Local operating-model alignment analysis

Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Fort Wayne, Indiana

We compared 14 franchise concepts for Fort Wayne, Indiana. Household service demand was a leading positive mechanism.

What “best” means in this ranking“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page. It does not estimate earnings or determine which franchise is best for a particular candidate.
Analysis by Thomas Jepsen, MSc Model: 0.9.0
14Concepts evaluated
18Sources used
10Primary sources
26Local metrics

Evaluation set

Why these concepts were evaluated

This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.

14Concepts assessed

Concepts were included when enough operating-model information existed to assign a provisional local-sensitivity profile. Unresolved inputs reduce confidence or remain conditional rather than automatically excluding a concept.

A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.

City-level conclusions

What stood out in our assessment

Highest category average (limited comparison)Restoration

70.0 average across 2 concepts

Largest positive factorTarget-market demand

0.4 points average among 13 affected concepts

Most assumption-sensitive rankCity Wide

Tested rank range spans 10 positions

Executive conclusion

What the ranking means for Fort Wayne, Indiana

HomeSmiles, City Wide, and Pillar To Post Home Inspectors produced the highest modeled local-alignment scores in the evaluated set. Household service demand was the strongest positive scored mechanism among 8 exposed concepts, adding 0.4 points on average. City Wide was especially relationship-sensitive: removing healthcare institutional service demand moved it from #2 to #12 in the full model rerun. These scores describe local operating alignment, not expected returns or overall franchise quality; the offered territory and franchise economics still require separate diligence.

How this differs from a directory: the model does not award points for brand popularity, advertising placement, or referral compensation. It tests how documented local conditions interact with each concept’s operating requirements.

Best franchise opportunities assessed

Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed

“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.

Rankings use full-precision scores.Displayed values use one decimal place. Identical displayed scores can therefore have different ranks, and close results should be treated as effectively similar.
RankFranchiseAlignment and tierLargest advantageLargest constraintEvidence confidence
1HomeSmilesProperty maintenance servicesInvestment: $148,110–$201,800
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
2City WideFacility managementInvestment: $229,729–$410,730
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence
3Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome inspectionInvestment: $102,690–$134,290
70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.6 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence
4Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaningInvestment: $130,000–$421,500
70.5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.5 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence
5Aire ServHVAC installation, repair, and maintenanceInvestment: $113,308–$271,708
70.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.4 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
6Mr. RooterPlumbingInvestment: $152,900–$298,675
70.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.4 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence
7Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical
70.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.4 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence
8ZOOM DRAINDrain and sewer serviceInvestment: $266,250–$570,500
70.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.4 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence
9Workout AnytimeFitnessInvestment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550
70.3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.3 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence
10FASTSIGNSSigns and graphicsInvestment: $231,226–$386,285
70.3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.3 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentLimited evidence confidence

View all 14 score calculations

Conditions that changed the analysis

What mattered most in Fort Wayne, Indiana

01

Recent population growth and above-national household-formation signals support incremental household-service demand

This relationship affected 8 concepts and added 0.4 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: Households, 2020-2024 estimate: 110,929 households. [4]

02

Northeast Indiana industrial vacancy was 4.75 percent in the January 2025-January 2026 review period

Aggregate regional industrial vacancy should not be converted directly into a small-bay service-base conclusion. The same report states that several active users still struggle to find quality space, outdoor storage became a high-priority functional requirement, and most vacant spec buildings expected at the start of 2026 were 40,000 square feet or less. Exact service-ready availability therefore remains a size-, zoning-, parking-, loading-, and outdoor-storage question rather than a citywide vacancy-rate inference. [7] [1]

03

recurring-commercial-service

This operating-model cluster separated from the broader set because its exposure to local support and constraints differed. The strongest positive factor was target-market demand, while the main constraint was property replacement-cycle demand. [4] [9] [8]

Evidence behind the city mechanisms

Recent population growth and above-national household-formation signals support incremental household-service demand1 modeled effect
Household service demandTarget-market demand
A large Fort Wayne-headquartered health system and substantial healthcare activity support institutional service demand1 modeled effect
Healthcare institutional service demandTarget-market demand
Downtown DC and DE design standards can require prototype adaptation for covered new construction and additions1 modeled effect
Signage and prototype adaptation burdenRegulatory and operating friction

Compare all assessed concepts

Local impact by franchise concept

14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see the score-changing factors and their modeled drivers; the full audit ledger stays collapsed.

#1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

HomeSmiles

Property maintenance services · Home-based mobile property-maintenance franchise using equipped service vans and technician crews to deliver bundled…

Initial investment: $148,110–$201,800

Increase +0.7 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #1 → #4
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.3 pts
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.74 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.7
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.74
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#2
#2Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

City Wide

Facility management · B2B facility management and vendor coordination

Initial investment: $229,729–$410,730

Increase +0.7 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.7 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #2 → #12
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.71 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.7
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.71
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#12
#3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.6

Pillar To Post Home Inspectors

Home inspection · mobile property inspection service

Initial investment: $102,690–$134,290

Increase +0.6 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #3 → #12
+0.6 pts
Net local movement+0.58 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
2 sources
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.6
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.58
Published local-market alignment70.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#9
#4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.5

Jan-Pro International

Commercial cleaning · recurring commercial route service

Initial investment: $130,000–$421,500

Increase +0.5 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #4 → #14
+0.5 pts
Net local movement+0.52 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.5
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.52
Published local-market alignment70.5

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.5 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#14
#5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.4

Aire Serv

HVAC installation, repair, and maintenance · Manager-led mobile HVAC installation, repair, maintenance, and emergency service business using skilled technicians…

Initial investment: $113,308–$271,708

Increase +0.4 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #5 → #7
+0.4 pts
Net local movement+0.45 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.4
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.45
Published local-market alignment70.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.4 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#5
#6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.4

Mr. Rooter

Plumbing · scheduled and emergency skilled-trade service

Initial investment: $152,900–$298,675

Increase +0.4 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #6 → #10
+0.4 pts
Net local movement+0.42 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.4
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.42
Published local-market alignment70.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.4 pts
Tested rank range
#6–#7
#7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.4

Mister Sparky Electric

Electrical · skilled-trade home service

Increase +0.4 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #7 → #11
+0.4 pts
Net local movement+0.39 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.4
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.39
Published local-market alignment70.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.4 pts
Tested rank range
#7–#8
#8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.4

ZOOM DRAIN

Drain and sewer service · emergency skilled-trade route service

Initial investment: $266,250–$570,500

Increase +0.4 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #8 → #9
+0.4 pts
Net local movement+0.37 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.4
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.37
Published local-market alignment70.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.4 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#8
#9Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.3

Workout Anytime

Fitness · fixed-location membership fitness

Initial investment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550

Increase +0.3 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.3 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #9 → #14
+0.3 pts
Net local movement+0.31 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.3
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.31
Published local-market alignment70.3

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.3 pts
Tested rank range
#9–#11
#10Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.3

FASTSIGNS

Signs and graphics · B2B production and installation center

Initial investment: $231,226–$386,285

Increase +0.3 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.3 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #10
+0.3 pts
Regulatory and operating frictionSignage and prototype adaptation burden EvidenceConditional — applicability must be confirmedNot scored
Net local movement+0.27 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
2 images
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.3
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.27
Published local-market alignment70.3

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.3 pts
Tested rank range
#6–#10
#11Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.1

Tiger Adjusters

Public insurance adjusting · Home-based, referral-led public insurance adjusting business combining local property inspections with…

Initial investment: $43,050–$159,500

Increase +0.1 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.1 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #11 → #8
+0.1 pts
Net local movement+0.15 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.1
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.15
Published local-market alignment70.1

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.1 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#11
#12Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.1

Rainbow International Restoration

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $185,336–$351,900

Increase +0.1 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.1 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #12 → #13
+0.1 pts
Net local movement+0.10 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.1
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.10
Published local-market alignment70.1

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.1 pts
Tested rank range
#12–#13
#13Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.1

ActionCOACH

Business coaching · home-based B2B advisory

Initial investment: $71,668–$303,513

Increase +0.1 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.1 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #13 → #9
+0.1 pts
Net local movement+0.09 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.1
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.09
Published local-market alignment70.1

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.1 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#13
#14Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.0

PuroClean

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $54,575–$262,145

No material positive local adjustment identifiedNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

No material scored local adjustment was identified for this concept.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.00
Published local-market alignment70.0

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Limited evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
0.0 pts
Tested rank range
#10–#14

Worked score example

How we calculated HomeSmiles

This example uses the same ledger shown for every concept and must reconcile exactly to the published score.

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.7
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionNot included in the score
Transportation, routing, and parkingNot included in the score
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.74
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Starting pointThe operating-model baseline shown in the first ledger row.
InteractionsAny interaction or gate is included in the relevant contribution or calibration row.
Confidence treatmentEvidence confidence is disclosed separately unless the model definition explicitly applies a calibration adjustment.
RoundingFull-precision contributions are summed before the final displayed score is rounded to one decimal place; whole-number results are shown without a trailing decimal.

Factor impact

Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?

We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.

Observed model effectMixed or model dependent

Target-market demand

We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.

Why concepts react differently

We applied a measurable adjustment to 13 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 13 concepts changed position. HomeSmiles moved from #1 to #12, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.

Concepts adjusted13 of 14
Average among affected+0.4 pts
Average across all concepts+0.4 pts
Concepts changing rank13

What we observed

  • Population Change From The April 2020 Estimate Base To July 20254.3 percent
  • Households, 2020 2024 Estimate110,929 households
  • Health Care And Social Assistance Receipts/revenue In 20224,199,813,000 usd

Concepts helped most

HomeSmilesProperty maintenance services
+0.7 pts
City WideFacility management
+0.7 pts
Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome inspection
+0.6 pts
Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaning
+0.5 pts
Aire ServHVAC installation, repair, and maintenance
+0.4 pts
Measured but not differentiating in this concept set
  • Property replacement-cycle demandNo material score adjustment
  • Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
  • Labor and staffing frictionNo material score adjustment
  • Transportation, routing, and parkingNo material score adjustment
  • Real estate and site feasibilityNo material score adjustment
  • Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
  • Referral ecosystemNo material score adjustment
  • Territory qualityNo material score adjustment
  • Regulatory and operating frictionNo material score adjustment

Rank stability

Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?

The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.

#1 HomeSmilesStable · tested #1–#2
#2 City WideHighly sensitive · tested #2–#12
#3 Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHighly sensitive · tested #3–#9
#4 Jan-Pro InternationalHighly sensitive · tested #4–#14
#5 Aire ServHighly sensitive · tested #1–#5
#6 Mr. RooterStable · tested #6–#7
#7 Mister Sparky ElectricStable · tested #7–#8
#8 ZOOM DRAINHighly sensitive · tested #4–#8
#9 Workout AnytimeModerately sensitive · tested #9–#11
#10 FASTSIGNSHighly sensitive · tested #6–#10
#11 Tiger AdjustersHighly sensitive · tested #3–#11
#12 Rainbow International RestorationStable · tested #12–#13
#13 ActionCOACHHighly sensitive · tested #5–#13
#14 PuroCleanHighly sensitive · tested #10–#14

Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.

Original factor comparison

How each factor affected the highest-rated franchise concepts

The graph includes the top 14 concepts by local-alignment score. Only nonzero score contributions are plotted. A factor is removed when every displayed concept received 0.0 points from it. Hover or focus a concept name to highlight all of its remaining data points.

Factor impact among the highest-rated franchise conceptsDiverging dot plot showing nonzero factor score contributions for the top 14 concepts. Zero-point concept-factor pairs are omitted, and factors with no nonzero contributions are excluded.+1.0+0.50.0-0.5-1.0
Target-market demand
#1 HomeSmiles · Target-market demand · +0.7 pts1#2 City Wide · Target-market demand · +0.7 pts2#3 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors · Target-market demand · +0.6 pts3#4 Jan-Pro International · Target-market demand · +0.5 pts4#5 Aire Serv · Target-market demand · +0.4 pts5#6 Mr. Rooter · Target-market demand · +0.4 pts6#7 Mister Sparky Electric · Target-market demand · +0.4 pts7#8 ZOOM DRAIN · Target-market demand · +0.4 pts8#9 Workout Anytime · Target-market demand · +0.3 pts9#10 FASTSIGNS · Target-market demand · +0.3 pts10#11 Tiger Adjusters · Target-market demand · +0.1 pts11#12 Rainbow International Restoration · Target-market demand · +0.1 pts12#13 ActionCOACH · Target-market demand · +0.1 pts13
Primary source records by factorTarget-market demand: [4] [8] [9] [10] [1] [3]Property replacement-cycle demand: [11] [4] [6] [1]Competitive environment: [5] [18] [8] [7] [3]Labor and staffing friction: [6] [9] [1]Transportation, routing, and parking: [15] [16] [4] [3] [11]Real estate and site feasibility: [7] [8] [13] [12] [1] [2]Sales and customer acquisition: [17] [18] [5] [8]Referral ecosystem: [9] [10] [18] [17] [4]Territory quality: [8] [14] [16] [3] [4]Regulatory and operating friction: [13] [14] [12] [2] [3]
View the chart data as a table
ConceptTarget-market demand
#1 HomeSmiles+0.7 pts
#2 City Wide+0.7 pts
#3 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors+0.6 pts
#4 Jan-Pro International+0.5 pts
#5 Aire Serv+0.4 pts
#6 Mr. Rooter+0.4 pts
#7 Mister Sparky Electric+0.4 pts
#8 ZOOM DRAIN+0.4 pts
#9 Workout Anytime+0.3 pts
#10 FASTSIGNS+0.3 pts
#11 Tiger Adjusters+0.1 pts
#12 Rainbow International Restoration+0.1 pts
#13 ActionCOACH+0.1 pts
#14 PuroClean—

Interpretation

How to interpret the result

HomeSmiles, City Wide, Pillar To Post Home Inspectors led because their operating requirements captured more of the local support from target-market demand while remaining less exposed to property replacement-cycle demand. The same city condition can help one operating model and constrain another, so score differences should be read through each concept's factor pattern rather than as a universal franchise-quality verdict. The ordering is most assumption-sensitive for City Wide, Pillar To Post Home Inspectors, Jan-Pro International; their ranks move more widely when individual factors are neutralized.

Category comparisons

Best franchise categories we assessed in Fort Wayne, Indiana

Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.

Limited two-concept comparison

Best Restoration franchise opportunities we assessed in Fort Wayne, Indiana

70.0

2 Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 70.0 to 70.1. Rainbow International Restoration ranked highest at 70.1.

Interpret cautiously: A 0.1-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.

Concepts compared
2
Score range
70.0–70.1
Category average
70.0
Rainbow International Restoration70.1
PuroClean70.0

Metric registry

The 26 local metrics behind this analysis

The registry shows each public metric’s raw value, period, geography, source, and its actual role in the compiled analysis.

View all local metrics
MetricRaw valuePeriodGeographyRole in analysisSource
Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025275,203peopleJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receiptsFort Wayne, IndianaContext only [4]
Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 20254.3percentJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receiptsFort Wayne, IndianaUsed in scoring [4]
Households, 2020-2024 estimate110,929householdsJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receiptsFort Wayne, IndianaUsed in scoring [4]
Owner-occupied housing unit rate, 2020-202461.9percentJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receiptsFort Wayne, IndianaContext only [4]
Health care and social assistance receipts/revenue in 20224,199,813,000usdJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receiptsFort Wayne, IndianaUsed in scoring [4]
Mean travel time to work for workers age 16 and older, 2020-202421.5minutesJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receiptsFort Wayne, IndianaContext only [4]
Local retail-market report states household formation has grown faster than the national pace and retail demand has followed in stronger demographic areashousehold formation relative to national: faster; retail demand geography: stronger demographic areascategoricalRetail activity from May 2025 through April 2026, with 2026 outlookFort Wayne, Indiana retail marketUsed in scoring [8]
Fort Wayne retail vacancy and net absorption for the May 2025-April 2026 review periodvacancy rate: 9.7; net absorption sqft: 202,000; vacant big box count: 15; vacant big box sqft: 637,348; big box share of vacant inventory approx: 45mixedRetail activity from May 2025 through April 2026, with 2026 outlookFort Wayne retail marketConditional relationship [8]
Named downtown mixed-use projects are expected to deliver more than 600 residential units beginning in 2026600residential units minimumRetail activity from May 2025 through April 2026, with 2026 outlookDowntown Fort WayneUsed in scoring [8]
Parkview Health is based in Fort Wayne and reports approximately 17,500 co-workers and 15 hospitals across its regional systemcoworkers approx: 17,500; hospitals: 15; headquarters: Fort WaynemixedMay 2026Parkview Health system serving Indiana and northwest OhioUsed in scoring [9]
Purdue University Fort Wayne campus and enrollment profileundergraduate enrollment: 5,013; graduate enrollment: 764; total enrollment derived: 5,777; campus acres: 595; buildings: 53mixedCurrent institutional profile accessed August 2026Purdue University Fort WayneContext only [10]
Finished-water total hardness in 2025average ppm: 130; range ppm: 94, 174ppm2025 finished-water testing and current 2026 infrastructure program statementsFort Wayne City Utilities drinking-water systemContext only [11] [1]
City Utilities reports a five-year plan to replace more than 70 miles of aging water mains past useful life after 180 miles of deteriorating pipe had already been replaced in less than 20 yearsplanned replacement miles min: 70; previously replaced miles: 180miles2025 finished-water testing and current 2026 infrastructure program statementsFort Wayne City Utilities water distribution systemConditional relationship [11]
City Utilities states that older homes may have private lead service lines and reports more than 3,100 replacements through its program3,100service lines replaced minimum2025 finished-water testing and current 2026 infrastructure program statementsFort Wayne older homes with private lead service linesConditional relationship [11]
2026 planning fees for common non-residential development processessite plan review projects under 1000 sqft or listed minor categories usd: 750; site plan review all other projects and infrastructure usd: 1,500; development plan usd: 1,250; rezoning usd: 1,250; use variance usd: 1,250; downtown new construction pre review usd: 350usdEffective January 1, 2026Fort Wayne and Allen County Department of Planning ServicesConditional relationship [13] [2]
2026 water-system development charges vary by meter size and area connection fees vary by service areasystem development charge usd: 1 inch: 1,625, 2 inch: 5,200, 4 inch: 16,250, 6 inch: 32,500, 12 inch: 139,750; area connection fee per eru usd 2026: central: 1,000, northeast: 2,700, northwest: 2,400, southeast: 2,100, southwest: 2,400usdArea Connection Fees effective January 1, 2026; System Development Charges effective May 1, 2026Fort Wayne City Utilities development areasContext only [12]
DC and DE downtown new-construction standards require a minimum 20-foot building height and two occupiable stories at street levelminimum height ft: 20; minimum occupiable stories at street level: 2; districts: DC, DEmixedCurrent downtown design standards accessed August 2026; Downtown Design Manual effective January 2024Downtown Fort Wayne DC and DE zoning districtsConditional relationship [14] [2]
Covered downtown projects require at least 50 percent street-level facade transparency and restrict specified lower-facade materialsminimum street level transparency percent: 50; prohibited base materials: thin-set brick, corrugated metal, EIFS, wood shake/shingle/lap siding; no mirrored glass: yesmixedCurrent downtown design standards accessed August 2026; Downtown Design Manual effective January 2024Downtown Fort Wayne DC and DE zoning districts for covered new construction/additionsConditional relationship [14] [2]
Northeast Indiana industrial vacancy and absorption in the January 2025-January 2026 review periodvacancy rate percent: 4.75; prior vacancy rate percent: 5.39; positive absorption sqft: 1,185,000; occupied inventory sqft: 115,900,000mixedIndustrial activity from January 2025 to January 2026Northeast Indiana industrial marketSupports research conclusion [7]
Industrial report states that several active users still struggle to find quality space, outdoor storage became a high priority, and seven of eight vacant spec buildings expected at the start of 2026 were 40,000 square feet or lessactive users struggle for quality space: yes; outdoor storage high priority: yes; vacant spec buildings total: 8; vacant spec buildings 40000 sqft or less: 7mixedIndustrial activity from January 2025 to January 2026Northeast Indiana industrial marketContext only [7] [1]
Production occupations are unusually concentrated in the Fort Wayne MSA but their mean wage is close to the national production-occupation meanemployment: 26,380; local employment share percent: 11.7; national employment share percent: 5.5; location quotient: 2.12; local mean hourly wage usd: 25.08; national mean hourly wage usd: 24.81mixedMay 2025Fort Wayne, Indiana MSAContext only [6] [1]
Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations have a modestly above-national employment share but a lower mean wage than the national major-group meanlocal employment share percent: 4.4; national employment share percent: 3.9; local mean hourly wage usd: 28.77; national mean hourly wage usd: 30.44mixedMay 2025Fort Wayne, Indiana MSAContext only [6]
Fort Wayne 2026 neighborhood infrastructure program includes substantial streets, roads, bridges, and resurfacing worktotal investment usd: 37,000,000; streets roads bridges usd: 28,400,000; contracted asphalt miles: 15.32; in house resurfacing miles: 5.5; major arterial projects: 2; bridge rehab or replacement projects: 4mixed2026 construction seasonFort Wayne, IndianaContext only [15]
Bluffton Road bridge replacement is under construction with phased maintenance-of-traffic plans and detour routesunder construction as of: 2026-03; pre project load limit tons: 12; phased traffic maintenance: yes; vehicle detour routes: yesmixedUnder construction March 2026Bluffton Road bridge and approaches, Fort WayneConditional relationship [16] [3]
Greater Fort Wayne Inc. member directory reports 1,425 results across broad business and institutional categories1,425directory resultsCurrent directory accessed August 2026Greater Fort Wayne IncContext only [18]
City purchasing resources provide public bidding opportunities, vendor-compliance requirements, a Buy Indiana program, and standard terms and conditionspublic bidding opportunities: yes; vendor compliance: yes; buy indiana program: yes; standard terms and conditions: yescategoricalCurrent purchasing resources accessed August 2026City of Fort WayneContext only [17]

How to use the ranking

What the model can and cannot establish

  • Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
  • Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.
  • Conditional effects are shown for diligence but do not change the published score until their applicability is established.

Methodology

How the local-alignment ranking is calculated

01

Measure the city

Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.

02

Profile each operating model

Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.

03

Apply scoreable effects

Score only effects that apply without an unresolved site, territory, customer, or project gate.

04

Preserve conditional effects

Keep location- or territory-dependent issues visible for diligence without automatically changing the score.

05

Test rank sensitivity

Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.

06

Generate public output

Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.

How the common baseline becomes a city-specific score

Every concept starts from the same 70.0 reference point, so differences come only from modeled local interactions. In this city, HomeSmiles reached 70.74 after target-market demand +0.7 pts. The current model caps total local movement at ±18.0 points. The score is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.

Precision and materiality

Calculations use full-precision values. Published scores and factor contributions display one decimal place, while ranks use full precision. Effects smaller than 0.1 points are identified as below the publication threshold rather than presented as a meaningful zero.

Score tiers

Tier 1 · Strongest modeled alignment80.0–100.0
Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment72.0–<80.0
Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment64.0–<72.0
Tier 4 · Higher-friction modeled alignment0.0–<64.0

How factor rows are classified

Positive local adjustmentNegative local adjustmentMeasured; no meaningful local adjustmentEffect below the publication thresholdNot applicable to this operating modelDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating conditionNot included in the score
What “best” means here

“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.

Model 0.9.0 · Compiler 0.15.1-franchise-image-filter · Report generated August 19, 2026 (site timezone)

Model governance

How this report is calculated and corrected

Calculation controls

Model designer
Thomas Jepsen

No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Before this template is activated, the report is reviewed for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability.

Model history

  1. Model 0.9.0-calibration · August 19, 2026Added compiler-derived decision intelligence and observation usage mapping., Changed factor sensitivity and channel counterfactuals to full model reruns., Added data-dependent city content signals while preserving legacy public report fields., and Added model-owned semantic compatibility gates and backward-compatible channel-level evidence attribution.

Corrections policy

Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.

Source registry

Evidence represented in this report

Each source identifies its period, scope, and the local metrics it supports. Internal or supplied research is not presented as independently accessible evidence.

  1. 1
    Structural Inefficiencies and Asymmetric Franchise Opportunities in Tier-1 U.S. MarketsInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.

    Used for: Finished-water total hardness in 2025, Industrial report states that several active users still struggle to find quality space, outdoor storage became a high priority, and seven of eight vacant spec buildings expected at the start of 2026 were 40,000 square feet or less, and Production occupations are unusually concentrated in the Fort Wayne MSA but their mean wage is close to the national production-occupation mean

    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Fort Wayne section in supplied multi-city research docket
    Scope
    Fort Wayne, Indiana section within a multi-city research docket
    Locator
    Fort Wayne, Indiana section, pages 8-10
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  2. 2
    Jurisdictional Risk and Structural Friction Analysis: A Forensic Audit of Municipal Deal-KillersInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.

    Used for: 2026 planning fees for common non-residential development processes, DC and DE downtown new-construction standards require a minimum 20-foot building height and two occupiable stories at street level, and Covered downtown projects require at least 50 percent street-level facade transparency and restrict specified lower-facade materials

    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Fort Wayne section in supplied multi-city municipal research docket
    Scope
    Fort Wayne, Indiana section within a multi-city research docket
    Locator
    Fort Wayne, Indiana section, pages 8-10
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  3. 3
    Franchise data - remake - mod(3).csvInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.

    Used for: Bluffton Road bridge replacement is under construction with phased maintenance-of-traffic plans and detour routes

    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Supplied neighborhood-level research; date varies by row
    Scope
    Fort Wayne neighborhood records for North Anthony, Downtown, West Central, Waynedale, Georgetown Square, and Aboite
    Locator
    Six rows where city = Fort Wayne and state = Indiana
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  4. 4
    QuickFacts: Fort Wayne city, Indiana

    Used for: Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025, Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025, Households, 2020-2024 estimate, Owner-occupied housing unit rate, 2020-2024, and Health care and social assistance receipts/revenue in 2022

    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Published
    May 14, 2026
    Data period
    July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts
    Scope
    Fort Wayne city, Indiana
    Locator
    Population, Housing, Families & Living Arrangements, Economy, Transportation, and Geography tables
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  5. 5
    County Business Patterns: 2023
    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Published
    June 26, 2025
    Data period
    Calendar year 2023
    Scope
    County, metropolitan area, and ZIP Code establishment data by NAICS
    Locator
    County, MSA, ZIP Code totals, and ZIP Code industry detail dataset descriptions
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  6. 6
    Occupational Employment and Wages in Fort Wayne — May 2025

    Used for: Production occupations are unusually concentrated in the Fort Wayne MSA but their mean wage is close to the national production-occupation mean and Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations have a modestly above-national employment share but a lower mean wage than the national major-group mean

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Published
    July 9, 2026
    Data period
    May 2025
    Scope
    Fort Wayne, Indiana metropolitan statistical area: Allen, Wells, and Whitley counties
    Locator
    Table A and production-occupation table
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  7. 7
    Zacher Company Industrial Review and Forecast for Northeast Indiana — 2026 Industrial Narrative

    Used for: Northeast Indiana industrial vacancy and absorption in the January 2025-January 2026 review period and Industrial report states that several active users still struggle to find quality space, outdoor storage became a high priority, and seven of eight vacant spec buildings expected at the start of 2026 were 40,000 square feet or less

    Publisher
    The Zacher Company
    Data period
    Industrial activity from January 2025 to January 2026
    Scope
    Northeast Indiana industrial market with named Fort Wayne transactions and projects
    Locator
    Pages 1-2, vacancy, absorption, spec-building, functional-needs, and forecast sections
    Source tier
    Tier 3 · credible industry
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  8. 8
    2026 Fort Wayne, Indiana Retail Market Report Narrative

    Used for: Local retail-market report states household formation has grown faster than the national pace and retail demand has followed in stronger demographic areas, Fort Wayne retail vacancy and net absorption for the May 2025-April 2026 review period, and Named downtown mixed-use projects are expected to deliver more than 600 residential units beginning in 2026

    Publisher
    The Zacher Company
    Data period
    Retail activity from May 2025 through April 2026, with 2026 outlook
    Scope
    Fort Wayne retail market and named submarkets/corridors
    Locator
    Pages 1-2, household formation, vacancy, absorption, big-box vacancy, downtown and northwest growth sections
    Source tier
    Tier 3 · credible industry
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  9. 9
    Discover hundreds of jobs during Parkview Health’s Clinical Hiring Expo on May 27

    Used for: Parkview Health is based in Fort Wayne and reports approximately 17,500 co-workers and 15 hospitals across its regional system

    Publisher
    Parkview Health
    Published
    May 13, 2026
    Data period
    May 2026
    Scope
    Parkview Health regional system headquartered in Fort Wayne
    Locator
    About Parkview Health section
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institution
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  10. 10
    By The Numbers

    Used for: Purdue University Fort Wayne campus and enrollment profile

    Publisher
    Purdue University Fort Wayne
    Data period
    Current institutional profile accessed August 2026
    Scope
    Purdue University Fort Wayne campus
    Locator
    Campus and enrollment statistics
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institution
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  11. 11
    2026 Annual Drinking Water Quality Report — Three Rivers Filtration Plant

    Used for: Finished-water total hardness in 2025, City Utilities reports a five-year plan to replace more than 70 miles of aging water mains past useful life after 180 miles of deteriorating pipe had already been replaced in less than 20 years, and City Utilities states that older homes may have private lead service lines and reports more than 3,100 replacements through its program

    Publisher
    Fort Wayne City Utilities
    Published
    June 30, 2026
    Data period
    2025 finished-water testing and current 2026 infrastructure program statements
    Scope
    Fort Wayne City Utilities water system and customers
    Locator
    Pages 1-4; aging-main program, lead service lines, water treatment, and water quality table
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  12. 12
    Engineering Development Services — Starting Your Development Project

    Used for: 2026 water-system development charges vary by meter size and area connection fees vary by service area

    Publisher
    Fort Wayne City Utilities
    Data period
    Area Connection Fees effective January 1, 2026; System Development Charges effective May 1, 2026
    Scope
    Fort Wayne City Utilities development and service areas
    Locator
    Fees section: Area Connection Fees and System Development Charges
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  13. 13
    Allen County and Fort Wayne Department of Planning Services Fee Schedule — Effective January 1, 2026

    Used for: 2026 planning fees for common non-residential development processes

    Publisher
    Allen County / Fort Wayne Department of Planning Services
    Data period
    Effective January 1, 2026
    Scope
    Allen County and Fort Wayne planning applications
    Locator
    Site Plan Review, Plan Commission, Downtown Pre-Review, and BZA fee tables
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  14. 14
    DPS Design Review Committee — New Construction & Additions Checklist

    Used for: DC and DE downtown new-construction standards require a minimum 20-foot building height and two occupiable stories at street level and Covered downtown projects require at least 50 percent street-level facade transparency and restrict specified lower-facade materials

    Publisher
    Allen County / Fort Wayne Department of Planning Services
    Data period
    Current downtown design standards accessed August 2026; Downtown Design Manual effective January 2024
    Scope
    Downtown Fort Wayne DC and DE zoning districts for covered new-construction and addition projects
    Locator
    Height, primary facade materials, facade transparency, vehicle access, and loading sections
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  15. 15
    2026 Neighborhood Infrastructure Upgrades

    Used for: Fort Wayne 2026 neighborhood infrastructure program includes substantial streets, roads, bridges, and resurfacing work

    Publisher
    City of Fort Wayne Public Works / Engage Fort Wayne
    Data period
    2026 construction season
    Scope
    Fort Wayne citywide neighborhood infrastructure program
    Locator
    Project totals and infrastructure highlights
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  16. 16
    Bluffton Road Bridge

    Used for: Bluffton Road bridge replacement is under construction with phased maintenance-of-traffic plans and detour routes

    Publisher
    City of Fort Wayne Public Works / Engage Fort Wayne
    Data period
    Under construction March 2026
    Scope
    Bluffton Road bridge and approaches in Fort Wayne
    Locator
    Project Description, maintenance-of-traffic documents, and Under Construction section
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  17. 17
    Purchasing

    Used for: City purchasing resources provide public bidding opportunities, vendor-compliance requirements, a Buy Indiana program, and standard terms and conditions

    Publisher
    City of Fort Wayne
    Data period
    Current purchasing resources accessed August 2026
    Scope
    City of Fort Wayne procurement
    Locator
    Buy Indiana Program, Vendor Compliance, Public Bidding Opportunities, and Standard Terms and Conditions links
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026
  18. 18
    Greater Fort Wayne Inc. Member Directory

    Used for: Greater Fort Wayne Inc. member directory reports 1,425 results across broad business and institutional categories

    Publisher
    Greater Fort Wayne Inc.
    Data period
    Current directory accessed August 2026
    Scope
    Greater Fort Wayne business community
    Locator
    Member directory, category index, and search result count
    Source tier
    Tier 3 · credible local institution
    Accessed
    August 14, 2026

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