70.3 average across 2 concepts
Local operating-model alignment analysis
Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Fresno, California
We compared 14 franchise concepts for Fresno, California.
Evaluation set
Why these concepts were evaluated
This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.
Concepts were included when enough operating-model information existed to assign a provisional local-sensitivity profile. Unresolved inputs reduce confidence or remain conditional rather than automatically excluding a concept.
A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.
City-level conclusions
What stood out in our assessment
0.4 points average among 13 affected concepts
Tested rank range spans 11 positions
Best franchise opportunities assessed
Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed
“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.
| Rank | Franchise | Alignment and tier | Largest advantage | Largest constraint | Evidence confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aire ServHVAC installation, repair, and maintenance | 71.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.9 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 2 | Mr. RooterPlumbing | 71.1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.6 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 3 | ZOOM DRAINDrain and sewer service | 71.1Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.6 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 4 | Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical | 71.0Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.6 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 5 | Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome inspection | 71.0Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.7 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 6 | HomeSmilesProperty maintenance services | 70.8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.8 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 7 | City WideFacility management | 70.8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.8 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 8 | Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaning | 70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.6 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 9 | Workout AnytimeFitness | 70.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.4 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 10 | Rainbow International RestorationRestoration | 70.3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.2 ptsProperty replacement-cycle demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
Original factor comparison
How each factor affected the highest-rated franchise concepts
The graph includes the top 14 concepts by local-alignment score. Only nonzero score contributions are plotted. A factor is removed when every displayed concept received 0.0 points from it. Hover or focus a concept name to highlight all of its remaining data points.
View the chart data as a table
| Concept | Target-market demand | Property replacement-cycle demand |
|---|---|---|
| #1 Aire Serv | +0.5 pts | +0.9 pts |
| #2 Mr. Rooter | +0.5 pts | +0.6 pts |
| #3 ZOOM DRAIN | +0.4 pts | +0.6 pts |
| #4 Mister Sparky Electric | +0.4 pts | +0.6 pts |
| #5 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors | +0.7 pts | +0.3 pts |
| #6 HomeSmiles | +0.8 pts | — |
| #7 City Wide | +0.8 pts | — |
| #8 Jan-Pro International | +0.6 pts | — |
| #9 Workout Anytime | +0.4 pts | — |
| #10 Rainbow International Restoration | +0.1 pts | +0.2 pts |
| #11 FASTSIGNS | +0.3 pts | — |
| #12 PuroClean | — | +0.2 pts |
| #13 Tiger Adjusters | +0.2 pts | — |
| #14 ActionCOACH | +0.1 pts | — |
Rank stability
Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?
The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.
Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.
Worked score example
How we calculated Aire Serv
This example uses the same ledger shown for every concept and must reconcile exactly to the published score.
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.5 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.9 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 71.39 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.4 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Interpretation
How to interpret the result
Aire Serv, Mr. Rooter, ZOOM DRAIN led because their operating requirements captured more of the local support from target-market demand while remaining less exposed to competitive environment. The same city condition can help one operating model and constrain another, so score differences should be read through each concept's factor pattern rather than as a universal franchise-quality verdict. The ordering is most assumption-sensitive for Aire Serv, Mr. Rooter, ZOOM DRAIN; their ranks move more widely when individual factors are neutralized.
Factor impact
Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?
We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.
Target-market demand
We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.
We applied a measurable adjustment to 13 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 9 concepts changed position. HomeSmiles moved from #6 to #14, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
Concepts helped most
Property replacement-cycle demand
We compared the age and condition of relevant property systems with the services each concept is actually equipped to provide.
We applied a measurable adjustment to 7 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 13 concepts changed position. Aire Serv moved from #1 to #5, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
Concepts helped most
- Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
- Labor and staffing frictionNo material score adjustment
- Transportation, routing, and parkingNo material score adjustment
- Real estate and site feasibilityNo material score adjustment
- Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
- Referral ecosystemNo material score adjustment
- Territory qualityNo material score adjustment
- Regulatory and operating frictionNo material score adjustment
Category comparisons
Best franchise categories we assessed in Fresno, California
Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.
Best Restoration franchise opportunities we assessed in Fresno, California
2 Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 70.2 to 70.3. Rainbow International Restoration ranked highest at 70.3. Property replacement-cycle demand added 0.2 points on average among the affected concepts.
Interpret cautiously: A 0.1-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.
- Concepts compared
- 2
- Score range
- 70.2–70.3
- Category average
- 70.3
Compare all assessed concepts
Explore the complete score calculations
14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see how each factor was treated and the single next check most capable of changing the result.
Aire Serv
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.5 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.9 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 71.39 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.4 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.9 pts
- Tested rank range
- #1–#5
Most important next check
What daily vehicle utilization and travel-time allowance are built into Aire Serv's operating plan?
Mr. Rooter
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.5 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.6 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 71.11 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.1 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.6 pts
- Tested rank range
- #2–#6
Most important next check
How many field vehicles must Mr. Rooter deploy, and where would they begin and end each service day?
ZOOM DRAIN
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.4 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.6 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 71.06 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.1 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.6 pts
- Tested rank range
- #2–#8
Most important next check
Where must ZOOM DRAIN stage crews and vehicles to protect after-hours response times across the proposed territory?
Mister Sparky Electric
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.4 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.6 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 71.00 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.0 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.6 pts
- Tested rank range
- #4–#7
Most important next check
What daily vehicle utilization and travel-time allowance are built into Mister Sparky Electric's operating plan?
Pillar To Post Home Inspectors
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.7 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.3 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.96 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.0 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.7 pts
- Tested rank range
- #3–#5
Most important next check
Which transaction segments and property types are expected to generate the most inspection demand for Pillar To Post Home Inspectors?
HomeSmiles
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.8 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.82 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.8 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.8 pts
- Tested rank range
- #1–#8
Most important next check
How many qualified facility and property-management accounts must be reachable for HomeSmiles to support its local contract pipeline?
City Wide
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.8 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.76 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.8 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.8 pts
- Tested rank range
- #2–#13
Most important next check
How many qualified facility and property-management accounts must be reachable for City Wide to support its local contract pipeline?
Jan-Pro International
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.6 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.55 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.6 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.6 pts
- Tested rank range
- #4–#14
Most important next check
What concentration of recurring commercial accounts is required for Jan-Pro International to build an efficient local book of business?
Workout Anytime
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.4 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.35 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.4 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.4 pts
- Tested rank range
- #9–#12
Most important next check
Which zoning, occupancy, and permit requirements must be cleared before Workout Anytime approves a customer-facing site?
Rainbow International Restoration
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.1 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.2 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.31 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.2 pts
- Tested rank range
- #7–#12
Most important next check
Which ZIP codes can Rainbow International Restoration serve within its target emergency-response time under normal and peak traffic conditions?
FASTSIGNS
Rank sensitivity: Stable
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.3 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.29 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.3 pts
- Tested rank range
- #10–#11
Most important next check
Which use, storage, ventilation, or permit requirements apply to FASTSIGNS's proposed production or service base?
PuroClean
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.2 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.21 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.2 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.2 pts
- Tested rank range
- #6–#14
Most important next check
What dispatch zones and maximum drive-time assumptions does PuroClean use for urgent service calls?
Tiger Adjusters
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.2 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.17 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.2 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.2 pts
- Tested rank range
- #9–#13
Most important next check
What daily vehicle utilization and travel-time allowance are built into Tiger Adjusters's operating plan?
ActionCOACH
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.1 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Not included in the score |
| Referral ecosystem | Not included in the score |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.09 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.1 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.1 pts
- Tested rank range
- #10–#14
Most important next check
What route-productivity assumptions has ActionCOACH validated for the proposed territory?
No franchise concepts match the selected filters.
Metric registry
The 25 local metrics behind this analysis
The registry exposes the raw value, period, geography, factor mapping, and source for every public metric used in the city research.
View all local metrics
| Metric | Raw value | Period | Geography | How used | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025 | 555,549people | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived characteristics; 2022 economic measures | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand, Territory quality | [4] |
| Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025 | 2.5percent | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived characteristics; 2022 economic measures | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand | [4] |
| Households in the 2020-2024 QuickFacts reference period | 180,450households | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived characteristics; 2022 economic measures | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand, Territory quality | [4] |
| Owner-occupied housing unit rate | 50.1percent | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived characteristics; 2022 economic measures | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand, Property replacement-cycle demand | [4] |
| Persons in poverty in the 2020-2024 QuickFacts reference period | 20.1percent of people | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived characteristics; 2022 economic measures | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand | [4] |
| Health care and social assistance receipts/revenue in 2022 | 7,451,352,000usd | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived characteristics; 2022 economic measures | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand, Referral ecosystem | [4] |
| Mean travel time to work | 22.4minutes | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS-derived characteristics; 2022 economic measures | Fresno, California | Evidence for Transportation, routing, and parking, Territory quality | [4] |
| Housing units in the Fresno City housing-age table | 170,137housing units | Housing-stock tables primarily reference 2020 data | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand, Property replacement-cycle demand, Territory quality | [5] [6] |
| Share of Fresno City housing stock built before 1990 | 66.7percent of housing units | Housing-stock tables primarily reference 2020 data | Fresno, California | Evidence for Property replacement-cycle demand, Target-market demand | [5] [6] |
| Share of Fresno City housing stock built before 1970 | 34.5percent of housing units | Housing-stock tables primarily reference 2020 data | Fresno, California | Evidence for Property replacement-cycle demand | [5] [6] |
| Housing units receiving building permits in 2024 | 1,415housing units | Calendar year 2024 | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand | [7] |
| Housing units completed in 2024 | 1,577housing units | Calendar year 2024 | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand | [7] |
| Housing units receiving building permits in 2025 according to the draft Annual Progress Report | 2,014housing units | Calendar year 2025; draft released for 2026 review | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand | [8] |
| Housing units completed in 2025 according to the draft Annual Progress Report | 2,058housing units | Calendar year 2025; draft released for 2026 review | Fresno, California | Evidence for Target-market demand | [8] |
| Total hardness as CaCO3 in the City of Fresno public water system | average: 129; range min: 87; range max: 150mg per liter | Calendar year 2025 water-quality monitoring | City of Fresno public water system | Evidence for Property replacement-cycle demand, Regulatory and operating friction | [9] |
| Unemployment rate in June 2026 with state and national comparisons | fresno msa: 7.7; california: 5.2; united states: 4.4percent | June 2026 | Fresno Metropolitan Statistical Area | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction | [10] |
| Average hourly wage in May 2025 with national comparison | fresno metro: 30.68; united states: 33.54usd per hour | May 2025 | Fresno metropolitan area | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction | [11] |
| California statewide minimum wage effective January 1, 2026 | 16.9usd per hour | State minimum wage effective January 1, 2026 | California | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction | [12] |
| Overall industrial availability in the Fresno market in Q2 2026 | availability rate: 5; available square feet approximate: 4,200,000mixed percent and square feet | Q2 2026 | Fresno industrial market | Evidence for Real estate and site feasibility | [13] |
| Named Fresno street closures and traffic shifts associated with active high-speed-rail grade-separation construction | corridor: Fresno, G and H streets, start date: 2026-04-20, expected end: 2027-06-30, corridor: Herndon Avenue and Golden State Boulevard, start date: 2026-05-11, expected end: 2027-08-31closure windows | Active and scheduled construction notices accessed August 7, 2026 | Named high-speed-rail construction corridors in Fresno | Evidence for Transportation, routing, and parking, Territory quality | [14] [15] [16] [17] |
| Mandatory sign controls in the adopted Tower District Design Standards & Guidelines | plan adopted: 2025-11-20; standards mandatory: yes; pole signs prohibited: yes; ground floor window sign max percent: 20; awning lettering max inches: 10; projecting or under awning signs max per tenant: 1; projecting sign max projection feet: 4; projecting sign min distance from curb feet: 3codified design controls | Adopted standards associated with the November 2025 Tower District Specific Plan update | Tower District Specific Plan Area, Fresno | Evidence for Regulatory and operating friction, Real estate and site feasibility | [18] [19] |
| Current blended hourly rates for specified unlisted or beyond-regular-effort development review services | building services unlisted or beyond regular effort: 149.07; planning and land section unlisted or beyond regular effort: 234.26usd per hour | Fees effective July 1, 2026 | City of Fresno | Evidence for Regulatory and operating friction, Real estate and site feasibility | [20] [21] |
| Fire Hazard Severity Zone status stated by the City of Fresno Fire Department for the City Local Responsibility Area | high zone present: no; very high zone present: no; moderate zone present: yeszone presence | Current Fire Hazard Severity Zone information accessed August 7, 2026 | City of Fresno Local Responsibility Area | Evidence for Real estate and site feasibility, Regulatory and operating friction | [22] |
| Approximate Fresno State student population stated on the university homepage | 24,000students approximate | Current institutional profile accessed August 2026 | California State University, Fresno | Evidence for Target-market demand, Referral ecosystem | [23] |
| Minimum implied employee count from Community Health System statement that it manages more than 10,000 employees | 10,000employees minimum | Current organization profile accessed August 2026 | Community Health System, with major Fresno facilities and regional operations | Evidence for Target-market demand, Referral ecosystem, Labor and staffing friction | [24] |
How to use the ranking
What the model can and cannot establish
- Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
- Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.
- Conditional effects are shown for diligence but do not change the published score until their applicability is established.
Methodology
How the local-alignment ranking is calculated
Measure the city
Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.
Profile each operating model
Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.
Apply scoreable effects
Score only effects that apply without an unresolved site, territory, customer, or project gate.
Preserve conditional effects
Keep location- or territory-dependent issues visible for diligence without automatically changing the score.
Test rank sensitivity
Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.
Generate public output
Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.
How the common baseline becomes a city-specific score
Every concept starts from the same 70.0 reference point, so differences come only from modeled local interactions. The current model caps total local movement at ±18.0 points. The score is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.
Precision and materiality
Calculations use full-precision values. Published scores and factor contributions display one decimal place, while ranks use full precision. Effects smaller than 0.1 points are identified as below the publication threshold rather than presented as a meaningful zero.
Score tiers
How factor rows are classified
“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.
Model governance
How this report is calculated and corrected
Calculation controls
- Model designer
- Thomas Jepsen
No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Before this template is activated, the report is reviewed for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability.
Model history
- Model 0.9.0-calibration · August 7, 2026Added conditional scoring gates, factor-status transparency, rank-sensitivity testing, metric registry output, and factor-impact visualization data.
Corrections policy
Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.
Source registry
Evidence represented in this report
Each source identifies its period, scope, and the local metrics it supports. Internal or supplied research is not presented as independently accessible evidence.
- 1Structural Inefficiencies and Utility Delta Audit: A Private Equity Real Estate AnalysisInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 2Forensic Municipal Constraint and Structural Friction ReportInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 3Franchise data - remake - B startInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 4QuickFacts: Fresno city, California
Used for: Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025, Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025, Households in the 2020-2024 QuickFacts reference period, Owner-occupied housing unit rate, and Persons in poverty in the 2020-2024 QuickFacts reference period
- 5Fresno Multi-Jurisdictional 2023-2031 Housing Element
Used for: Housing units in the Fresno City housing-age table, Share of Fresno City housing stock built before 1990, and Share of Fresno City housing stock built before 1970
- 6General Plan, Development Code and Housing Element
Used for: Housing units in the Fresno City housing-age table, Share of Fresno City housing stock built before 1990, and Share of Fresno City housing stock built before 1970
- 7City of Fresno 2024 Housing Element Annual Progress Report
Used for: Housing units receiving building permits in 2024 and Housing units completed in 2024
- 8City of Fresno 2025 Housing Element Annual Progress Report Draft
Used for: Housing units receiving building permits in 2025 according to the draft Annual Progress Report and Housing units completed in 2025 according to the draft Annual Progress Report
- 92025 City of Fresno Annual Water Quality Report
Used for: Total hardness as CaCO3 in the City of Fresno public water system
- 10Fresno Metropolitan Statistical Area Labor Force and Industry Employment
Used for: Unemployment rate in June 2026 with state and national comparisons
- 11Occupational Employment and Wages in Fresno — May 2025
Used for: Average hourly wage in May 2025 with national comparison
- 12California Minimum Wage
Used for: California statewide minimum wage effective January 1, 2026
- 13Fresno Industrial MarketBeat Q2 2026
Used for: Overall industrial availability in the Fresno market in Q2 2026
- 14California High-Speed Rail Closures & Detours
Used for: Named Fresno street closures and traffic shifts associated with active high-speed-rail grade-separation construction
- 15Traffic Shift and Road Closures Along Herndon Avenue and Golden State Boulevard in Fresno
Used for: Named Fresno street closures and traffic shifts associated with active high-speed-rail grade-separation construction
- 16Multiple Closures Along Fresno, G and H Streets in Fresno
Used for: Named Fresno street closures and traffic shifts associated with active high-speed-rail grade-separation construction
- 17Central Valley Project Section
Used for: Named Fresno street closures and traffic shifts associated with active high-speed-rail grade-separation construction
- 18Tower District Design Standards & Guidelines
Used for: Mandatory sign controls in the adopted Tower District Design Standards & Guidelines
- 19Tower District Specific Plan Update — City Council Legislation Record
Used for: Mandatory sign controls in the adopted Tower District Design Standards & Guidelines
- 20City of Fresno Master Fee Schedule — Planning, Building and Related Fees
Used for: Current blended hourly rates for specified unlisted or beyond-regular-effort development review services
- 21Land Development
Used for: Current blended hourly rates for specified unlisted or beyond-regular-effort development review services
- 22Fire Prevention — Fire Hazard Severity Zones
Used for: Fire Hazard Severity Zone status stated by the City of Fresno Fire Department for the City Local Responsibility Area
- 23Fresno State
Used for: Approximate Fresno State student population stated on the university homepage
- 24Leadership
Used for: Minimum implied employee count from Community Health System statement that it manages more than 10,000 employees
- 25
Before contacting a franchisor
Complete the next layer of due diligence
- Confirm the exact protected territory and neighboring units.
- Review the current Franchise Disclosure Document.
- Validate local staffing, licensing, insurance, and service-base assumptions.
- Obtain location, vehicle, buildout, or working-capital estimates.
- Speak with current and former franchisees.
- Build a candidate-specific financial scenario.
Apply the analysis to your situation
Review how these market findings apply to your budget, role, and proposed territory.
The city score does not include your experience, capital structure, time commitment, financing, or exact territory.
