Local operating-model alignment analysis

Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Jacksonville, Florida

We compared 14 franchise concepts for Jacksonville, Florida. Local business demand was a leading positive mechanism.

What “best” means in this ranking“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page. It does not estimate earnings or determine which franchise is best for a particular candidate.
Analysis by Thomas Jepsen, MSc Model: 0.9.0
14Concepts evaluated
25Sources used
13Primary sources
39Local metrics

Evaluation set

Why these concepts were evaluated

This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.

14Concepts assessed

Concepts were included when enough operating-model information existed to assign a provisional local-sensitivity profile. Unresolved inputs reduce confidence or remain conditional rather than automatically excluding a concept.

A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.

City-level conclusions

What stood out in our assessment

Highest category average (limited comparison)Restoration

70.1 average across 2 concepts

Largest positive factorTarget-market demand

1 point average among 13 affected concepts

Most assumption-sensitive rankJan-Pro International

Tested rank range spans 12 positions

Executive conclusion

What the ranking means for Jacksonville, Florida

City Wide, Jan-Pro International, and HomeSmiles produced the highest modeled local-alignment scores in the evaluated set. Local business demand was the strongest positive scored mechanism among 10 exposed concepts, adding 0.6 points on average. These scores describe local operating alignment, not expected returns or overall franchise quality; the offered territory and franchise economics still require separate diligence.

How this differs from a directory: the model does not award points for brand popularity, advertising placement, or referral compensation. It tests how documented local conditions interact with each concept’s operating requirements.

Best franchise opportunities assessed

Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed

“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.

Rankings use full-precision scores.Displayed values use one decimal place. Identical displayed scores can therefore have different ranks, and close results should be treated as effectively similar.
RankFranchiseAlignment and tierLargest advantageLargest constraintEvidence confidence
1City WideFacility managementInvestment: $229,729–$410,730
72.5Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment
+2.5 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
2Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaningInvestment: $130,000–$421,500
72.0Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+2.0 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
3HomeSmilesProperty maintenance servicesInvestment: $148,110–$201,800
71.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.6 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
4FASTSIGNSSigns and graphicsInvestment: $231,226–$386,285
71.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.6 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
5ActionCOACHBusiness coachingInvestment: $71,668–$303,513
71.2Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+1.2 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
6Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome inspectionInvestment: $102,690–$134,290
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
7Aire ServHVAC installation, repair, and maintenanceInvestment: $113,308–$271,708
70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.7 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
8ZOOM DRAINDrain and sewer serviceInvestment: $266,250–$570,500
70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.6 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
9Mr. RooterPlumbingInvestment: $152,900–$298,675
70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.6 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence
10Mister Sparky ElectricElectrical
70.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment
+0.4 ptsTarget-market demand No material negative local adjustmentModerate evidence confidence

View all 14 score calculations

Conditions that changed the analysis

What mattered most in Jacksonville, Florida

01

Large professional, healthcare, logistics and retail activity supports local business-account demand without establishing uniform walk-in density

This relationship affected 10 concepts and added 0.6 points on average among those exposed. Local evidence: Education and health services employment, preliminary June 2026: 139,900 jobs. [10] [7]

02

Jacksonville exceeds one million residents and grew 7.2 percent from the 2020 estimate base to 2025

Jacksonville’s resident scale is distributed across 747.29 square miles, ten mobility zones, multiple development-area tiers, river and flood constraints, and district-specific rules. Population and growth support market scale but do not establish uniform walk-in density, route productivity, customer access or site feasibility. [7] [20] [21] [22]

03

recurring-commercial-service

This operating-model cluster separated from the broader set because its exposure to local support and constraints differed. The strongest positive factor was target-market demand, while the main constraint was property replacement-cycle demand. [23] [10] [7] [9] [24]

Evidence behind the city mechanisms

Large professional, healthcare, logistics and retail activity supports local business-account demand without establishing uniform walk-in density1 modeled effect
Local business demandTarget-market demand
Recent population growth and city-centered rental construction expand the household service base, with uneven submarket distribution1 modeled effect
Household service demandTarget-market demand
Large hospital systems and continuing campus investment support institutional facility-service demand1 modeled effect
Healthcare institutional service demandTarget-market demand

Compare all assessed concepts

Local impact by franchise concept

14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see the score-changing factors and their modeled drivers; the full audit ledger stays collapsed.

#1Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment72.5

City Wide

Facility management · B2B facility management and vendor coordination

Initial investment: $229,729–$410,730

Increase +2.5 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.3 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #1
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+1.2 pts
+2.5 pts
Net local movement+2.50 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+2.5
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score72.50
Published local-market alignment72.5

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +2.5 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#12
#2Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment72.0

Jan-Pro International

Commercial cleaning · recurring commercial route service

Initial investment: $130,000–$421,500

Increase +2.0 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.1 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #2 → #3
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.9 pts
+2.0 pts
Net local movement+2.00 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+2.0
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score72.00
Published local-market alignment72.0

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +2.0 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#14
#3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.6

HomeSmiles

Property maintenance services · Home-based mobile property-maintenance franchise using equipped service vans and technician crews to deliver bundled…

Initial investment: $148,110–$201,800

Increase +1.6 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+0.7 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #3 → #2
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
+1.6 pts
Net local movement+1.63 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.6
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.63
Published local-market alignment71.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.6 pts
Tested rank range
#2–#3
#4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.6

FASTSIGNS

Signs and graphics · B2B production and installation center

Initial investment: $231,226–$386,285

Increase +1.6 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.1 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #4 → #5
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
+1.6 pts
Net local movement+1.62 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
2 images
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.6
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.62
Published local-market alignment71.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.6 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#6
#5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment71.2

ActionCOACH

Business coaching · home-based B2B advisory

Initial investment: $71,668–$303,513

Increase +1.2 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Local business demand Evidence+1.0 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #5 → #13
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.1 pts
+1.2 pts
Net local movement+1.17 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+1.2
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score71.17
Published local-market alignment71.2

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +1.2 pts
Tested rank range
#5–#5
#6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

Pillar To Post Home Inspectors

Home inspection · mobile property inspection service

Initial investment: $102,690–$134,290

Increase +0.7 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.6 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #6 → #11
  • Local business demand Evidence+0.1 pts
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.71 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
2 sources
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.7
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.71
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#6–#9
#7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.7

Aire Serv

HVAC installation, repair, and maintenance · Manager-led mobile HVAC installation, repair, maintenance, and emergency service business using skilled technicians…

Initial investment: $113,308–$271,708

Increase +0.7 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.5 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: rank stays #7
  • Local business demand Evidence+0.2 pts
+0.7 pts
Net local movement+0.66 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
1 image
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.7
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.66
Published local-market alignment70.7

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.7 pts
Tested rank range
#1–#7
#8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.6

ZOOM DRAIN

Drain and sewer service · emergency skilled-trade route service

Initial investment: $266,250–$570,500

Increase +0.6 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #8 → #6
  • Local business demand Evidence+0.2 pts
+0.6 pts
Net local movement+0.63 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.6
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.63
Published local-market alignment70.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#4–#8
#9Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.6

Mr. Rooter

Plumbing · scheduled and emergency skilled-trade service

Initial investment: $152,900–$298,675

Increase +0.6 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #9 → #8
  • Local business demand Evidence+0.2 pts
+0.6 pts
Net local movement+0.62 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.6
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.62
Published local-market alignment70.6

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.6 pts
Tested rank range
#7–#9
#10Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.4

Mister Sparky Electric

Electrical · skilled-trade home service

Increase +0.4 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.4 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #10 → #12
+0.4 pts
Net local movement+0.41 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.4
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.41
Published local-market alignment70.4

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.4 pts
Tested rank range
#8–#10
#11Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.3

Workout Anytime

Fitness · fixed-location membership fitness

Initial investment: $1,060,850–$1,840,550

Increase +0.3 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.3 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #11 → #14
+0.3 pts
Net local movement+0.32 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.3
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.32
Published local-market alignment70.3

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.3 pts
Tested rank range
#11–#11
#12Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.3

Tiger Adjusters

Public insurance adjusting · Home-based, referral-led public insurance adjusting business combining local property inspections with…

Initial investment: $43,050–$159,500

Increase +0.3 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Household service demand Evidence+0.2 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #12 → #10
  • Local business demand Evidence+0.2 pts
+0.3 pts
Net local movement+0.31 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 19 — Financial Performance Representation
1 image
Public company data assessed
1 source
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.3
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.31
Published local-market alignment70.3

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Adequate
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.3 pts
Tested rank range
#3–#12
#13Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.2

Rainbow International Restoration

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $185,336–$351,900

Increase +0.2 pts Target-market demandNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Stable

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

Local factorModeled driversImpact
Target-market demand
  • Healthcare institutional service demand Evidence+0.2 pts
    Primary modeled driverRelationship test: #13 → #14
+0.2 pts
Net local movement+0.17 pts

Net uses full-precision effects; displayed factor and driver rows are rounded.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+0.2
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.17
Published local-market alignment70.2

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
Target-market demand +0.2 pts
Tested rank range
#13–#13
#14Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment70.0

PuroClean

Restoration · emergency property restoration

Initial investment: $54,575–$262,145

No material positive local adjustment identifiedNo material negative local adjustment identified

Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive

Why it ranks here

Score-changing local factors only. Evidence links open the underlying city finding.

No material scored local adjustment was identified for this concept.

Franchise evidence

Source material assessed

Item 3 — Litigation
1 image
Item 6 — Other Fees
1 image
Item 7 — Estimated Initial Investment
2 images
Item 12 — Territory
1 image
Item 20 — Outlets and Franchise Information
1 image
Full calculation and evidence confidence

Audit layer

Full factor ledger

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demandNot applicable to this operating model
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score70.00
Published local-market alignment70.0

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Evidence confidence

City Modifier Evidence
Adequate
Factor Research Coverage
Limited
Franchise-profile completeness
Limited
Source-evidence confidence
Adequate
Geographic applicability
Limited
Overall evidence confidence
Moderate evidence confidence
Largest absolute effect
0.0 pts
Tested rank range
#10–#14

Worked score example

How we calculated City Wide

This example uses the same ledger shown for every concept and must reconcile exactly to the published score.

Full score ledger

Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.

Neutral model baseline70.0
Target-market demand+2.5
Property replacement-cycle demandNot included in the score
Competitive environmentNot included in the score
Labor and staffing frictionMeasured; no meaningful local adjustment
Transportation, routing, and parkingDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Real estate and site feasibilityNot included in the score
Sales and customer acquisitionNot included in the score
Referral ecosystemNot included in the score
Territory qualityDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Regulatory and operating frictionDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition
Full-precision calculated score72.50
Published local-market alignment72.5

Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.

Starting pointThe operating-model baseline shown in the first ledger row.
InteractionsAny interaction or gate is included in the relevant contribution or calibration row.
Confidence treatmentEvidence confidence is disclosed separately unless the model definition explicitly applies a calibration adjustment.
RoundingFull-precision contributions are summed before the final displayed score is rounded to one decimal place; whole-number results are shown without a trailing decimal.

Factor impact

Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?

We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.

Observed model effectPositive local support

Target-market demand

We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.

Why concepts react differently

We applied a measurable adjustment to 13 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 14 concepts changed position. Rainbow International Restoration moved from #13 to #2, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.

Concepts adjusted13 of 14
Average among affected+1.0 pts
Average across all concepts+0.9 pts
Concepts changing rank14

What we observed

  • Population Change From April 1, 2020 Estimate Base To July 1, 20257.2 percent
  • Households394,370 households
  • Health Care And Social Assistance Receipts/revenue12,111,694,000 usd

Concepts helped most

City WideFacility management
+2.5 pts
Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaning
+2.0 pts
HomeSmilesProperty maintenance services
+1.6 pts
FASTSIGNSSigns and graphics
+1.6 pts
ActionCOACHBusiness coaching
+1.2 pts
Measured but not differentiating in this concept set
  • Property replacement-cycle demandNo material score adjustment
  • Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
  • Labor and staffing frictionNo material score adjustment
  • Transportation, routing, and parkingNo material score adjustment
  • Real estate and site feasibilityNo material score adjustment
  • Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
  • Referral ecosystemNo material score adjustment
  • Territory qualityNo material score adjustment
  • Regulatory and operating frictionNo material score adjustment

Rank stability

Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?

The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.

#1 City WideHighly sensitive · tested #1–#12
#2 Jan-Pro InternationalHighly sensitive · tested #2–#14
#3 HomeSmilesStable · tested #2–#3
#4 FASTSIGNSModerately sensitive · tested #4–#6
#5 ActionCOACHStable · tested #5–#5
#6 Pillar To Post Home InspectorsModerately sensitive · tested #6–#9
#7 Aire ServHighly sensitive · tested #1–#7
#8 ZOOM DRAINHighly sensitive · tested #4–#8
#9 Mr. RooterModerately sensitive · tested #7–#9
#10 Mister Sparky ElectricModerately sensitive · tested #8–#10
#11 Workout AnytimeStable · tested #11–#11
#12 Tiger AdjustersHighly sensitive · tested #3–#12
#13 Rainbow International RestorationStable · tested #13–#13
#14 PuroCleanHighly sensitive · tested #10–#14

Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.

Original factor comparison

How each factor affected the highest-rated franchise concepts

The graph includes the top 14 concepts by local-alignment score. Only nonzero score contributions are plotted. A factor is removed when every displayed concept received 0.0 points from it. Hover or focus a concept name to highlight all of its remaining data points.

Factor impact among the highest-rated franchise conceptsDiverging dot plot showing nonzero factor score contributions for the top 14 concepts. Zero-point concept-factor pairs are omitted, and factors with no nonzero contributions are excluded.+2.5+1.30.0-1.3-2.5
Target-market demand
#1 City Wide · Target-market demand · +2.5 pts1#2 Jan-Pro International · Target-market demand · +2.0 pts2#3 HomeSmiles · Target-market demand · +1.6 pts3#4 FASTSIGNS · Target-market demand · +1.6 pts4#5 ActionCOACH · Target-market demand · +1.2 pts5#6 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors · Target-market demand · +0.7 pts6#7 Aire Serv · Target-market demand · +0.7 pts7#8 ZOOM DRAIN · Target-market demand · +0.6 pts8#9 Mr. Rooter · Target-market demand · +0.6 pts9#10 Mister Sparky Electric · Target-market demand · +0.4 pts10#11 Workout Anytime · Target-market demand · +0.3 pts11#12 Tiger Adjusters · Target-market demand · +0.3 pts12#13 Rainbow International Restoration · Target-market demand · +0.2 pts13
Primary source records by factorTarget-market demand: [7] [8] [9] [10] [23] [24] [4]Property replacement-cycle demand: [7] [8] [9] [21] [22] [4]Competitive environment: [7] [9] [14]Labor and staffing friction: [10] [11] [9] [5] [4]Transportation, routing, and parking: [7] [15] [20] [4] [5] [6]Real estate and site feasibility: [12] [13] [14] [19] [20] [18] [21]Sales and customer acquisition: [7] [16] [17] [25] [6]Referral ecosystem: [9] [23] [24] [25] [10]Territory quality: [7] [20] [21] [22] [18] [14] [6]Regulatory and operating friction: [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [5] [6]
View the chart data as a table
ConceptTarget-market demand
#1 City Wide+2.5 pts
#2 Jan-Pro International+2.0 pts
#3 HomeSmiles+1.6 pts
#4 FASTSIGNS+1.6 pts
#5 ActionCOACH+1.2 pts
#6 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors+0.7 pts
#7 Aire Serv+0.7 pts
#8 ZOOM DRAIN+0.6 pts
#9 Mr. Rooter+0.6 pts
#10 Mister Sparky Electric+0.4 pts
#11 Workout Anytime+0.3 pts
#12 Tiger Adjusters+0.3 pts
#13 Rainbow International Restoration+0.2 pts
#14 PuroClean—

Interpretation

How to interpret the result

City Wide, Jan-Pro International, HomeSmiles led because their operating requirements captured more of the local support from target-market demand while remaining less exposed to property replacement-cycle demand. The same city condition can help one operating model and constrain another, so score differences should be read through each concept's factor pattern rather than as a universal franchise-quality verdict. The ordering is most assumption-sensitive for City Wide, Jan-Pro International, Aire Serv; their ranks move more widely when individual factors are neutralized.

Category comparisons

Best franchise categories we assessed in Jacksonville, Florida

Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.

Limited two-concept comparison

Best Restoration franchise opportunities we assessed in Jacksonville, Florida

70.1

2 Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 70.0 to 70.2. Rainbow International Restoration ranked highest at 70.2. Target-market demand added 0.1 points on average among the affected concepts.

Interpret cautiously: A 0.2-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.

Concepts compared
2
Score range
70.0–70.2
Category average
70.1
Rainbow International Restoration70.2
PuroClean70.0

Metric registry

The 39 local metrics behind this analysis

The registry shows each public metric’s raw value, period, geography, source, and its actual role in the compiled analysis.

View all local metrics
MetricRaw valuePeriodGeographyRole in analysisSource
Resident population estimate, July 1, 20251,017,689people2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaSupports research conclusion [7]
Population change from April 1, 2020 estimate base to July 1, 20257.2percent2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaUsed in scoring [7]
Land area747.29square miles2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaConditional relationship [7]
Population density1,270.7people per square mile2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaConditional relationship [7]
Households394,370households2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaUsed in scoring [7]
Owner-occupied housing-unit rate57.6percent2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaContext only [7]
Housing units449,941housing units2024 American Community Survey 1-year estimatesJacksonville, FloridaContext only [8]
Mean travel time to work24.1minutes2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaContext only [7]
Health care and social assistance receipts/revenue12,111,694,000usd2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaUsed in scoring [7]
Transportation and warehousing receipts/revenue9,725,439,000usd2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaUsed in scoring [7]
Total retail sales28,605,456,000usd2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land areaJacksonville, FloridaUsed in scoring [7]
Share of HMA rental units under construction located in the citynearly two-thirdsshare descriptionConditions as of January 1, 2024; forecast through January 1, 2027Jacksonville, FloridaUsed in scoring [9]
Rental units under construction in the HMA as of January 1, 202410,500rental unitsConditions as of January 1, 2024; forecast through January 1, 2027Jacksonville HMAUsed in scoring [9]
Estimated additional sales-unit demand during the three-year forecast period39,250sales unitsConditions as of January 1, 2024; forecast through January 1, 2027Jacksonville HMAContext only [9]
Unemployment rate, preliminary June 20264.8percentJune 2026 preliminary labor-force and payroll data; extracted August 4, 2026Jacksonville, FL MSAContext only [10]
Total nonfarm employment, preliminary June 2026800,300jobsJune 2026 preliminary labor-force and payroll data; extracted August 4, 2026Jacksonville, FL MSAContext only [10]
Professional and business services employment, preliminary June 2026118,800jobsJune 2026 preliminary labor-force and payroll data; extracted August 4, 2026Jacksonville, FL MSAUsed in scoring [10]
Education and health services employment, preliminary June 2026139,900jobsJune 2026 preliminary labor-force and payroll data; extracted August 4, 2026Jacksonville, FL MSAUsed in scoring [10]
Trade, transportation and utilities employment, preliminary June 2026170,200jobsJune 2026 preliminary labor-force and payroll data; extracted August 4, 2026Jacksonville, FL MSAContext only [10]
Mean hourly wage for all occupations31.59usd per hourMay 2025 Occupational Employment and Wage StatisticsJacksonville, FL MSAContext only [11]
Mean hourly wage for food preparation and serving related occupations17.57usd per hourMay 2025 Occupational Employment and Wage StatisticsJacksonville, FL MSAContext only [11]
Mean hourly wage for building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations18.71usd per hourMay 2025 Occupational Employment and Wage StatisticsJacksonville, FL MSAContext only [11]
Mean hourly wage for installation, maintenance and repair occupations28.75usd per hourMay 2025 Occupational Employment and Wage StatisticsJacksonville, FL MSAContext only [11]
Office and administrative support employment96,850jobsMay 2025 Occupational Employment and Wage StatisticsJacksonville, FL MSAContext only [11]
Named major healthcare employers and reported employmentBaptist Health System Inc.: 12,000; Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research: 8,450; University of Florida Health: 6,600employees by employerConditions as of January 1, 2024; forecast through January 1, 2027Jacksonville HMA, employers primarily in Duval CountyUsed in scoring [9]
Overall industrial vacancy rate10.9percentSecond quarter 2026Jacksonville industrial marketContext only [12]
Overall industrial vacancy rate9.8percentSecond quarter 2026Jacksonville industrial marketContext only [13]
Overall industrial vacancy rate11.6percentOffice and industrial Q2 2026; retail Q1 2026; multifamily Q2 2026Jacksonville industrial marketContext only [14]
Overall office vacancy rate20.5percentOffice and industrial Q2 2026; retail Q1 2026; multifamily Q2 2026Jacksonville office marketConditional relationship [14]
I-95 widening from I-10 to Beaver Street remains a PD&E study with project start, expected completion and cost listed as TBDstage: PD&E study; project start: TBD; expected completion: TBD; cost: TBDstatus recordCurrent project page accessed August 5, 2026I-95 from I-10 to Beaver Street, JacksonvilleSupports modeled relationship [15]
City charter and ordinances prohibit off-site billboards while separately regulating on-site signsoff-site billboards prohibitedlegal ruleCurrent ordinance guidance accessed August 5, 2026Jacksonville, FloridaConditional relationship [16] [17]
Certificate of Appropriateness is required for properties in three locally designated historic districts and locally designated landmarksdistrict or landmark propertiesapplicability scopeCurrent process accessed August 5, 2026Locally designated Jacksonville historic districts and landmarksConditional relationship [18]
Mobility Fee Calculation Certificate and Mobility Fee Contract Application feesmobility fee calculation certificate: 688; mobility fee contract application: 1,830usdCurrent fee schedule accessed August 5, 2026Jacksonville, FloridaContext only [19]
CRC fee for a nonresidential new building or addition not preceded by CCASbase rate: 17; base rate unit: per 1000 sqft up to 500000; incremental rate: 8; incremental rate unit: per additional 1000 sqftfee formulaCurrent fee schedule accessed August 5, 2026Jacksonville, FloridaContext only [19]
Mobility fees apply to new development and to renovation, conversion or expansion when traffic generation increasestraffic-increasing development activityapplicability ruleCurrent FAQ accessed August 5, 2026Jacksonville, FloridaContext only [20]
Number of mobility zones used by the city10mobility zonesCurrent FAQ accessed August 5, 2026Jacksonville, FloridaConditional relationship [20]
Local resilience program uses compound flood modeling across coastal, riverine and inland stormwater mechanisms and more than 50,000 scenariosmore than 50000modeled scenarios2025 annual resilience program updateJacksonville and Duval CountyConditional relationship [22] [21]
Mayo Clinic Florida announced a five-floor hospital expansion adding 166 beds as part of a plan to more than double Florida patient-care, research and education spacefloors: 5; new beds: 166project scopeExpansion announcement and planned capacityMayo Clinic Florida campus, JacksonvilleUsed in scoring [24]
City procurement portal publishes bidding opportunities for city agenciespublic bid portal availablechannel statusCurrent procurement portal accessed August 5, 2026Jacksonville, FloridaContext only [25]

How to use the ranking

What the model can and cannot establish

  • Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
  • Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.
  • Conditional effects are shown for diligence but do not change the published score until their applicability is established.

Methodology

How the local-alignment ranking is calculated

01

Measure the city

Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.

02

Profile each operating model

Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.

03

Apply scoreable effects

Score only effects that apply without an unresolved site, territory, customer, or project gate.

04

Preserve conditional effects

Keep location- or territory-dependent issues visible for diligence without automatically changing the score.

05

Test rank sensitivity

Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.

06

Generate public output

Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.

How the common baseline becomes a city-specific score

Every concept starts from the same 70.0 reference point, so differences come only from modeled local interactions. In this city, City Wide reached 72.50 after target-market demand +2.5 pts. The current model caps total local movement at ±18.0 points. The score is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.

Precision and materiality

Calculations use full-precision values. Published scores and factor contributions display one decimal place, while ranks use full precision. Effects smaller than 0.1 points are identified as below the publication threshold rather than presented as a meaningful zero.

Score tiers

Tier 1 · Strongest modeled alignment80.0–100.0
Tier 2 · Favorable modeled alignment72.0–<80.0
Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment64.0–<72.0
Tier 4 · Higher-friction modeled alignment0.0–<64.0

How factor rows are classified

Positive local adjustmentNegative local adjustmentMeasured; no meaningful local adjustmentEffect below the publication thresholdNot applicable to this operating modelDepends on the specific site, territory, or operating conditionNot included in the score
What “best” means here

“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.

Model 0.9.0 · Compiler 0.15.1-franchise-image-filter · Report generated August 19, 2026 (site timezone)

Model governance

How this report is calculated and corrected

Calculation controls

Model designer
Thomas Jepsen

No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Before this template is activated, the report is reviewed for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability.

Model history

  1. Model 0.9.0-calibration · August 19, 2026Added compiler-derived decision intelligence and observation usage mapping., Changed factor sensitivity and channel counterfactuals to full model reruns., Added data-dependent city content signals while preserving legacy public report fields., and Added model-owned semantic compatibility gates and backward-compatible channel-level evidence attribution.

Corrections policy

Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.

Source registry

Evidence represented in this report

Each source identifies its period, scope, and the local metrics it supports. Internal or supplied research is not presented as independently accessible evidence.

  1. 1
    Franchise-to-city operating-fit model definitionInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    User File Library
    Data period
    Model version 0.9.0-calibration
    Scope
    Model-wide
    Locator
    Factors, operating attributes, modifier taxonomy, channels, confidence and provenance controls
    Source tier
    Tier 0 · controlling internal taxonomy
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  2. 2
    Valid city JSON exampleInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    User-supplied structural reference
    Published
    July 30, 2026
    Data period
    Example schema version 0.9
    Scope
    Structure only; New York conclusions were not used
    Locator
    Top-level arrays, geographic-scope objects, evidence records, coverage and quality-assurance structure
    Source tier
    Tier 0 · structural reference
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  3. 3
    Jacksonville city research JSON extraction promptInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    User-supplied instructions
    Published
    August 5, 2026
    Data period
    Task instructions supplied August 5, 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville, Florida target lock
    Locator
    Target lock, evidence rules, factor coverage and validation requirements
    Source tier
    Tier 0 · controlling task instructions
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  4. 4
    Structural inefficiency and operating-fit research docketInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Claims and citations generally accessed through February 25, 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville section within a multi-city docket
    Locator
    Jacksonville, Florida section between Virginia Beach and Milwaukee
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  5. 5
    Forensic Audit Report: Structural Capital Constraints and Jurisdictional Risk ProfilesInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Claims and citations generally accessed through February 20, 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville section within a ten-jurisdiction docket
    Locator
    Jacksonville, Florida narrative and subsections A-F
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  6. 6
    Franchise neighborhood research rowsInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
    Publisher
    Supplied research material
    Data period
    Undated neighborhood-level research reviewed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    San Marco, Avondale, Mandarin, Southside, Nocatee and Beaches rows
    Locator
    Six rows labeled Jacksonville; Nocatee and Beaches were treated as separate-place or ambiguous geography
    Source tier
    Tier 5 · supplied bespoke research
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  7. 7
    QuickFacts: Jacksonville city, Florida

    Used for: Resident population estimate, July 1, 2025, Population change from April 1, 2020 estimate base to July 1, 2025, Land area, Population density, and Households

    Publisher
    U.S. Census Bureau
    Data period
    2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 economic receipts; 2020 land area
    Scope
    Jacksonville city, Florida
    Locator
    Population, housing, households, receipts, commute, density and land area
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative government statistics
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  8. 8
    Jacksonville, FL profile data, ACS 2024 1-year

    Used for: Housing units

    Publisher
    Census Reporter using U.S. Census Bureau ACS data
    Data period
    2024 American Community Survey 1-year estimates
    Scope
    Jacksonville city, Florida
    Locator
    Population, households, housing units, income and travel time
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · Census-derived institutional data
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  9. 9
    Comprehensive Housing Market Analysis for Jacksonville, Florida

    Used for: Share of HMA rental units under construction located in the city, Rental units under construction in the HMA as of January 1, 2024, Estimated additional sales-unit demand during the three-year forecast period, and Named major healthcare employers and reported employment

    Publisher
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research
    Published
    January 1, 2024
    Data period
    Conditions as of January 1, 2024; forecast through January 1, 2027
    Scope
    Jacksonville HMA: Baker, Clay, Duval, Nassau and St. Johns Counties; city-specific statements retained only where explicit
    Locator
    Executive summary; economic conditions; population and households; sales and rental construction
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative government analysis
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  10. 10
    Jacksonville, FL Economy at a Glance

    Used for: Unemployment rate, preliminary June 2026, Total nonfarm employment, preliminary June 2026, Professional and business services employment, preliminary June 2026, Education and health services employment, preliminary June 2026, and Trade, transportation and utilities employment, preliminary June 2026

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Data period
    June 2026 preliminary labor-force and payroll data; extracted August 4, 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville, FL metropolitan statistical area
    Locator
    Labor force, unemployment and nonfarm employment by major sector
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative government statistics
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  11. 11
    Occupational Employment and Wages in Jacksonville, FL — May 2025

    Used for: Mean hourly wage for all occupations, Mean hourly wage for food preparation and serving related occupations, Mean hourly wage for building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations, Mean hourly wage for installation, maintenance and repair occupations, and Office and administrative support employment

    Publisher
    U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
    Published
    July 7, 2026
    Data period
    May 2025 Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics
    Scope
    Jacksonville, FL metropolitan statistical area
    Locator
    Major occupational employment shares and hourly wages; selected office occupations
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative government statistics
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  12. 12
    Jacksonville Industrial Figures Q2 2026

    Used for: Overall industrial vacancy rate

    Publisher
    CBRE
    Published
    July 1, 2026
    Data period
    Second quarter 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville industrial market
    Locator
    Overall vacancy, absorption and supply conditions; no small-bay size segmentation
    Source tier
    Tier 3 · major industry research
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  13. 13
    Jacksonville Industrial Market Report Q2 2026

    Used for: Overall industrial vacancy rate

    Publisher
    Colliers
    Published
    July 1, 2026
    Data period
    Second quarter 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville industrial market
    Locator
    Overall vacancy and net absorption; no live small-bay inventory
    Source tier
    Tier 3 · major industry research
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  14. 14
    Jacksonville MarketBeat Reports

    Used for: Overall industrial vacancy rate and Overall office vacancy rate

    Publisher
    Cushman & Wakefield
    Published
    July 24, 2026
    Data period
    Office and industrial Q2 2026; retail Q1 2026; multifamily Q2 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville commercial real estate market and submarkets
    Locator
    Current MarketBeat summary metrics
    Source tier
    Tier 3 · major industry research
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  15. 15
    I-95 Widening from I-10 to Beaver Street

    Used for: I-95 widening from I-10 to Beaver Street remains a PD&E study with project start, expected completion and cost listed as TBD

    Publisher
    Florida Department of Transportation District 2
    Data period
    Current project page accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    I-95 from I-10 to Beaver Street, Jacksonville, Duval County
    Locator
    PD&E status, proposed scope, project start, expected completion and cost
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative government project record
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  16. 16
    Sign Laws

    Used for: City charter and ordinances prohibit off-site billboards while separately regulating on-site signs

    Publisher
    City of Jacksonville Building Inspection Division
    Data period
    Current ordinance guidance accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    City of Jacksonville
    Locator
    1987 charter amendment on off-site billboards and regulation of on-site signs
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative local government
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  17. 17
    Chapter 656, Part 13 Sign Regulations

    Used for: City charter and ordinances prohibit off-site billboards while separately regulating on-site signs

    Publisher
    City of Jacksonville via Municode
    Data period
    Current code accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    City of Jacksonville, with district-specific provisions
    Locator
    General sign regulations and overlay/historic-district provisions
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative municipal code
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  18. 18
    Certificate of Appropriateness Process

    Used for: Certificate of Appropriateness is required for properties in three locally designated historic districts and locally designated landmarks

    Publisher
    City of Jacksonville Historic Preservation Section
    Data period
    Current process accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    Three locally designated historic districts and locally designated landmarks in Jacksonville
    Locator
    COA applicability and historic-preservation review process
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative local government
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  19. 19
    City Fees

    Used for: Mobility Fee Calculation Certificate and Mobility Fee Contract Application fees and CRC fee for a nonresidential new building or addition not preceded by CCAS

    Publisher
    City of Jacksonville Finance Department
    Data period
    Current fee schedule accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    City of Jacksonville
    Locator
    Concurrency, mobility, planning, building and related fee tables
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative local government
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  20. 20
    Concurrency and Mobility Management System Office FAQ

    Used for: Mobility fees apply to new development and to renovation, conversion or expansion when traffic generation increases and Number of mobility zones used by the city

    Publisher
    City of Jacksonville Planning Department
    Data period
    Current FAQ accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    City of Jacksonville
    Locator
    Mobility fee applicability, exemptions, payment timing, mobility zones and development areas
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative local government
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  21. 21
    Floodplain Management

    Used for: Local resilience program uses compound flood modeling across coastal, riverine and inland stormwater mechanisms and more than 50,000 scenarios

    Publisher
    City of Jacksonville Public Works Department
    Data period
    Current floodplain guidance accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    Duval County and City of Jacksonville floodplain areas
    Locator
    Floodplain review, map and development guidance
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative local government
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  22. 22
    Resilient Jacksonville Annual Update 2025

    Used for: Local resilience program uses compound flood modeling across coastal, riverine and inland stormwater mechanisms and more than 50,000 scenarios

    Publisher
    City of Jacksonville
    Published
    December 1, 2025
    Data period
    2025 annual resilience program update
    Scope
    City of Jacksonville and Duval County
    Locator
    Compound flood-model development and resilience implementation update
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative local government
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  23. 23
    Baptist Health Jacksonville
    Publisher
    Baptist Health
    Data period
    Current network information accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    Jacksonville and Northeast Florida
    Locator
    Hospital, specialty and primary-care network footprint
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · primary institution source
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  24. 24
    Mayo Clinic in Florida hospital expansion

    Used for: Mayo Clinic Florida announced a five-floor hospital expansion adding 166 beds as part of a plan to more than double Florida patient-care, research and education space

    Publisher
    Mayo Clinic News Network
    Published
    April 2, 2025
    Data period
    Expansion announcement and planned capacity
    Scope
    Mayo Clinic Florida campus, Jacksonville
    Locator
    Five-floor hospital expansion, 166 beds and broader campus growth plan
    Source tier
    Tier 2 · primary institution source
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026
  25. 25
    City of Jacksonville bidding opportunities

    Used for: City procurement portal publishes bidding opportunities for city agencies

    Publisher
    Jacksonville Small and Emerging Business program
    Data period
    Current procurement portal accessed August 5, 2026
    Scope
    City of Jacksonville agencies
    Locator
    Public bid and vendor opportunity channel
    Source tier
    Tier 1 · authoritative local government
    Accessed
    August 5, 2026

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