Local operating-model alignment analysis

Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Ann Arbor, Michigan

We compared 14 franchise concepts for Ann Arbor, Michigan. University and government account demand was a leading positive mechanism. Event-demand volatility was a leading operating constraint.

What “best” means in this ranking“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page. It does not estimate earnings or determine which franchise is best for a particular candidate.
Analysis by Thomas Jepsen, MSc Model: 0.9.0
14Concepts evaluated
22Sources used
11Primary sources
26Local metrics

Evaluation set

Why these concepts were evaluated

This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.

14Concepts assessed

Concepts were included when enough operating-model information existed to assign a provisional local-sensitivity profile. Unresolved inputs reduce confidence or remain conditional rather than automatically excluding a concept.

A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.

City-level conclusions

What stood out in our assessment

Highest category average (limited comparison)Restoration

70.6 average across 2 concepts

Largest positive factorTarget-market demand

0.6 points average among 7 affected concepts

Most assumption-sensitive rankCity Wide

Tested rank range spans 12 positions

Executive conclusion

What the ranking means for Ann Arbor, Michigan

City Wide, Jan-Pro International, and ZOOM DRAIN produced the highest modeled local-alignment scores in the evaluated set. University and government account demand was the strongest positive scored mechanism among 6 exposed concepts, adding 0.7 points on average. One important asymmetry was that the same local condition supported event-driven demand upside while also creating event-demand volatility. City Wide was especially relationship-sensitive: removing university and government account demand moved it from #1 to #13 in the full model rerun. These scores describe local operating alignment, not expected returns or overall franchise quality; the offered territory and franchise economics still require separate diligence.

How this differs from a directory: the model does not award points for brand popularity, advertising placement, or referral compensation. It tests how documented local conditions interact with each concept’s operating requirements.

Best franchise opportunities assessed

Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed

“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.

Rankings use full-precision scores.Displayed values use one decimal place. Identical displayed scores can therefore have different ranks, and close results should be treated as effectively similar.
RankFranchiseAlignment and tierLargest advantageLargest constraintEvidence confidence
1City WideFacility managementInvestment: $229,729–$410,730
71.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.4 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
2Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaningInvestment: $130,000–$421,500
71.0Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.0 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
3ZOOM DRAINDrain and sewer serviceInvestment: $266,250–$570,500
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
4Mr. RooterPlumbingInvestment: $152,900–$298,675
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
5Rainbow International RestorationRestorationInvestment: $185,336–$351,900
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.5 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
6FASTSIGNSSigns and graphicsInvestment: $231,226–$386,285
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
7Aire ServHVAC installation, repair, and maintenanceInvestment: $113,308–$271,708
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
8Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical
70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.6 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
9PuroCleanRestorationInvestment: $54,575–$262,145
70.5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.5 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
10HomeSmilesProperty maintenance servicesInvestment: $148,110–$201,800
70.5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.5 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence

View all 14 score calculations

Conditions that changed the analysis

What mattered most in Ann Arbor, Michigan

01

University of Michigan campus and hospital scale supports institutional-account service demand

This relationship affected 6 concepts and added 0.7 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: University of Michigan hospital staff headcount, November 2025: 22,985 staff. [7] [1]

02

Michigan Stadium creates recurring very-large event demand and operating variance near stadium and downtown trade areas

The same local condition created complementary effects: event-driven demand upside supported exposed concepts while event-demand volatility constrained others. [10]

03

Ann Arbor resident population estimate was 122,233 on July 1, 2025

Resident population alone understates the scale of institution-linked activity because the University of Michigan reports 53,488 students and 56,276 Ann Arbor campus-and-hospital faculty/staff headcounts, while Michigan Stadium repeatedly draws more than 100,000 attendees. These figures support institutional-account and event-dependent mechanisms, but they do not establish uniform citywide walk-in demand or permit the student, employee, event, and resident counts to be added as a single daytime-population total. [4] [6] [7] [10]

Evidence behind the city mechanisms

University of Michigan campus and hospital scale supports institutional-account service demand1 modeled effect
University and government account demandTarget-market demand
A large share of Ann Arbor housing units predates 1980, supporting age-linked repair and replacement demand1 modeled effect
Replacement and repair demandProperty replacement-cycle demand
Michigan Stadium creates recurring very-large event demand and operating variance near stadium and downtown trade areas3 local facts · 2 modeled effects · 3 sources
  • Michigan Stadium current seating capacity: 107,601 seats [10]
  • Consecutive Michigan home football games drawing more than 100,000 attendees as reported April 2026: 329 games [10]
  • Scheduled 2026 stadium event dates with on-street parking restrictions listed by the City: 12 event dates [11] [3]
Event-driven demand upsideTarget-market demand
Event-demand volatilityTarget-market demand
Large institutional customer opportunities can involve formal U-M capital-project procurement steps1 modeled effect
Institutional procurement-cycle frictionSales and customer acquisition

Compare all assessed concepts

Local impact by franchise concept

14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see the score-changing factors and their modeled drivers; the full audit ledger stays collapsed.

#1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.4

City Wide

Facility management · B2B facility management and vendor coordination

Initial investment: $229,729–$410,730

Increase +1.4 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • University and government account demand Evidence+1.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #1 → #13
+1.4 pts
Net local movement+1.44 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.4
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.44
Published local-market alignment71.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.4 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#13
#2Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.0

Jan-Pro International

Commercial cleaning · recurring commercial route service

Initial investment: $130,000–$421,500

Increase +1.0 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • University and government account demand Evidence+1.1 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #2 → #14
  • Event-demand volatility Evidence-0.1 pts
+1.0 pts
Net local movement+0.98 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.0
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.98
Published local-market alignment71.0

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.0 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#14
#3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

ZOOM DRAIN

Drain and sewer service · emergency skilled-trade route service

Initial investment: $266,250–$570,500

Increase +0.7 pts Property replacement-cycle demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Property replacement-cycle demand
  • Replacement and repair demand Evidence+0.7 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #3 → #10
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.72 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demand+0.7
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.72
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Property replacement-cycle demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#10
#4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

Mr. Rooter

Plumbing · scheduled and emergency skilled-trade service

Initial investment: $152,900–$298,675

Increase +0.7 pts Property replacement-cycle demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Property replacement-cycle demand
  • Replacement and repair demand Evidence+0.7 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #4 → #11
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.71 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demand+0.7
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.71
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Property replacement-cycle demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#11
#5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

Rainbow International Restoration

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $185,336–$351,900

Increase +0.5 pts Property replacement-cycle demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Property replacement-cycle demand
  • Replacement and repair demand Evidence+0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #5 → #7
+0.5 pts
Target-market demand
  • University and government account demand Evidence+0.2 pts
+0.2 pts
Net local movement+0.70 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.2
Property replacement-cycle demand+0.5
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.70
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Property replacement-cycle demand +0.5 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#7
#6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

FASTSIGNS

Signs and graphics · B2B production and installation center

Initial investment: $231,226–$386,285

Increase +0.7 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • University and government account demand Evidence+0.7 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #6 → #12
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.70 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
2 images
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.7
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.70
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#11
#7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

Aire Serv

HVAC installation, repair, and maintenance · Manager-led mobile HVAC installation, repair, maintenance, and emergency service business using skilled technicians…

Initial investment: $113,308–$271,708

Increase +0.7 pts Property replacement-cycle demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Property replacement-cycle demand
  • Replacement and repair demand Evidence+0.7 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #7 → #8
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.67 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demand+0.7
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.67
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Property replacement-cycle demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#8
#8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.6

Mister Sparky Electric

Electrical · skilled-trade home service

Increase +0.6 pts Property replacement-cycle demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Property replacement-cycle demand
  • Replacement and repair demand Evidence+0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #8 → #12
+0.6 pts
Net local movement+0.60 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demand+0.6
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.60
Published local-market alignment70.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Property replacement-cycle demand +0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#12
#9Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.5

PuroClean

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $54,575–$262,145

Increase +0.5 pts Property replacement-cycle demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Property replacement-cycle demand
  • Replacement and repair demand Evidence+0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #9 → #14
+0.5 pts
Net local movement+0.53 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demand+0.5
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.53
Published local-market alignment70.5

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Property replacement-cycle demand +0.5 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#14
#10Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.5

HomeSmiles

Property maintenance services · Home-based mobile property-maintenance franchise using equipped service vans and technician crews to deliver bundled…

Initial investment: $148,110–$201,800

Increase +0.5 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • University and government account demand Evidence+0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #10 → #9
+0.5 pts
Net local movement+0.47 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.5
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.47
Published local-market alignment70.5

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.5 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#10
#11Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.4

ActionCOACH

Business coaching · home-based B2B advisory

Initial investment: $71,668–$303,513

Increase +0.4 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • University and government account demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #11
+0.4 pts
Sales and customer acquisitionInstitutional procurement-cycle friction EvidenceConditional — applicability must be confirmedNot scored
Net local movement+0.44 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.4
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.44
Published local-market alignment70.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.4 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#11
#12Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.3

Pillar To Post Home Inspectors

Home inspection · mobile property inspection service

Initial investment: $102,690–$134,290

Increase +0.3 pts Property replacement-cycle demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Property replacement-cycle demand
  • Replacement and repair demand Evidence+0.3 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #12 → #13
+0.3 pts
Net local movement+0.32 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
2 sources
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demand+0.3
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.32
Published local-market alignment70.3

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Property replacement-cycle demand +0.3 pts
Tested rank range
#7–#13
#13Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.2

Workout Anytime

Fitness · fixed-location membership fitness

Initial investment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550

Increase +0.2 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Event-driven demand upside Evidence+0.3 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #13 → #14
  • Event-demand volatility Evidence-0.1 pts
+0.2 pts
Net local movement+0.18 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.2
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.18
Published local-market alignment70.2

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.2 pts
Tested rank range
#6–#13
#14Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.0

Tiger Adjusters

Public insurance adjusting · Home-based, referral-led public insurance adjusting business combining local property inspections with…

Initial investment: $43,050–$159,500

No material positive local adjustment identifiedNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

No material scored local adjustment was identified for this concept.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.00
Published local-market alignment70.0

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Strong
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Strong
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
0.0 pts
Tested rank range
#9–#14

Worked score example

How we calculated City Wide

This example uses the same ledger shown for every concept and must reconcile exactly to the published score.

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.4
Property replacement-cycle demandNot applicable to this operating model
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Sales and customer acquisitionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.44
Published local-market alignment71.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Starting pointThe operating-model baseline shown in the first ledger row.
InteractionsAny interaction or gate is included in the relevant contribution or calibration row.
Confidence treatmentEvidence confidence is disclosed separately unless the model definition explicitly applies a calibration adjustment.
RoundingFull-precision contributions are summed before the final displayed score is rounded to one decimal place; whole-number results are shown without a trailing decimal.

Factor impact

Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?

We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.

Observed model effectMixed or model dependent

Target-market demand

We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.

Why concepts react differently

We applied a measurable adjustment to 7 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 13 concepts changed position. City Wide moved from #1 to #13, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.

Concepts adjusted7 of 14
Average among affected+0.6 pts
Average across all concepts+0.3 pts
Concepts changing rank13

What we observed

  • University Of Michigan Hospital Staff Headcount, November 202522,985 staff
  • University Of Michigan Ann Arbor Campus And Hospital Faculty/staff Headcount, November 202556,276 faculty and staff
  • University Of Michigan Ann Arbor Total Student Enrollment, Fall 202553,488 students

Concepts helped most

City WideFacility management
+1.4 pts
Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaning
+1.0 pts
FASTSIGNSSigns and graphics
+0.7 pts
HomeSmilesProperty maintenance services
+0.5 pts
ActionCOACHBusiness coaching
+0.4 pts
Measured but not differentiating in this concept set
  • Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
  • Labor and staffing frictionNo material score adjustment
  • Transportation, routing, and parkingNo material score adjustment
  • Real estate and site feasibilityNo material score adjustment
  • Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
  • Referral ecosystemNo material score adjustment
  • Territory qualityNo material score adjustment
  • Regulatory and operating frictionNo material score adjustment

Rank stability

Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?

The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.

#1 City WideHighly sensitive · tested #1–#13
#2 Jan-Pro InternationalHighly sensitive · tested #2–#14
#3 ZOOM DRAINHighly sensitive · tested #1–#10
#4 Mr. RooterHighly sensitive · tested #2–#11
#5 Rainbow International RestorationModerately sensitive · tested #5–#7
#6 FASTSIGNSHighly sensitive · tested #3–#11
#7 Aire ServHighly sensitive · tested #3–#8
#8 Mister Sparky ElectricHighly sensitive · tested #4–#12
#9 PuroCleanHighly sensitive · tested #5–#14
#10 HomeSmilesHighly sensitive · tested #4–#10
#11 ActionCOACHHighly sensitive · tested #5–#11
#12 Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHighly sensitive · tested #7–#13
#13 Workout AnytimeHighly sensitive · tested #6–#13
#14 Tiger AdjustersHighly sensitive · tested #9–#14

Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.

Original factor comparison

How each factor affected the highest-rated franchise concepts

The graph includes the top 14 concepts by local-alignment score. Only nonzero score contributions are plotted. A factor is removed when every displayed concept received 0.0 points from it. Hover or focus a concept name to highlight all of its remaining data points.

Factor impact among the highest-rated franchise conceptsDiverging dot plot showing nonzero factor score contributions for the top 14 concepts. Zero-point concept-factor pairs are omitted, and factors with no nonzero contributions are excluded.+1.5+0.80.0-0.8-1.5
Target-market demand
#1 City Wide · Target-market demand · +1.4 pts1#2 Jan-Pro International · Target-market demand · +1.0 pts2#5 Rainbow International Restoration · Target-market demand · +0.2 pts5#6 FASTSIGNS · Target-market demand · +0.7 pts6#10 HomeSmiles · Target-market demand · +0.5 pts10#11 ActionCOACH · Target-market demand · +0.4 pts11#13 Workout Anytime · Target-market demand · +0.2 pts13
Property replacement-cycle demand
#3 ZOOM DRAIN · Property replacement-cycle demand · +0.7 pts3#4 Mr. Rooter · Property replacement-cycle demand · +0.7 pts4#5 Rainbow International Restoration · Property replacement-cycle demand · +0.5 pts5#7 Aire Serv · Property replacement-cycle demand · +0.7 pts7#8 Mister Sparky Electric · Property replacement-cycle demand · +0.6 pts8#9 PuroClean · Property replacement-cycle demand · +0.5 pts9#12 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors · Property replacement-cycle demand · +0.3 pts12
Primary source records by factorTarget-market demand: [4] [6] [7] [10] [11] [12] [1] [2]Property replacement-cycle demand: [5] [4] [1]Competitive environment: [4] [3] [1]Labor and staffing friction: [13] [14] [7] [1] [2]Transportation, routing, and parking: [17] [11] [3]Real estate and site feasibility: [15] [16] [1]Sales and customer acquisition: [8] [9] [7]Referral ecosystem: [7] [6] [8]Territory quality: [17] [11] [20] [6] [3]Regulatory and operating friction: [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] [2] [3]
View the chart data as a table
ConceptTarget-market demandProperty replacement-cycle demand
#1 City Wide+1.4 pts—
#2 Jan-Pro International+1.0 pts—
#3 ZOOM DRAIN—+0.7 pts
#4 Mr. Rooter—+0.7 pts
#5 Rainbow International Restoration+0.2 pts+0.5 pts
#6 FASTSIGNS+0.7 pts—
#7 Aire Serv—+0.7 pts
#8 Mister Sparky Electric—+0.6 pts
#9 PuroClean—+0.5 pts
#10 HomeSmiles+0.5 pts—
#11 ActionCOACH+0.4 pts—
#12 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors—+0.3 pts
#13 Workout Anytime+0.2 pts—
#14 Tiger Adjusters——

Interpretation

How to interpret the result

City Wide, Jan-Pro International, ZOOM DRAIN led because their operating requirements captured more of the local support from target-market demand while remaining less exposed to competitive environment. The same city condition can help one operating model and constrain another, so score differences should be read through each concept's factor pattern rather than as a universal franchise-quality verdict. The ordering is most assumption-sensitive for City Wide, Jan-Pro International, ZOOM DRAIN; their ranks move more widely when individual factors are neutralized.

Category comparisons

Best franchise categories we assessed in Ann Arbor, Michigan

Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.

Limited two-concept comparison

Best Restoration franchise opportunities we assessed in Ann Arbor, Michigan

70.6

2 Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 70.5 to 70.7. Rainbow International Restoration ranked highest at 70.7. Property replacement-cycle demand added 0.5 points on average among the affected concepts.

Interpret cautiously: A 0.2-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.

Concepts compared
2
Score range
70.5–70.7
Category average
70.6
Rainbow International Restoration70.7
PuroClean70.5

Metric registry

The 26 local metrics behind this analysis

The registry shows each public metric’s raw value, period, geography, source, and its actual role in the compiled analysis.

View all local metrics
MetricRaw valuePeriodGeographyRole in analysisSource
Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025122,233peopleJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 Economic Census valuesAnn Arbor, MichiganSupports research conclusion [4]
Estimated households, 2020-202450,499householdsJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 Economic Census valuesAnn Arbor, MichiganContext only [4]
Owner-occupied housing unit rate, 2020-202445.5percentJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 Economic Census valuesAnn Arbor, MichiganContext only [4]
Estimated housing units by year built from ACS 2018-2022pre 1939: 8,118; 1940 1949: 2,478; 1950 1959: 5,854; 1960 1969: 9,783; 1970 1979: 8,460; 1980 1989: 6,004; 1990 1999: 6,382; 2000 2009: 3,256; additional values omittedhousing unitsHousing year-built chart uses 2018-2022 ACS 5-year estimates; assessor mapping through 2022Ann Arbor, MichiganUsed in scoring [5] [1]
Share of estimated housing units built before 198065percentHousing year-built chart uses 2018-2022 ACS 5-year estimates; assessor mapping through 2022Ann Arbor, MichiganUsed in scoring [5]
University of Michigan Ann Arbor total student enrollment, Fall 202553,488studentsFall 2025, with some referenced 2024-2025 and 2025-2026 measuresUniversity of Michigan Ann Arbor campusUsed in scoring [6] [2] [3]
Share of University of Michigan undergraduates living in U-M housing25percent approximateFall 2025, with some referenced 2024-2025 and 2025-2026 measuresUniversity of Michigan Ann Arbor campusContext only [6]
University of Michigan Ann Arbor campus and hospital faculty/staff headcount, November 202556,276faculty and staffAppointments as of November 1, 2025University of Michigan Ann Arbor campus and hospitalUsed in scoring [7] [1]
University of Michigan hospital staff headcount, November 202522,985staffAppointments as of November 1, 2025University of Michigan HospitalsUsed in scoring [7]
Michigan Stadium current seating capacity107,601seatsCurrent stadium capacity and attendance streak reported April 2026Michigan Stadium, Ann ArborSupports modeled relationship [10]
Consecutive Michigan home football games drawing more than 100,000 attendees as reported April 2026329gamesCurrent stadium capacity and attendance streak reported April 2026Michigan Stadium, Ann ArborSupports modeled relationship [10]
Scheduled 2026 stadium event dates with on-street parking restrictions listed by the City12event dates2026 scheduled stadium events and recurring game-day restrictionsMichigan Stadium area and designated nearby streetsConditional relationship [11] [3]
City describes sustained construction activity in and around downtown between April and November 2026 with closures, lane reductions, shifting traffic patterns and reduced on-street parkingyescondition present2026 construction season, primarily April-NovemberGreater downtown Ann Arbor, roughly East Kingsley to East Hoover and Observatory to ThirdConditional relationship [17]
Ann Arbor-area flex vacancy rate at year-end 202513.3percentAs of December 31, 2025Ann Arbor area / Washtenaw County surveyed flex marketContext only [15] [1]
Combined office and flex vacancy at year-end 202515.3percentAs of December 31, 2025Ann Arbor area / Washtenaw County surveyed office/flex marketContext only [15]
Current Colliers Ann Arbor inventory includes multiple garage/flex and industrial lease listings, including sub-10,000-square-foot optionsyesinventory presentLive listings accessed August 15, 2026Ann Arbor and nearby Washtenaw County submarketsContext only [16]
Mean hourly wages and employment shares for franchise-relevant major occupational groups, Ann Arbor MSA versus United States, May 2025food preparation serving: ann arbor hourly: 18.69, us hourly: 17.86, ann arbor employment share pct: 6.9; building grounds cleaning: ann arbor hourly: 19.7, us hourly: 19.66, ann arbor employment share pct: 2.3; office admin support: ann arbor hourly: 23.52, us hourly: 24.79, ann arbor employment share pct: 11; installation maintenance repair: ann arbor hourly: 30.95, us hourly: 30.44, ann arbor employment share pct: 2.7usd per hour and percentMay 2025Ann Arbor, MI MSA / Washtenaw CountyContext only [13]
Ann Arbor MSA unemployment rate, June 20264.2percent not seasonally adjustedJune 2026Ann Arbor, MI MSA / Washtenaw CountyContext only [14]
A current U-M capital-project invitation to bid required electronic submission, a mandatory pre-bid meeting for invited bidders, and prohibited proposal withdrawal for 60 days after bid openingyescondition presentLive bid opportunities and tabulations accessed August 15, 2026University of Michigan capital-project procurementConditional relationship [8] [9]
Ann Arbor energy and water benchmarking applies annually to buildings and campuses greater than 20,000 square feet20,000square feet threshold2026 reporting cycle; annual June 1 deadlineAnn Arbor, MichiganConditional relationship [18] [19]
After the June 1, 2026 reporting deadline, the City stated it was preparing enforcement action for covered properties out of complianceyesenforcement preparation2026 reporting cycle; annual June 1 deadlineAnn Arbor, MichiganConditional relationship [18]
All exterior work in Ann Arbor historic districts is regulated by the Historic District Commission and requires an application and approved Certificate of Appropriatenessyesrequirement presentCurrent application process and 2026 Historic District Commission scheduleDesignated Ann Arbor historic districtsConditional relationship [20] [3]
Latest Planning Services fee sheet located in the research pass lists Site Plan for Planning Commission Approval with City Stormwater Review at $11,050 plus $50 per lot or per 1,000 square feet of new gross floor areabase fee usd: 11,050; multiplier usd: 50; multiplier basis: per lot OR per 1,000 sq ft of new gross floor area or fraction thereofusdEffective July 1, 2025; updated October 1, 2025Ann Arbor, MichiganContext only [21] [2]
Latest Planning Services fee sheet located in the research pass lists a $600 Wetland Use Permit fee when developing on a wetland as defined in UDC 5.23.9 and 5.29.4600usdEffective July 1, 2025; updated October 1, 2025Ann Arbor development sites meeting the UDC wetland triggerContext only [21] [2]
New petitions submitted to the City Planning Commission beginning July 1, 2026 must post a Proposed Development Notice sign on each site frontage for covered petition typesyesrequirement presentCurrent 2026 application process and deadlinesAnn Arbor, MichiganContext only [22]
The 2026-2027 Ann Arbor academic calendar includes fall and winter terms plus spring and summer half terms rather than a complete summer campus shutdownyescondition presentAcademic year 2026-2027University of Michigan Ann Arbor campusContext only [12] [2]

How to use the ranking

What the model can and cannot establish

  • Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
  • Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.
  • Conditional effects are shown for diligence but do not change the published score until their applicability is established.

Methodology

How the local-alignment ranking is calculated

01

Measure the city

Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.

02

Profile each operating model

Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.

03

Apply scoreable effects

Score only effects that apply without an unresolved site, territory, customer, or project gate.

04

Preserve conditional effects

Keep location- or territory-dependent issues visible for diligence without automatically changing the score.

05

Test rank sensitivity

Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.

06

Generate public output

Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.

How the common baseline becomes a city-specific score

Every concept starts from the same 70.0 reference point, so differences come only from modeled local interactions. In this city, City Wide reached 71.44 after target-market demand +1.4 pts. The current model caps total local movement at ±18.0 points. The score is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.

Precision and materiality

Calculations use full-precision values. Published scores and factor contributions display one decimal place, while ranks use full precision. Effects smaller than 0.1 points are identified as below the publication threshold rather than presented as a meaningful zero.

Score tiers

Tier 1 · Strongest modeled alignment80.0–100.0
Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment72.0–<80.0
Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment64.0–<72.0
Tier 4 · Higher-friction modeled alignment0.0–<64.0

How factor rows are classified

Positive local adjustmentNegative local adjustmentMeasured; no meaningful local adjustmentEffect below the publication thresholdNot applicable to this operating modelDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating conditionNot included in the score
What “best” means here

“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.

Model 0.9.0 · Compiler 0.15.1-franchise-image-filter · Report generated August 19, 2026 (site timezone)

Model governance

How this report is calculated and corrected

Calculation controls

Model designer
Thomas Jepsen

No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Before this template is activated, the report is reviewed for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability.

Model history

  1. Model 0.9.0-calibration · August 19, 2026Added compiler-derived decision intelligence and observation usage mapping., Changed factor sensitivity and channel counterfactuals to full model reruns., Added data-dependent city content signals while preserving legacy public report fields., and Added model-owned semantic compatibility gates and backward-compatible channel-level evidence attribution.

Corrections policy

Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.

Source registry

Evidence represented in this report

Each source identifies its period, scope, and the local metrics it supports. Internal or supplied research is not presented as independently accessible evidence.

  1. 1
    Supplied multi-city structural operating-fit research docketInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.

    Used for: Estimated housing units by year built from ACS 2018-2022, University of Michigan Ann Arbor campus and hospital faculty/staff headcount, November 2025, and Ann Arbor-area flex vacancy rate at year-end 2025

    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Research cited as accessed through February 24, 2026
    Scope
    Ann Arbor, Michigan section within a multi-city research docket
    Locator
    Ann Arbor section, pages 14-15
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  2. 2
    Forensic Audit of Municipal Deal-Killers and Structural ConstraintsInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.

    Used for: University of Michigan Ann Arbor total student enrollment, Fall 2025, Latest Planning Services fee sheet located in the research pass lists Site Plan for Planning Commission Approval with City Stormwater Review at $11,050 plus $50 per lot or per 1,000 square feet of new gross floor area, Latest Planning Services fee sheet located in the research pass lists a $600 Wetland Use Permit fee when developing on a wetland as defined in UDC 5.23.9 and 5.29.4, and The 2026-2027 Ann Arbor academic calendar includes fall and winter terms plus spring and summer half terms rather than a complete summer campus shutdown

    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Research cited as accessed through February 20, 2026
    Scope
    Ann Arbor, Michigan section within a multi-city research docket
    Locator
    Ann Arbor section, pages 24-28
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  3. 3
    Franchise data - remake - mod neighborhood researchInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.

    Used for: University of Michigan Ann Arbor total student enrollment, Fall 2025, Scheduled 2026 stadium event dates with on-street parking restrictions listed by the City, and All exterior work in Ann Arbor historic districts is regulated by the Historic District Commission and requires an application and approved Certificate of Appropriateness

    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Supplied file inspected August 15, 2026
    Scope
    Six Ann Arbor neighborhood rows plus other-city rows
    Locator
    Ann Arbor rows: Downtown, West Side, Burns Park, Ann Arbor Hills, Traverwood, Northside
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  4. 4
    QuickFacts: Ann Arbor city, Michigan

    Used for: Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025, Estimated households, 2020-2024, and Owner-occupied housing unit rate, 2020-2024

    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Data period
    July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 Economic Census values
    Scope
    Ann Arbor city, Michigan
    Locator
    Population, housing, households, education, and economy fields
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  5. 5
    Comprehensive Land Use Plan Appendix

    Used for: Estimated housing units by year built from ACS 2018-2022 and Share of estimated housing units built before 1980

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor
    Published
    June 1, 2026
    Data period
    Housing year-built chart uses 2018-2022 ACS 5-year estimates; assessor mapping through 2022
    Scope
    City of Ann Arbor
    Locator
    Housing appendix pp. 59-60: Year Structure Built by Property and Number of Housing Units by Year Built
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  6. 6
    Ann Arbor Campus Snapshot - Fall 2025

    Used for: University of Michigan Ann Arbor total student enrollment, Fall 2025 and Share of University of Michigan undergraduates living in U-M housing

    Publisher
    University of Michigan Office of Budget and Planning
    Published
    March 1, 2026
    Data period
    Fall 2025, with some referenced 2024-2025 and 2025-2026 measures
    Scope
    University of Michigan Ann Arbor campus
    Locator
    Students and Faculty & Staff summary; undergraduate housing share
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institutional research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  7. 7
    University of Michigan - Ann Arbor Faculty and Staff Headcount Summary

    Used for: University of Michigan Ann Arbor campus and hospital faculty/staff headcount, November 2025 and University of Michigan hospital staff headcount, November 2025

    Publisher
    University of Michigan Office of Budget and Planning
    Published
    November 11, 2025
    Data period
    Appointments as of November 1, 2025
    Scope
    University of Michigan Ann Arbor campus and hospital
    Locator
    2025 Ann Arbor campus, hospital, and combined faculty/staff headcounts
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institutional research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  8. 8
    Out to Bid

    Used for: A current U-M capital-project invitation to bid required electronic submission, a mandatory pre-bid meeting for invited bidders, and prohibited proposal withdrawal for 60 days after bid opening

    Publisher
    University of Michigan Architecture, Engineering and Construction
    Published
    August 1, 2026
    Data period
    Live bid opportunities and tabulations accessed August 15, 2026
    Scope
    University of Michigan facilities, primarily Ann Arbor
    Locator
    Current contractor advertisements, invitations to bid, due dates, and bid tabulations
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institutional research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  9. 9
    Invitation for Bid: Palmer Commons Second and Third Floor Renovation

    Used for: A current U-M capital-project invitation to bid required electronic submission, a mandatory pre-bid meeting for invited bidders, and prohibited proposal withdrawal for 60 days after bid opening

    Publisher
    University of Michigan Architecture, Engineering and Construction
    Published
    July 16, 2026
    Data period
    Bid due August 12, 2026; proposal withdrawal prohibited for 60 days after bid opening
    Scope
    Palmer Commons, Ann Arbor
    Locator
    Invitation for bid requirements, mandatory pre-bid meeting, invited bidders, and 60-day withdrawal restriction
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institutional research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  10. 10
    Michigan Athletics to Celebrate 100th Anniversary of Michigan Stadium in 2027

    Used for: Michigan Stadium current seating capacity and Consecutive Michigan home football games drawing more than 100,000 attendees as reported April 2026

    Publisher
    University of Michigan Athletics
    Published
    April 22, 2026
    Data period
    Current stadium capacity and attendance streak reported April 2026
    Scope
    Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor
    Locator
    Capacity 107,601; 100,000-plus crowd streak; 2025 and 2026 major events
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institutional research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  11. 11
    Game Day in Ann Arbor

    Used for: Scheduled 2026 stadium event dates with on-street parking restrictions listed by the City

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor Police Department
    Data period
    2026 scheduled stadium events and recurring game-day restrictions
    Scope
    Michigan Stadium area and affected Ann Arbor streets
    Locator
    2026 event list, on-street parking restrictions, FootballRide, and Main Street closures
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  12. 12
    University of Michigan Academic Calendar 2026-2027 - Ann Arbor Campus

    Used for: The 2026-2027 Ann Arbor academic calendar includes fall and winter terms plus spring and summer half terms rather than a complete summer campus shutdown

    Publisher
    University of Michigan Office of the Registrar
    Published
    May 1, 2024
    Data period
    Academic year 2026-2027
    Scope
    University of Michigan Ann Arbor campus
    Locator
    Fall, winter, spring and summer term dates and recesses
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · recognized institutional research
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  13. 13
    Occupational Employment and Wages in Ann Arbor - May 2025

    Used for: Mean hourly wages and employment shares for franchise-relevant major occupational groups, Ann Arbor MSA versus United States, May 2025

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Published
    July 15, 2026
    Data period
    May 2025
    Scope
    Ann Arbor, MI MSA (Washtenaw County)
    Locator
    Table A major occupational groups and wages
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  14. 14
    Michigan regional unemployment rates decline in June

    Used for: Ann Arbor MSA unemployment rate, June 2026

    Publisher
    Michigan Center for Data and Analytics
    Published
    July 23, 2026
    Data period
    June 2026
    Scope
    Ann Arbor MSA / Washtenaw County and Michigan labor market areas
    Locator
    Ann Arbor MSA labor-force indicators and regional comparison
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  15. 15
    2025 Year-End Vacancy Report: Ann Arbor Office/Flex Market

    Used for: Ann Arbor-area flex vacancy rate at year-end 2025 and Combined office and flex vacancy at year-end 2025

    Publisher
    Swisher Commercial
    Published
    January 2, 2026
    Data period
    As of December 31, 2025
    Scope
    Ann Arbor area / Washtenaw County office and flex survey
    Locator
    287 buildings of 5,000+ sq ft; total, office and flex vacancy
    Source tier
    Tier 3 · credible industry
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  16. 16
    Garage / Flex Properties

    Used for: Current Colliers Ann Arbor inventory includes multiple garage/flex and industrial lease listings, including sub-10,000-square-foot options

    Publisher
    Colliers Ann Arbor
    Data period
    Live listings accessed August 15, 2026
    Scope
    Ann Arbor and nearby Washtenaw County submarkets
    Locator
    Current garage/flex and industrial listing inventory
    Source tier
    Tier 4 · directional commercial
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  17. 17
    Stay Informed as Ann Arbor Plans for Busy Road Construction Season

    Used for: City describes sustained construction activity in and around downtown between April and November 2026 with closures, lane reductions, shifting traffic patterns and reduced on-street parking

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor
    Published
    March 9, 2026
    Data period
    2026 construction season, primarily April-November
    Scope
    Greater downtown Ann Arbor and selected residential streets
    Locator
    Downtown construction geography, closure types, named utility/road/private projects, expected timing
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  18. 18
    Energy and Water Benchmarking and Disclosure Ordinance

    Used for: Ann Arbor energy and water benchmarking applies annually to buildings and campuses greater than 20,000 square feet and After the June 1, 2026 reporting deadline, the City stated it was preparing enforcement action for covered properties out of compliance

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor
    Data period
    2026 reporting cycle; annual June 1 deadline
    Scope
    Covered Ann Arbor buildings and campuses over 20,000 sq ft
    Locator
    Coverage threshold, annual reporting, 2026 deadline and enforcement status
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  19. 19
    Ann Arbor's Energy & Water Benchmarking Reaches Compliance Milestone, Launches Public Map

    Used for: Ann Arbor energy and water benchmarking applies annually to buildings and campuses greater than 20,000 square feet

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor
    Published
    January 22, 2026
    Data period
    2025 calendar-year reporting due June 1, 2026
    Scope
    Commercial and multifamily covered properties in Ann Arbor
    Locator
    Compliance rate and ordinance coverage context
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  20. 20
    Historic Preservation Applications

    Used for: All exterior work in Ann Arbor historic districts is regulated by the Historic District Commission and requires an application and approved Certificate of Appropriateness

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor
    Data period
    Current application process and 2026 Historic District Commission schedule
    Scope
    Designated historic districts in Ann Arbor
    Locator
    Exterior-work Certificate of Appropriateness requirement; signs and other common applications
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  21. 21
    Planning Services Planning Review Fees - FY26

    Used for: Latest Planning Services fee sheet located in the research pass lists Site Plan for Planning Commission Approval with City Stormwater Review at $11,050 plus $50 per lot or per 1,000 square feet of new gross floor area and Latest Planning Services fee sheet located in the research pass lists a $600 Wetland Use Permit fee when developing on a wetland as defined in UDC 5.23.9 and 5.29.4

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor
    Published
    October 1, 2025
    Data period
    Effective July 1, 2025; updated October 1, 2025
    Scope
    City of Ann Arbor development-review applications
    Locator
    Planning Commission site plan, City Council site plan, PUD and wetland-use permit fees
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026
  22. 22
    Development Review

    Used for: New petitions submitted to the City Planning Commission beginning July 1, 2026 must post a Proposed Development Notice sign on each site frontage for covered petition types

    Publisher
    City of Ann Arbor
    Data period
    Current 2026 application process and deadlines
    Scope
    City of Ann Arbor development petitions
    Locator
    July 1, 2026 community-participation sign requirement, application cycles and review process
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · government
    Accessed
    August 15, 2026

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