County
    Published
    March 26, 2026
    Data period
    Current
    Scope
    Dayton and Montgomery County, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  16. 16
    Dayton Industrial Market Report | Q2 2026

    Used for: Industrial vacancy rate, Industrial asking rent, and Industrial space under construction

    Publisher
    Colliers
    Published
    July 15, 2026
    Data period
    Q2 2026
    Scope
    Dayton commercial real-estate market
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  17. 17
    Dayton Office Market Report | Q2 2026

    Used for: Office vacancy rate and Office asking rent

    Publisher
    Colliers
    Published
    August 18, 2026
    Data period
    Q2 2026
    Scope
    Dayton commercial real-estate market
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  18. 18
    Wright-Patterson Air Force Base Fact Sheet

    Used for: Wright-Patterson AFB employment and Wright-Patterson AFB annual economic impact

    Publisher
    U.S. Air Force
    Published
    September 11, 2026
    Data period
    Current
    Scope
    Dayton region
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  19. 19
    Data and Quick Facts

    Used for: University of Dayton enrollment

    Publisher
    University of Dayton
    Published
    August 1, 2026
    Data period
    Fall 2025
    Scope
    University of Dayton
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  20. 20
    Fast Facts

    Used for: Sinclair Community College system enrollment

    Publisher
    Sinclair Community College
    Data period
    FY 2025-26 / 2025
    Scope
    Sinclair Community College system
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  21. 21
    Catching up with DAY

    Used for: Dayton International Airport passengers and Dayton International Airport enplanement growth

    Publisher
    City of Dayton / Dayton International Airport
    Published
    September 11, 2026
    Data period
    2025
    Scope
    Dayton International Airport
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  22. 22
    Miami Valley Hospital Level I Trauma Center
    Publisher
    Premier Health
    Data period
    Current
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  23. 23
    Dayton Climate Normals (1991-2020)
    Publisher
    National Weather Service
    Data period
    1991-2020 climate normals
    Scope
    Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 3, 2026
  24. 24
    2025 Water Quality Averages & Pumping Data Summary
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    2025
    Scope
    City of Dayton water system
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  25. 25
    Hardness of Water
    Publisher
    U.S. Geological Survey
    Data period
    Current USGS hardness classification guidance
    Scope
    United States
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  26. 26
    Strategic Transportation & Development Analysis - Appendix C: Focus Corridor Needs Assessment: Dayton-Cincinnati
    Publisher
    Ohio Department of Transportation
    Data period
    Published study inventory; project table lists PID 107376
    Scope
    Dayton-Cincinnati I-75 corridor
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  27. 27
    ODOT Seeking Public Comments - I-75 Reconstruction in Dayton, PID 107376
    Publisher
    Ohio Department of Transportation
    Published
    May 24, 2021
    Data period
    Project definition
    Scope
    I-75 in Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  28. 28
    Traffic changes for I-75 reconstruction in Montgomery County
    Publisher
    WHIO / Cox Media Group
    Published
    July 9, 2026
    Data period
    July 2026 active construction update
    Scope
    I-75 between Needmore Road and Leo Street, Montgomery County/Dayton area
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  29. 29
    Doing Business With the City of Dayton
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Current vendor onboarding
    Scope
    City of Dayton procurement jurisdiction
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  30. 30
    Vendor Information
    Publisher
    Montgomery County, Ohio
    Data period
    Current vendor onboarding
    Scope
    Montgomery County procurement jurisdiction
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  31. 31
    Historic Districts Information
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Current
    Scope
    City of Dayton locally designated historic districts and landmarks
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  32. 32
    Living With Historic Zoning
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Current
    Scope
    Properties in the Dayton Register of Historic Places
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  33. 33
    New Plan Review Revision Fee Notice
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Effective April 1, 2026
    Scope
    Commercial plan review in Dayton, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  34. 34
    Dayton Home Repair Revolving Loan Program
    Publisher
    City of Dayton
    Data period
    Pilot launched March 2026
    Scope
    Fairview, Dayton View Triangle, Wolf Creek, and Madden Hills neighborhoods in Dayton
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026
  35. 35
    AFLCMC Small Business Office
    Publisher
    Air Force Life Cycle Management Center
    Data period
    Current
    Scope
    Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio
    Accessed
    September 6, 2026

Before contacting a franchisor

Complete the next layer of due diligence

  • Confirm the exact protected territory and neighboring units.
  • Review the current Franchise Disclosure Document.
  • Validate local staffing, licensing, insurance, and service-base assumptions.
  • Obtain location, vehicle, buildout, or working-capital estimates.
  • Speak with current and former franchisees.
  • Build a candidate-specific financial scenario.

Apply the analysis to your situation

Review how these market findings apply to your budget, role, and proposed territory.

The city score does not include your experience, capital structure, time commitment, financing, or exact territory.

Request a private franchise review
View methodologyView source registry

Twenty Twenty-Five

Take Free Franchise Match Quiz