Local operating-model alignment analysis

Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Davenport, Iowa

We compared 14 franchise concepts for Davenport, Iowa. Local business demand was a leading positive mechanism. Territory and submarket uncertainty was a leading operating constraint.

What “best” means in this ranking“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page. It does not estimate earnings or determine which franchise is best for a particular candidate.
Analysis by Thomas Jepsen, MSc Model: 0.9.0
14Concepts evaluated
27Sources used
15Primary sources
27Local metrics

Evaluation set

Why these concepts were evaluated

This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.

14Concepts assessed

Concepts were included when enough operating-model information existed to assign a provisional local-sensitivity profile. Unresolved inputs reduce confidence or remain conditional rather than automatically excluding a concept.

A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.

City-level conclusions

What stood out in our assessment

Highest category average (limited comparison)Restoration

69.9 average across 2 concepts

Largest positive factorTarget-market demand

0.8 points average among 11 affected concepts

Largest negative factorTerritory quality

0.5 points average reduction among 14 affected concepts

Most assumption-sensitive rankPuroClean

Tested rank range spans 9 positions

Executive conclusion

What the ranking means for Davenport, Iowa

City Wide, Jan-Pro International, and ActionCOACH produced the highest modeled local-alignment scores in the evaluated set. Local business demand was the strongest positive scored mechanism among 10 exposed concepts, adding 0.6 points on average. Territory and submarket uncertainty was the broadest operating constraint, reducing exposed concepts by 0.5 points on average. These scores describe local operating alignment, not expected returns or overall franchise quality; the offered territory and franchise economics still require separate diligence.

How this differs from a directory: the model does not award points for brand popularity, advertising placement, or referral compensation. It tests how documented local conditions interact with each concept’s operating requirements.

Best franchise opportunities assessed

Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed

“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.

Rankings use full-precision scores.Displayed values use one decimal place. Identical displayed scores can therefore have different ranks, and close results should be treated as effectively similar.
RankFranchiseAlignment and tierLargest advantageLargest constraintEvidence confidence
1City WideFacility managementInvestment: $229,729–$410,730
72.9Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment
+2.4 ptsTarget-market demand -0.1 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
2Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaningInvestment: $130,000–$421,500
71.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.9 ptsTarget-market demand -0.4 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
3ActionCOACHBusiness coachingInvestment: $71,668–$303,513
71.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.1 ptsTarget-market demand -0.1 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
4FASTSIGNSSigns and graphicsInvestment: $231,226–$386,285
71.1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.6 ptsTarget-market demand -0.7 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
5HomeSmilesProperty maintenance servicesInvestment: $148,110–$201,800
71.0Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.1 ptsTarget-market demand -0.6 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
6Rainbow International RestorationRestorationInvestment: $185,336–$351,900
70.0Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.4 ptsReferral ecosystem -0.6 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
7ZOOM DRAINDrain and sewer serviceInvestment: $266,250–$570,500
69.9Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.3 ptsReferral ecosystem -0.6 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
8PuroCleanRestorationInvestment: $54,575–$262,145
69.8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.4 ptsReferral ecosystem -0.6 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
9Tiger AdjustersPublic insurance adjustingInvestment: $43,050–$159,500
69.8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.1 ptsTarget-market demand -0.3 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence
10Aire ServHVAC installation, repair, and maintenanceInvestment: $113,308–$271,708
69.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.2 ptsTarget-market demand -0.5 ptsTerritory quality Moderate evidence confidence

View all 14 score calculations

Conditions that changed the analysis

What mattered most in Davenport, Iowa

01

Davenport has a documented commercial account base with active downtown and East 53rd Street concentrations

This relationship affected 10 concepts and added 0.6 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: Selected Davenport retail sales and service receipts in 2022: retail sales usd: 3,676,615,000; health care and social assistance receipts usd: 1,252,862,000; transportation and warehousing receipts usd: 226,788,000; accommodation and food services sales usd: 493,813,000. [4] [9]

02

Downtown and East 53rd Street show materially different office, retail, access, and development conditions

This relationship affected 14 concepts and reduced 0.5 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: Downtown Davenport business, resident, workforce, and daytime activity base: businesses minimum: 270; residents: 2,700; workforce: 6,500; average annual daytime population approximate: 19,000; taxable value usd minimum: 434,000,000 mixed counts and usd. [9] [10]

03

recurring-commercial-service

This operating-model cluster separated from the broader set because its exposure to local support and constraints differed. The strongest positive factor was target-market demand, while the main constraint was territory quality. [7] [4] [9] [10] [25] [24] [11]

Evidence behind the city mechanisms

Davenport has a documented commercial account base with active downtown and East 53rd Street concentrations1 modeled effect
Local business demandTarget-market demand
A large Davenport hospital anchor and regional health-sector employment support institutional service demand1 modeled effect
Healthcare institutional service demandTarget-market demand
Local historic designation creates an exterior-review gate for affected premises1 modeled effect
Signage and prototype adaptation burdenRegulatory and operating friction
Downtown and East 53rd Street show materially different office, retail, access, and development conditions1 modeled effect
Territory and submarket uncertaintyTerritory quality

Compare all assessed concepts

Local impact by franchise concept

14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see the score-changing factors and their modeled drivers; the full audit ledger stays collapsed.

#1Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment72.9

City Wide

Facility management · B2B facility management and vendor coordination

Initial investment: $229,729–$410,730

Increase +2.4 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.1 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+1.2 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #1
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.2 pts
+2.4 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.6 pts
+0.6 pts
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.1 pts
-0.1 pts
Net local movement+2.92 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+2.4
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.6
Territory quality-0.1
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score72.92
Published local-market alignment72.9

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +2.4 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#1
#2Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.7

Jan-Pro International

Commercial cleaning · recurring commercial route service

Initial investment: $130,000–$421,500

Increase +1.9 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.4 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.0 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #2
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.9 pts
+1.9 pts
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.4 pts
-0.4 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.1 pts
+0.1 pts
Net local movement+1.68 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.9
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.1
Territory quality-0.4
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.68
Published local-market alignment71.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.9 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#6
#3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.4

ActionCOACH

Business coaching · home-based B2B advisory

Initial investment: $71,668–$303,513

Increase +1.1 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.1 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.0 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #3
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.1 pts
+1.1 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.5 pts
+0.5 pts
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.1 pts
-0.1 pts
Net local movement+1.44 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.1
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.5
Territory quality-0.1
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.44
Published local-market alignment71.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.1 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#4
#4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.1

FASTSIGNS

Signs and graphics · B2B production and installation center

Initial investment: $231,226–$386,285

Increase +1.6 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.7 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.1 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #4 → #5
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
+1.5 pts
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.7 pts
-0.7 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.2 pts
+0.2 pts
Regulatory and operating frictionSignage and prototype adaptation burden EvidenceConditional — applicability must be confirmedNot scored
Net local movement+1.15 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
2 images
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.5
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.2
Territory quality-0.7
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.15
Published local-market alignment71.1

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.6 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#9
#5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.0

HomeSmiles

Property maintenance services · Home-based mobile property-maintenance franchise using equipped service vans and technician crews to deliver bundled…

Initial investment: $148,110–$201,800

Increase +1.1 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.6 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #5 → #4
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
+1.1 pts
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.6 pts
-0.6 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.4 pts
+0.4 pts
Net local movement+0.99 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.1
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.4
Territory quality-0.6
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.99
Published local-market alignment71.0

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.1 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#5
#6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.0

Rainbow International Restoration

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $185,336–$351,900

Increase +0.4 pts Referral ecosystemReduction -0.6 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #6
-0.6 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.4 pts
+0.4 pts
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.2 pts
+0.2 pts
Net local movement-0.02 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.2
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.4
Territory quality-0.6
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.98
Published local-market alignment70.0

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#9
#7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.9

ZOOM DRAIN

Drain and sewer service · emergency skilled-trade route service

Initial investment: $266,250–$570,500

Increase +0.3 pts Referral ecosystemReduction -0.6 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #7
-0.6 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.3 pts
+0.3 pts
Target-market demand+0.2 pts
Net local movement-0.09 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.2
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.3
Territory quality-0.6
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.91
Published local-market alignment69.9

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#7–#10
#8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.8

PuroClean

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $54,575–$262,145

Increase +0.4 pts Referral ecosystemReduction -0.6 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #8
-0.6 pts
Referral ecosystem
  • Professional and institutional relationship density Evidence+0.4 pts
+0.4 pts
Net local movement-0.18 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.4
Territory quality-0.6
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.82
Published local-market alignment69.8

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#13
#9Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.8

Tiger Adjusters

Public insurance adjusting · Home-based, referral-led public insurance adjusting business combining local property inspections with…

Initial investment: $43,050–$159,500

Increase +0.1 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.3 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.3 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #9 → #11
-0.3 pts
Target-market demand+0.1 pts
Net local movement-0.19 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.1
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory quality-0.3
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.81
Published local-market alignment69.8

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.3 pts
Tested rank range
#6–#11
#10Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.6

Aire Serv

HVAC installation, repair, and maintenance · Manager-led mobile HVAC installation, repair, maintenance, and emergency service business using skilled technicians…

Initial investment: $113,308–$271,708

Increase +0.2 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.5 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #10 → #9
-0.5 pts
Target-market demand+0.2 pts
Net local movement-0.35 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.2
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory quality-0.5
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.65
Published local-market alignment69.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.5 pts
Tested rank range
#7–#11
#11Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.6

Pillar To Post Home Inspectors

Home inspection · mobile property inspection service

Initial investment: $102,690–$134,290

Increase +0.1 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.5 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #11 → #12
-0.5 pts
Target-market demand+0.1 pts
Net local movement-0.38 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
2 sources
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.1
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory quality-0.5
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.62
Published local-market alignment69.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.5 pts
Tested rank range
#8–#12
#12Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.6

Mr. Rooter

Plumbing · scheduled and emergency skilled-trade service

Initial investment: $152,900–$298,675

Increase +0.2 pts Target-market demandReduction -0.6 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #12 → #10
-0.6 pts
Target-market demand+0.2 pts
Net local movement-0.45 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.2
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory quality-0.6
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.55
Published local-market alignment69.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#10–#13
#13Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment69.4

Mister Sparky Electric

Electrical · skilled-trade home service

No material positive local adjustment identifiedReduction -0.6 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #13
-0.6 pts
Net local movement-0.56 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory quality-0.6
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score69.44
Published local-market alignment69.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#12–#13
#14Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment68.8

Workout Anytime

Fitness · fixed-location membership fitness

Initial investment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550

No material positive local adjustment identifiedReduction -1.2 pts Territory quality

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Territory quality
  • Territory and submarket uncertainty Evidence-1.2 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #14
-1.2 pts
Regulatory and operating frictionSignage and prototype adaptation burden EvidenceConditional — applicability must be confirmedNot scored
Net local movement-1.16 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory quality-1.2
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score68.84
Published local-market alignment68.8

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Adequate
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Strong
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Territory quality -1.2 pts
Tested rank range
#14–#14

Worked score example

How we calculated City Wide

This example uses the same ledger shown for every concept and must reconcile exactly to the published score.

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+2.4
Property replacement-cycle demandDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystem+0.6
Territory quality-0.1
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score72.92
Published local-market alignment72.9

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Starting pointThe operating-model baseline shown in the first ledger row.
InteractionsAny interaction or gate is included in the relevant contribution or calibration row.
Confidence treatmentEvidence confidence is disclosed separately unless the model definition explicitly applies a calibration adjustment.
RoundingFull-precision contributions are summed before the final displayed score is rounded to one decimal place; whole-number results are shown without a trailing decimal.

Factor impact

Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?

We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.

Observed model effectPositive local support

Target-market demand

We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.

Why concepts react differently

We applied a measurable adjustment to 11 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 10 concepts changed position. FASTSIGNS moved from #4 to #9, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.

Concepts adjusted11 of 14
Average among affected+0.8 pts
Average across all concepts+0.7 pts
Concepts changing rank10

What we observed

  • Selected Davenport Retail Sales And Service Receipts In 2022retail sales usd: 3,676,615,000; health care and social assistance receipts usd: 1,252,862,000; transportation and warehousing receipts usd: 226,788,000; accommodation and food services sales usd: 493,813,000
  • Education And Health Services Employment In The Metropolitan Areaemployment thousands: 27.7; year over year change percent: 3.7 mixed thousands and percent
  • Downtown Davenport Business, Resident, Workforce, And Daytime Activity Basebusinesses minimum: 270; residents: 2,700; workforce: 6,500; average annual daytime population approximate: 19,000; taxable value usd minimum: 434,000,000 mixed counts and usd

Concepts helped most

City WideFacility management
+2.4 pts
Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaning
+1.9 pts
FASTSIGNSSigns and graphics
+1.6 pts
ActionCOACHBusiness coaching
+1.1 pts
HomeSmilesProperty maintenance services
+1.1 pts
Measured but not differentiating in this concept set
  • Property replacement-cycle demandNo material score adjustment
  • Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
  • Labor and staffing frictionNo material score adjustment
  • Transportation, routing, and parkingNo material score adjustment
  • Real estate and site feasibilityNo material score adjustment
  • Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
  • Regulatory and operating frictionNo material score adjustment

Rank stability

Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?

The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.

#1 City WideStable · tested #1–#1
#2 Jan-Pro InternationalHighly sensitive · tested #2–#6
#3 ActionCOACHModerately sensitive · tested #2–#4
#4 FASTSIGNSHighly sensitive · tested #3–#9
#5 HomeSmilesModerately sensitive · tested #3–#5
#6 Rainbow International RestorationHighly sensitive · tested #5–#9
#7 ZOOM DRAINModerately sensitive · tested #7–#10
#8 PuroCleanHighly sensitive · tested #4–#13
#9 Tiger AdjustersHighly sensitive · tested #6–#11
#10 Aire ServHighly sensitive · tested #7–#11
#11 Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHighly sensitive · tested #8–#12
#12 Mr. RooterModerately sensitive · tested #10–#13
#13 Mister Sparky ElectricStable · tested #12–#13
#14 Workout AnytimeStable · tested #14–#14

Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.

Original factor comparison

How each factor affected the highest-rated franchise concepts

The graph includes the top 14 concepts by local-alignment score. Only nonzero score contributions are plotted. A factor is removed when every displayed concept received 0.0 points from it. Hover or focus a concept name to highlight all of its remaining data points.

Factor impact among the highest-rated franchise conceptsDiverging dot plot showing nonzero factor score contributions for the top 14 concepts. Zero-point concept-factor pairs are omitted, and factors with no nonzero contributions are excluded.+2.5+1.30.0-1.3-2.5
Target-market demand
#1 City Wide · Target-market demand · +2.4 pts1#2 Jan-Pro International · Target-market demand · +1.9 pts2#3 ActionCOACH · Target-market demand · +1.1 pts3#4 FASTSIGNS · Target-market demand · +1.6 pts4#5 HomeSmiles · Target-market demand · +1.1 pts5#6 Rainbow International Restoration · Target-market demand · +0.2 pts6#7 ZOOM DRAIN · Target-market demand · +0.2 pts7#9 Tiger Adjusters · Target-market demand · +0.1 pts9#10 Aire Serv · Target-market demand · +0.2 pts10#11 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors · Target-market demand · +0.1 pts11#12 Mr. Rooter · Target-market demand · +0.2 pts12
Referral ecosystem
#1 City Wide · Referral ecosystem · +0.6 pts1#2 Jan-Pro International · Referral ecosystem · +0.1 pts2#3 ActionCOACH · Referral ecosystem · +0.5 pts3#4 FASTSIGNS · Referral ecosystem · +0.2 pts4#5 HomeSmiles · Referral ecosystem · +0.4 pts5#6 Rainbow International Restoration · Referral ecosystem · +0.4 pts6#7 ZOOM DRAIN · Referral ecosystem · +0.3 pts7#8 PuroClean · Referral ecosystem · +0.4 pts8
Territory quality
#1 City Wide · Territory quality · -0.1 pts1#2 Jan-Pro International · Territory quality · -0.4 pts2#3 ActionCOACH · Territory quality · -0.1 pts3#4 FASTSIGNS · Territory quality · -0.7 pts4#5 HomeSmiles · Territory quality · -0.6 pts5#6 Rainbow International Restoration · Territory quality · -0.6 pts6#7 ZOOM DRAIN · Territory quality · -0.6 pts7#8 PuroClean · Territory quality · -0.6 pts8#9 Tiger Adjusters · Territory quality · -0.3 pts9#10 Aire Serv · Territory quality · -0.5 pts10#11 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors · Territory quality · -0.5 pts11#12 Mr. Rooter · Territory quality · -0.6 pts12#13 Mister Sparky Electric · Territory quality · -0.6 pts13#14 Workout Anytime · Territory quality · -1.2 pts14
Primary source records by factorTarget-market demand: [4] [5] [7] [9] [10] [11] [25] [24] [2]Property replacement-cycle demand: [5] [19] [20] [21] [2]Competitive environment: [27] [9] [4]Labor and staffing friction: [6] [7] [8] [1] [24]Transportation, routing, and parking: [14] [15] [20] [21]Real estate and site feasibility: [12] [13] [10] [11] [18]Sales and customer acquisition: [26] [27] [9] [22] [23] [24]Referral ecosystem: [22] [23] [25] [24] [9]Territory quality: [10] [9] [11] [4]Regulatory and operating friction: [16] [17] [18] [19] [1] [3]
View the chart data as a table
ConceptTarget-market demandReferral ecosystemTerritory quality
#1 City Wide+2.4 pts+0.6 pts-0.1 pts
#2 Jan-Pro International+1.9 pts+0.1 pts-0.4 pts
#3 ActionCOACH+1.1 pts+0.5 pts-0.1 pts
#4 FASTSIGNS+1.6 pts+0.2 pts-0.7 pts
#5 HomeSmiles+1.1 pts+0.4 pts-0.6 pts
#6 Rainbow International Restoration+0.2 pts+0.4 pts-0.6 pts
#7 ZOOM DRAIN+0.2 pts+0.3 pts-0.6 pts
#8 PuroClean—+0.4 pts-0.6 pts
#9 Tiger Adjusters+0.1 pts—-0.3 pts
#10 Aire Serv+0.2 pts—-0.5 pts
#11 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors+0.1 pts—-0.5 pts
#12 Mr. Rooter+0.2 pts—-0.6 pts
#13 Mister Sparky Electric——-0.6 pts
#14 Workout Anytime——-1.2 pts

Interpretation

How to interpret the result

City Wide, Jan-Pro International, ActionCOACH led because their operating requirements captured more of the local support from target-market demand while remaining less exposed to territory quality. The same city condition can help one operating model and constrain another, so score differences should be read through each concept's factor pattern rather than as a universal franchise-quality verdict. The ordering is most assumption-sensitive for Jan-Pro International, FASTSIGNS, Rainbow International Restoration; their ranks move more widely when individual factors are neutralized.

Category comparisons

Best franchise categories we assessed in Davenport, Iowa

Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.

Limited two-concept comparison

Best Restoration franchise opportunities we assessed in Davenport, Iowa

69.9

2 Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 69.8 to 70.0. Rainbow International Restoration ranked highest at 70.0. Referral ecosystem added 0.4 points on average among the affected concepts. Territory quality reduced the exposed concepts by 0.6 points on average.

Interpret cautiously: A 0.2-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.

Concepts compared
2
Score range
69.8–70.0
Category average
69.9
Rainbow International Restoration70.0
PuroClean69.8

Metric registry

The 27 local metrics behind this analysis

The registry shows each public metric’s raw value, period, geography, source, and its actual role in the compiled analysis.

View all local metrics
MetricRaw valuePeriodGeographyRole in analysisSource
Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025100,358peopleJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived QuickFacts; 2022 economic measuresDavenport, IowaContext only [4]
Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025-1.3percentJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived QuickFacts; 2022 economic measuresDavenport, IowaContext only [4]
Households in Davenport43,237householdsJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived QuickFacts; 2022 economic measuresDavenport, IowaContext only [4]
Total housing units in the 2024 ACS city profile45,814housing units2024 American Community Survey 1-Year EstimatesDavenport, IowaContext only [5]
Selected Davenport retail sales and service receipts in 2022retail sales usd: 3,676,615,000; health care and social assistance receipts usd: 1,252,862,000; transportation and warehousing receipts usd: 226,788,000; accommodation and food services sales usd: 493,813,000usdJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived QuickFacts; 2022 economic measuresDavenport, IowaUsed in scoring [4]
Median household income, per-capita income, and poverty ratemedian household income usd: 66,200; per capita income usd: 37,521; persons in poverty percent: 15.2mixed usd and percentJuly 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived QuickFacts; 2022 economic measuresDavenport, IowaContext only [4]
Selected metropolitan occupational mean hourly wages compared with U.S. averagesall occupations local: 29.76; all occupations us: 33.54; food preparation and serving local: 15.63; food preparation and serving us: 17.86; building and grounds cleaning local: 18.51; building and grounds cleaning us: 19.66; office and administrative support local: 22.93; office and administrative support us: 24.79; additional values omittedusd per hourMay 2025Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-ILContext only [6]
Metropolitan and Scott County labor-market conditions in June 2026msa unemployment percent: 4.2; scott county unemployment percent: 3.8; msa labor force thousands: 190.7; msa employment thousands: 182.8; msa total nonfarm jobs thousands: 185mixed percent and thousandsJune 2026 labor force and payroll employment; page data extracted August 13, 2026Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-ILContext only [7] [8]
Education and health services employment in the metropolitan areaemployment thousands: 27.7; year over year change percent: 3.7mixed thousands and percentJune 2026 labor force and payroll employment; page data extracted August 13, 2026Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-ILUsed in scoring [7]
Downtown Davenport business, resident, workforce, and daytime activity basebusinesses minimum: 270; residents: 2,700; workforce: 6,500; average annual daytime population approximate: 19,000; taxable value usd minimum: 434,000,000mixed counts and usdDowntown conditions and investment pipeline reported June 2026Downtown Davenport, IowaUsed in scoring [9]
Downtown Davenport completed, under-construction, and planned investment reported in June 2026completed projects count: 14; completed projects usd: 13,900,000; under construction usd minimum: 35,300,000; planned investment usd minimum: 68,000,000mixed count and usdDowntown conditions and investment pipeline reported June 2026Downtown Davenport, IowaUsed in scoring [9]
Downtown retail and restaurant space inventory and vacancy in the 2025 market studyspaces count: 97; inventory sqft: 312,939; vacant sqft: 30,089; vacancy percent: 9.4mixed count sqft and percentApril 2025 market analysisDowntown Davenport, IowaUsed in scoring [10]
Downtown market study documented office-tenant migration toward newer East 53rd Street productyesdocumented conditionApril 2025 market analysisDowntown Davenport and East 53rd Street corridorUsed in scoring [10]
East 53rd Street corridor continued to add retail and mixed office-retail projectsbirchwood south retail sqft: 10,000; east 52nd office retail building sqft: 30,000; east 52nd retail suite range sqft: 2,800, 4,200square feetProjects active or reported for 2025-2026East 53rd Street and adjacent East 52nd Street commercial corridor, DavenportUsed in scoring [11]
Quad Cities report described demand for functional small- and mid-sized industrial product and limited suitable supplytarget size range sqft: 5,000, 50,000; flex lease range usd per sqft: 6.5, 9.5; contractor suite size range sqft: 1,500, 3,000; contractor suite lease range usd per sqft: 8, 10mixed square feet and usd per sqft2026 market report using recent Quad Cities transaction and market dataQuad Cities, Iowa-IllinoisContext only [12]
Directional current Davenport flex-space listing inventory26featured listingsCurrent listing inventory accessed August 17, 2026Davenport, IowaContext only [13]
Transportation-project investment during Davenport's 2026 construction season34,800,000usd minimum2026 construction seasonDavenport 2026 transportation construction corridorsConditional relationship [14]
City transportation work can create lane closures and detours during the 2026 construction seasonyesdocumented condition2026 construction seasonActive Davenport construction and closure locationsConditional relationship [14] [15]
Exterior changes to locally designated historic properties are subject to Historic Preservation Commission reviewyesregulatory conditionCurrent preservation-review responsibilities accessed August 2026Local Davenport landmarks and historic districtsConditional relationship [16] [3]
Qualifying land disturbance and development can trigger erosion-control and post-construction stormwater requirementscosesco land disturbance threshold sqft: 5,000; larger project runoff management threshold acres: 1; post construction plan and maintenance requirements documented: yesmixed sqft acres and conditionCurrent permit requirements accessed August 2026Davenport land-disturbing, development, and redevelopment projects subject to stormwater rulesContext only [17] [18]
New construction, remodeling, and major repairs within the floodplain require floodplain development reviewyesregulatory conditionCurrent permit guidance accessed August 2026Davenport properties located in regulated floodplain areasConditional relationship [19]
April 2026 Mississippi River crest produced localized low-lying access impacts while recent resilience upgrades reduced impacts at a key intersectioncrest feet approximate: 16; response plan activated: yes; localized road trail closures: yes; marquette and river intersection kept dry by recent improvements: yesmixed feet and conditionsApril 16 through May 1, 2026 Mississippi River response updatesDavenport Mississippi River frontage and low-lying flood-response areasConditional relationship [20]
Davenport advanced multiple riverfront and storm-sewer resilience projectsfhwa protect grant usd: 13,100,000; multiple project program usd: 16,400,000; gate valve and storm sewer work planned: yesmixed usd and conditionFlood-resilience implementation status in 2025 and projects planned over the following two yearsDavenport flood-resilience implementation areasConditional relationship [21]
Palmer College main-campus enrollment1,057studentsMain campus enrollment as of January 5, 2026Palmer College of Chiropractic main campus, DavenportUsed in scoring [22]
St. Ambrose University total fall enrollment2,416studentsFall 2025 enrollmentStUsed in scoring [23]
MercyOne Genesis Davenport Medical Center and regional system scaledavenport medical center beds: 502; regional system employees minimum: 5,000; regional service counties: 17mixed beds employees and countiesCurrent facility profile accessed August 2026MercyOne Genesis Davenport Medical Center and its 17-county bi-state service regionUsed in scoring [25] [24]
City procurement uses electronic submissions and vendor registration for bids, RFPs, and quotesyesdocumented processCurrent procurement process accessed August 2026City of Davenport procurementContext only [26]

How to use the ranking

What the model can and cannot establish

  • Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
  • Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.
  • Conditional effects are shown for diligence but do not change the published score until their applicability is established.

Methodology

How the local-alignment ranking is calculated

01

Measure the city

Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.

02

Profile each operating model

Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.

03

Apply scoreable effects

Score only effects that apply without an unresolved site, territory, customer, or project gate.

04

Preserve conditional effects

Keep location- or territory-dependent issues visible for diligence without automatically changing the score.

05

Test rank sensitivity

Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.

06

Generate public output

Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.

How the common baseline becomes a city-specific score

Every concept starts from the same 70.0 reference point, so differences come only from modeled local interactions. In this city, City Wide reached 72.92 after target-market demand +2.4 pts, referral ecosystem +0.6 pts, and territory quality -0.1 pts. The current model caps total local movement at ±18.0 points. The score is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.

Precision and materiality

Calculations use full-precision values. Published scores and factor contributions display one decimal place, while ranks use full precision. Effects smaller than 0.1 points are identified as below the publication threshold rather than presented as a meaningful zero.

Score tiers

Tier 1 · Strongest modeled alignment80.0–100.0
Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment72.0–<80.0
Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment64.0–<72.0
Tier 4 · Higher-friction modeled alignment0.0–<64.0

How factor rows are classified

Positive local adjustmentNegative local adjustmentMeasured; no meaningful local adjustmentEffect below the publication thresholdNot applicable to this operating modelDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating conditionNot included in the score
What “best” means here

“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.

Model 0.9.0 · Compiler 0.15.1-franchise-image-filter · Report generated August 19, 2026 (site timezone)

Model governance

How this report is calculated and corrected

Calculation controls

Model designer
Thomas Jepsen

No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Before this template is activated, the report is reviewed for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability.

Model history

  1. Model 0.9.0-calibration · August 19, 2026Added compiler-derived decision intelligence and observation usage mapping., Changed factor sensitivity and channel counterfactuals to full model reruns., Added data-dependent city content signals while preserving legacy public report fields., and Added model-owned semantic compatibility gates and backward-compatible channel-level evidence attribution.

Corrections policy

Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.

Source registry

Evidence represented in this report

Each source identifies its period, scope, and the local metrics it supports. Internal or supplied research is not presented as independently accessible evidence.

  1. 1
    Structural Constraint and Jurisdictional Risk AuditInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Davenport section supplied August 2026; underlying cited sources were generally accessed in February 2026
    Scope
    Davenport, Iowa section within a multi-city research docket
    Locator
    Section 7, Davenport, Iowa, subsections A-F and cited-source list
    Source tier
    Tier 5 - supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  2. 2
    Utility Delta Audit: Structural Inefficiencies and Asymmetric Opportunities in Local U.S. MarketsInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Davenport section supplied August 2026; underlying cited sources were generally accessed through February 24, 2026
    Scope
    Davenport, Iowa section within a multi-city research docket
    Locator
    Davenport section: macro-physical reality, infrastructure and micro-geography, and smart-money thesis
    Source tier
    Tier 5 - supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  3. 3
    Franchise data - remake - 142Internal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.

    Used for: Exterior changes to locally designated historic properties are subject to Historic Preservation Commission review

    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Neighborhood research supplied August 2026
    Scope
    Selected Davenport neighborhoods and districts
    Locator
    Davenport rows including East Village, Gold Coast/Hamburg, Hilltop, McClellan Heights, Hamburg, and Northwest Davenport
    Source tier
    Tier 5 - supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  4. 4
    QuickFacts: Davenport city, Iowa

    Used for: Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025, Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025, Households in Davenport, Selected Davenport retail sales and service receipts in 2022, and Median household income, per-capita income, and poverty rate

    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Data period
    July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived QuickFacts; 2022 economic measures
    Scope
    Davenport city, Iowa
    Locator
    Population, households, income, poverty, commuting, retail sales, health and social assistance receipts, and other QuickFacts measures
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  5. 5
    Davenport city, Iowa - Census Bureau Profile

    Used for: Total housing units in the 2024 ACS city profile

    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Data period
    2024 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates
    Scope
    Davenport city, Iowa
    Locator
    City profile and housing-unit total
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  6. 6
    Occupational Employment and Wages in Davenport-Moline-Rock Island - May 2025

    Used for: Selected metropolitan occupational mean hourly wages compared with U.S. averages

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Published
    July 27, 2026
    Data period
    May 2025
    Scope
    Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL metropolitan area
    Locator
    Major occupational groups, selected detailed occupations, wages, and location quotients
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  7. 7
    Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Economy at a Glance

    Used for: Metropolitan and Scott County labor-market conditions in June 2026 and Education and health services employment in the metropolitan area

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Data period
    June 2026 labor force and payroll employment; page data extracted August 13, 2026
    Scope
    Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL metropolitan area
    Locator
    Unemployment, labor force, total nonfarm employment, and industry employment series
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  8. 8
    Davenport Area Economic Summary

    Used for: Metropolitan and Scott County labor-market conditions in June 2026

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Published
    August 5, 2026
    Data period
    June 2026 unemployment and recent wage measures
    Scope
    Davenport metropolitan area and component counties
    Locator
    Scott County unemployment and area wage summary
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  9. 9
    Downtown Davenport Partnership Unveils New Downtown Brand, Highlights Investment Pipeline and Major Gateway Projects at Annual Meeting

    Used for: Downtown Davenport business, resident, workforce, and daytime activity base and Downtown Davenport completed, under-construction, and planned investment reported in June 2026

    Publisher
    Downtown Davenport Partnership
    Published
    June 24, 2026
    Data period
    Downtown conditions and investment pipeline reported June 2026
    Scope
    Downtown Davenport
    Locator
    Business count, residents, workforce, daytime population, taxable value, completed projects, construction, and planned investment
    Source tier
    Tier 2 - recognized local institution
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  10. 10
    Downtown Davenport Market Analysis

    Used for: Downtown retail and restaurant space inventory and vacancy in the 2025 market study and Downtown market study documented office-tenant migration toward newer East 53rd Street product

    Publisher
    Downtown Davenport Partnership
    Data period
    April 2025 market analysis
    Scope
    Downtown Davenport with Davenport and Quad Cities comparisons
    Locator
    Retail and restaurant inventory and vacancy, downtown apartment survey, office-market assessment, and discussion of East 53rd Street office migration
    Source tier
    Tier 2 - recognized local institution
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  11. 11
    QCBJ 2025 Newsmakers: Busy 53rd Street corridor continues to get new business projects

    Used for: East 53rd Street corridor continued to add retail and mixed office-retail projects

    Publisher
    Quad Cities Business Journal
    Published
    January 6, 2026
    Data period
    Projects active or reported for 2025-2026
    Scope
    East 53rd Street corridor, Davenport
    Locator
    Retail and mixed office-retail projects including Birchwood South and 4515 E. 52nd Street
    Source tier
    Tier 3 - credible local reporting
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  12. 12
    2026 Quad Cities Commercial Real Estate Market Report

    Used for: Quad Cities report described demand for functional small- and mid-sized industrial product and limited suitable supply

    Publisher
    NAI Ruhl Commercial Company
    Published
    May 5, 2026
    Data period
    2026 market report using recent Quad Cities transaction and market data
    Scope
    Quad Cities commercial real estate market, including Davenport
    Locator
    Industrial section discussing small- and mid-sized functional product, flex and contractor-suite ranges, and limited suitable product
    Source tier
    Tier 3 - credible industry
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  13. 13
    Davenport, IA Flex space for Rent & Lease

    Used for: Directional current Davenport flex-space listing inventory

    Publisher
    Realmo
    Data period
    Current listing inventory accessed August 17, 2026
    Scope
    Davenport, Iowa
    Locator
    Featured flex-space listing count and examples spanning small and larger flex/warehouse units
    Source tier
    Tier 4 - directional commercial
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  14. 14
    2026 Construction Season

    Used for: Transportation-project investment during Davenport's 2026 construction season and City transportation work can create lane closures and detours during the 2026 construction season

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Published
    March 20, 2026
    Data period
    2026 construction season
    Scope
    Davenport, Iowa project corridors
    Locator
    Transportation-project investment and expected lane closures and detours
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  15. 15
    Street Closures and Lane Reductions

    Used for: City transportation work can create lane closures and detours during the 2026 construction season

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Data period
    Current closure information accessed August 17, 2026
    Scope
    Davenport, Iowa streets with current work or closures
    Locator
    Current street closure and lane-reduction notices
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  16. 16
    Historic Preservation Commission

    Used for: Exterior changes to locally designated historic properties are subject to Historic Preservation Commission review

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Data period
    Current preservation-review responsibilities accessed August 2026
    Scope
    Locally designated historic properties and districts in Davenport
    Locator
    Commission review of local landmarks and districts, exterior changes, and demolition review
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  17. 17
    Land Disturbing / Construction Site Erosion Control

    Used for: Qualifying land disturbance and development can trigger erosion-control and post-construction stormwater requirements

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Data period
    Current permit requirements accessed August 2026
    Scope
    Qualifying land-disturbing activity in Davenport
    Locator
    COSESCO permit threshold, erosion-control plan and SWPPP requirements, and larger-project runoff-management triggers
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  18. 18
    Davenport Stormwater Manual

    Used for: Qualifying land disturbance and development can trigger erosion-control and post-construction stormwater requirements

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Data period
    Current manual accessed August 2026
    Scope
    Development and redevelopment projects subject to Davenport stormwater requirements
    Locator
    Post-construction stormwater plans, fee-in-lieu formula, maintenance agreements, inspections, and owner responsibilities
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  19. 19
    Floodplain Development

    Used for: New construction, remodeling, and major repairs within the floodplain require floodplain development review

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Data period
    Current permit guidance accessed August 2026
    Scope
    Properties located within Davenport floodplain areas
    Locator
    Floodplain permit trigger for new construction, remodeling, and major repairs within the floodplain
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  20. 20
    2026 Flood Response

    Used for: April 2026 Mississippi River crest produced localized low-lying access impacts while recent resilience upgrades reduced impacts at a key intersection

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Data period
    April 16 through May 1, 2026 Mississippi River response updates
    Scope
    Davenport riverfront and low-lying areas
    Locator
    River stages, flood-response activation, localized closures, pump and gate actions, and performance of recent resilience upgrades
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  21. 21
    Davenport Flood Resilience Study Implementation

    Used for: Davenport advanced multiple riverfront and storm-sewer resilience projects

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Published
    June 27, 2025
    Data period
    Flood-resilience implementation status in 2025 and projects planned over the following two years
    Scope
    Davenport riverfront and storm-sewer resilience project areas
    Locator
    Marquette and River Drive improvements, PROTECT grant, and planned gate-valve and storm-sewer projects
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  22. 22
    Palmer College of Chiropractic College Profile

    Used for: Palmer College main-campus enrollment

    Publisher
    Palmer College of Chiropractic
    Data period
    Main campus enrollment as of January 5, 2026
    Scope
    Palmer College main campus, Davenport
    Locator
    Main-campus enrollment profile
    Source tier
    Tier 2 - recognized institution
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  23. 23
    St. Ambrose University Common Data Set 2025-2026

    Used for: St. Ambrose University total fall enrollment

    Publisher
    St. Ambrose University
    Data period
    Fall 2025 enrollment
    Scope
    St. Ambrose University, Davenport
    Locator
    Enrollment section reporting undergraduate and graduate headcount
    Source tier
    Tier 2 - recognized institution
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  24. 24
    About MercyOne Genesis

    Used for: MercyOne Genesis Davenport Medical Center and regional system scale

    Publisher
    MercyOne Genesis
    Data period
    Current organizational profile accessed August 2026
    Scope
    MercyOne Genesis 17-county bi-state service region centered in the Quad Cities
    Locator
    Regional service area and employment scale
    Source tier
    Tier 2 - recognized institution
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  25. 25
    MercyOne Genesis Davenport Medical Center

    Used for: MercyOne Genesis Davenport Medical Center and regional system scale

    Publisher
    MercyOne Genesis
    Data period
    Current facility profile accessed August 2026
    Scope
    Davenport, Iowa
    Locator
    502-bed flagship medical center at 1227 E. Rusholme Street
    Source tier
    Tier 2 - recognized institution
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  26. 26
    Bids

    Used for: City procurement uses electronic submissions and vendor registration for bids, RFPs, and quotes

    Publisher
    City of Davenport, Iowa
    Data period
    Current procurement process accessed August 2026
    Scope
    City of Davenport procurement
    Locator
    Electronic bid, RFP and quote submission and vendor-registration process
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026
  27. 27
    County Business Patterns: 2023
    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Published
    June 26, 2025
    Data period
    Calendar year 2023
    Scope
    County, metropolitan area and ZIP Code business establishments by NAICS
    Locator
    Dataset description and geographic industry files used to assess availability of category-specific public establishment data
    Source tier
    Tier 1 - government
    Accessed
    August 17, 2026

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