70.5 average across 2 concepts
Local operating-model alignment analysis
Best Franchise Opportunities We Assessed in Tucson, Arizona
We ranked 14 franchise concepts for Tucson, Arizona using local demand, labor, transportation, real estate, regulation, and source-backed evidence.
Evaluation set
Why these concepts were evaluated
This is not a ranking of every franchise that may be offered in the city.
Concepts were included when enough operating-model information existed to assign a provisional local-sensitivity profile. Unresolved inputs reduce confidence or remain conditional rather than automatically excluding a concept.
A brand’s participation in our referral network does not add points or change its position.
City-level conclusions
What stood out in our assessment
0.3 points average among 11 affected concepts
Tested rank range spans 12 positions
Best franchise opportunities assessed
Top 10 local-alignment scores from 14 concepts assessed
“Best” refers to modeled local operating alignment among the concepts assessed—not expected earnings, franchise-system quality, or candidate fit.
| Rank | Franchise | Alignment and tier | Largest advantage | Largest constraint | Evidence confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | City WideFacility management | 71.3Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +1.0 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 2 | ActionCOACHBusiness coaching | 70.9Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.6 ptsReferral ecosystem | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 3 | HomeSmilesProperty maintenance services | 70.8Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.4 ptsReferral ecosystem | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 4 | Jan-Pro InternationalCommercial cleaning | 70.7Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.7 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 5 | Rainbow International RestorationRestoration | 70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.4 ptsReferral ecosystem | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 6 | ZOOM DRAINDrain and sewer service | 70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.3 ptsReferral ecosystem | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 7 | FASTSIGNSSigns and graphics | 70.6Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.5 ptsTarget-market demand | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 8 | PuroCleanRestoration | 70.5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.4 ptsReferral ecosystem | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 9 | Pillar To Post Home InspectorsHome inspection | 70.5Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.4 ptsReferral ecosystem | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
| 10 | Tiger AdjustersPublic insurance adjusting | 70.4Tier 3 · Mixed modeled alignment | +0.4 ptsReferral ecosystem | No material negative local adjustment | Moderate evidence confidence |
Original factor comparison
How each factor affected the highest-rated franchise concepts
The graph includes the top 14 concepts by local-alignment score. Only nonzero score contributions are plotted. A factor is removed when every displayed concept received 0.0 points from it. Hover or focus a concept name to highlight all of its remaining data points.
View the chart data as a table
| Concept | Target-market demand | Property replacement-cycle demand | Referral ecosystem |
|---|---|---|---|
| #1 City Wide | +1.0 pts | — | +0.4 pts |
| #2 ActionCOACH | +0.3 pts | — | +0.6 pts |
| #3 HomeSmiles | +0.3 pts | — | +0.4 pts |
| #4 Jan-Pro International | +0.7 pts | — | — |
| #5 Rainbow International Restoration | +0.1 pts | +0.1 pts | +0.4 pts |
| #6 ZOOM DRAIN | — | +0.3 pts | +0.3 pts |
| #7 FASTSIGNS | +0.5 pts | — | +0.1 pts |
| #8 PuroClean | — | +0.1 pts | +0.4 pts |
| #9 Pillar To Post Home Inspectors | — | +0.1 pts | +0.4 pts |
| #10 Tiger Adjusters | — | — | +0.4 pts |
| #11 Mr. Rooter | — | +0.2 pts | +0.1 pts |
| #12 Aire Serv | — | +0.3 pts | — |
| #13 Mister Sparky Electric | — | +0.2 pts | +0.1 pts |
| #14 Workout Anytime | — | — | — |
Rank stability
Which positions depend most on individual assumptions?
The line shows the best and worst rank reached when one factor was removed from every concept. A narrow range indicates a more stable position.
Neutralizing a factor removes it from every concept. A concept can move down even when its own score improves because competitors may benefit more.
Worked score example
How we calculated City Wide
This example uses the same ledger shown for every concept and must reconcile exactly to the published score.
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +1.0 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 71.35 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Interpretation
How to interpret the result
City Wide, ActionCOACH, HomeSmiles led because their operating requirements captured more of the local support from referral ecosystem while remaining less exposed to competitive environment. The same city condition can help one operating model and constrain another, so score differences should be read through each concept's factor pattern rather than as a universal franchise-quality verdict. The ordering is most assumption-sensitive for City Wide, ActionCOACH, Jan-Pro International; their ranks move more widely when individual factors are neutralized.
Factor impact
Which local conditions changed scores or rankings?
We neutralized one factor at a time, recalculated every score, and then measured both absolute score movement and changes in rank order.
Target-market demand
We tested how much of the city’s theoretical customer and business demand remained usable after operating friction.
We applied a measurable adjustment to 6 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 13 concepts changed position. Jan-Pro International moved from #4 to #14, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
Concepts helped most
Property replacement-cycle demand
We compared the age and condition of relevant property systems with the services each concept is actually equipped to provide.
We applied a measurable adjustment to 7 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 8 concepts changed position. ZOOM DRAIN moved from #6 to #10, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
Concepts helped most
Referral ecosystem
We tested whether the local professional and institutional referral ecosystem materially separated the assessed concepts.
We applied a measurable adjustment to 11 of 14 concepts. When we neutralized the factor and recalculated the table, 12 concepts changed position. Rainbow International Restoration moved from #5 to #10, the largest movement among concepts directly affected by this factor.
Concepts helped most
- Competitive environmentNo material score adjustment
- Labor and staffing frictionNo material score adjustment
- Transportation, routing, and parkingNo material score adjustment
- Real estate and site feasibilityNo material score adjustment
- Sales and customer acquisitionNo material score adjustment
- Territory qualityNo material score adjustment
- Regulatory and operating frictionNo material score adjustment
Category comparisons
Best franchise categories we assessed in Tucson, Arizona
Category summaries are shown only when at least two concepts qualified. Two-concept comparisons are explicitly labeled as limited.
Best Restoration franchise opportunities we assessed in Tucson, Arizona
2 Restoration concepts qualified for comparison, with scores ranging from 70.5 to 70.6. Rainbow International Restoration ranked highest at 70.6. Referral ecosystem added 0.4 points on average among the affected concepts.
Interpret cautiously: A 0.1-point spread is too small to support a strong brand-level conclusion from city alignment alone.
- Concepts compared
- 2
- Score range
- 70.5–70.6
- Category average
- 70.5
Compare all assessed concepts
Explore the complete score calculations
14 concepts shown. Expand a concept to see how each factor was treated and the single next check most capable of changing the result.
City Wide
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +1.0 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 71.35 |
| Published local-market alignment | 71.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +1.0 pts
- Tested rank range
- #1–#7
Most important next check
How many qualified facility and property-management accounts must be reachable for City Wide to support its local contract pipeline?
ActionCOACH
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.3 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.6 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.89 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.9 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Referral ecosystem +0.6 pts
- Tested rank range
- #1–#6
Most important next check
Which professional referral channels are expected to matter most to ActionCOACH, and what local relationship count supports the plan?
HomeSmiles
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.3 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.75 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.8 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Referral ecosystem +0.4 pts
- Tested rank range
- #3–#6
Most important next check
Which property-management partners are expected to produce recurring opportunities for HomeSmiles?
Jan-Pro International
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.7 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.71 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.7 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.7 pts
- Tested rank range
- #2–#14
Most important next check
What concentration of recurring commercial accounts is required for Jan-Pro International to build an efficient local book of business?
Rainbow International Restoration
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.1 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.1 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.59 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.6 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Referral ecosystem +0.4 pts
- Tested rank range
- #5–#10
Most important next check
Which ZIP codes can Rainbow International Restoration serve within its target emergency-response time under normal and peak traffic conditions?
ZOOM DRAIN
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.3 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.3 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.57 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.6 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Referral ecosystem +0.3 pts
- Tested rank range
- #2–#10
Most important next check
Where must ZOOM DRAIN stage crews and vehicles to protect after-hours response times across the proposed territory?
FASTSIGNS
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | +0.5 |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.1 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.56 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.6 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Target-market demand +0.5 pts
- Tested rank range
- #3–#12
Most important next check
Which use, storage, ventilation, or permit requirements apply to FASTSIGNS's proposed production or service base?
PuroClean
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.1 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.49 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.5 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Referral ecosystem +0.4 pts
- Tested rank range
- #3–#12
Most important next check
What dispatch zones and maximum drive-time assumptions does PuroClean use for urgent service calls?
Pillar To Post Home Inspectors
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.1 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.48 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.5 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Referral ecosystem +0.4 pts
- Tested rank range
- #4–#11
Most important next check
What service radius and drive-time ceiling has Pillar To Post Home Inspectors validated for the proposed territory?
Tiger Adjusters
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.4 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.36 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.4 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Referral ecosystem +0.4 pts
- Tested rank range
- #8–#13
Most important next check
Which professional referral channels are expected to matter most to Tiger Adjusters, and what local relationship count supports the plan?
Mr. Rooter
Rank sensitivity: Moderately sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.2 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.1 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.35 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.4 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.2 pts
- Tested rank range
- #8–#11
Most important next check
How many field vehicles must Mr. Rooter deploy, and where would they begin and end each service day?
Aire Serv
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.3 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.34 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Adequate
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.3 pts
- Tested rank range
- #4–#13
Most important next check
What daily vehicle utilization and travel-time allowance are built into Aire Serv's operating plan?
Mister Sparky Electric
Rank sensitivity: Highly sensitive
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | +0.2 |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | +0.1 |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.29 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.3 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- Property replacement-cycle demand +0.2 pts
- Tested rank range
- #9–#13
Most important next check
What daily vehicle utilization and travel-time allowance are built into Mister Sparky Electric's operating plan?
Workout Anytime
Rank sensitivity: Stable
How we scored this concept
Full score ledger
Every factor is classified so a displayed zero is not confused with missing, conditional, or non-applicable evidence.
| Neutral model baseline | 70.0 |
|---|---|
| Target-market demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Property replacement-cycle demand | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Competitive environment | Not included in the score |
| Labor and staffing friction | Measured; no meaningful local adjustment |
| Transportation, routing, and parking | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Real estate and site feasibility | Not included in the score |
| Sales and customer acquisition | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Referral ecosystem | Not applicable to this operating model |
| Territory quality | Not included in the score |
| Regulatory and operating friction | Depends on the specific site, territory, or operating condition |
| Full-precision calculated score | 70.00 |
| Published local-market alignment | 70.0 |
Factor calculations use full precision. Contributions and published scores are displayed to one decimal place; ranking order uses the full-precision score.
Evidence confidence
- City Modifier Evidence
- Adequate
- Factor Research Coverage
- Adequate
- Franchise-profile completeness
- Limited
- Source-evidence confidence
- Strong
- Geographic applicability
- Limited
- Overall evidence confidence
- Moderate evidence confidence
- Largest absolute effect
- 0.0 pts
- Tested rank range
- #13–#14
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Metric registry
The 24 local metrics behind this analysis
The registry exposes the raw value, period, geography, factor mapping, and source for every public metric used in the city research.
View all local metrics
| Metric | Raw value | Period | Geography | How used | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025 | 548,371people | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 business data | Tucson, Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand, Territory quality | [4] |
| Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025 | 1.1percent | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 business data | Tucson, Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand | [4] |
| Households in the 2020-2024 QuickFacts reference period | 228,020households | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 business data | Tucson, Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand, Territory quality | [4] |
| Owner-occupied housing unit rate | 51.8percent | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 business data | Tucson, Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand, Property replacement-cycle demand | [4] |
| All employer firms in the QuickFacts business reference year | 8,973employer firms | July 1, 2025 population estimate; 2020-2024 ACS characteristics; 2022 business data | Tucson, Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand, Referral ecosystem, Competitive environment, Sales and customer acquisition | [4] |
| Total housing units in the 2024 ACS 5-year housing profile | 247,823housing units | 2020-2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates | Tucson, Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand, Property replacement-cycle demand, Territory quality | [5] |
| Tucson Water reports hard-water mineral buildup that can shorten appliance life and clog pipes | hard water present: yes; mineral buildup can shorten appliance life: yes; mineral buildup can clog pipes: yes; lime scale can restrict pipe flow: yes; lime scale can reduce water heater efficiency: yesdocumented condition flags | Current guidance accessed August 2026 | Tucson Water service area | Evidence for Property replacement-cycle demand | [7] [8] |
| City of Tucson minimum wage effective for 2026 | 15.45usd per hour | Rate effective January 1-December 31, 2026 | City of Tucson; covered employees perform at least five hours of work per pay cycle within city boundaries | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction, Regulatory and operating friction | [9] [2] |
| Mean hourly wage for all occupations in the Tucson MSA versus the United States | tucson msa: 30.38; united states: 33.54usd per hour | May 2025 occupational employment and wage estimates; release reissued June 24, 2026 | Tucson, AZ MSA (Pima County) | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction | [10] |
| Selected major occupational-group mean hourly wages in the Tucson MSA versus U.S. averages | food preparation and serving: tucson: 18.83, us: 17.86; building and grounds: tucson: 18.58, us: 19.66; sales: tucson: 22.64, us: 26.43; office and admin: tucson: 22.92, us: 24.79; construction and extraction: tucson: 26.71, us: 31.42; installation maintenance repair: tucson: 27.82, us: 30.44; transportation material moving: tucson: 21.95, us: 23.96usd per hour | May 2025 occupational employment and wage estimates; release reissued June 24, 2026 | Tucson, AZ MSA (Pima County) | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction | [10] |
| Tucson MSA unemployment rate in May 2026 preliminary data | 4.7percent | Labor force through May 2026 and nonfarm employment through June 2026 preliminary | Tucson, AZ MSA | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction | [11] |
| University of Arizona total Fall 2025 enrollment | 54,384students | Fall 2025 enrollment and current employee fact set | University of Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand, Referral ecosystem, Sales and customer acquisition | [12] |
| University of Arizona employees including graduate assistants | 15,764employees | Fall 2025 enrollment and current employee fact set | University of Arizona | Evidence for Target-market demand, Referral ecosystem, Labor and staffing friction, Sales and customer acquisition | [12] |
| Selected Tucson MSA nonfarm employment sectors in June 2026 preliminary data | professional and business services: 48,500; education and health services: 74,900; government: 71,700jobs | Labor force through May 2026 and nonfarm employment through June 2026 preliminary | Tucson, AZ MSA | Evidence for Target-market demand, Referral ecosystem, Labor and staffing friction | [11] |
| Tucson industrial market conditions in Q2 2026 | vacancy rate percent: 9; availability rate percent: 10.7; cumulative net absorption q3 2025 to q2 2026 sqft: -557,000; q2 2026 net absorption sqft: 49,000; average asking rent reported usd per sqft: 0.83; under construction sqft: 315,000mixed market metrics | Q2 2026 | Tucson industrial market | Evidence for Real estate and site feasibility, Territory quality | [15] |
| Tucson office market conditions in Q2 2026 | vacancy rate percent: 13.9; availability rate percent: 14.6; q2 2026 net absorption sqft: 164,000; average asking rent usd per sqft: 22.24mixed market metrics | Q2 2026 | Tucson office market | Evidence for Real estate and site feasibility, Target-market demand, Territory quality | [16] |
| I-10 Kino to Country Club reconstruction and widening is under construction with completion scheduled for summer 2028 | status: under construction; project value usd: 600,000,000; scheduled completion: summer 2028project status | Active construction; scheduled completion summer 2028 | I-10 southeast of downtown Tucson, Kino/Park through Country Club/Alvernon project area | Evidence for Transportation, routing, and parking, Territory quality | [17] [18] |
| Permanent building and freestanding signs require City review/permits under Article 7A, with current Sign Standards amendment scheduled to terminate August 31, 2026 unless reauthorized | permanent sign permit required: yes; article: UDC Section 7A; current amending ordinance: 11803; scheduled termination date: 2026-08-31regulatory status | Current permit and Article 7A guidance accessed August 2026 | City of Tucson | Evidence for Regulatory and operating friction, Sales and customer acquisition | [19] [20] [21] |
| Planning and Development Services fee changes effective July 1, 2026 | most nonvaluation permits increase percent: 5; sign permits increase percent: 10; rezoning entitlement increase percent: 10; special approvals increase percent: 25; code enforcement reinspection fee usd: 200mixed fee changes | Fees effective July 1, 2026 | City of Tucson | Evidence for Regulatory and operating friction, Real estate and site feasibility | [22] |
| City development impact fees apply to new development and can also apply to expansion or changes in use that increase service need | new development: yes; expansion if higher service need: yes; change in use if higher service need: yes; amount depends on: service area, use, sizeapplicability rule | Current program guidance accessed August 2026 | City of Tucson development impact fee service areas | Evidence for Regulatory and operating friction, Real estate and site feasibility | [23] |
| Pima County roadway development impact fee for attached residential, multifamily, or apartments | 5,127usd per unit | Rates effective October 1, 2025 through September 30, 2026 | Applicable Pima County roadway development impact fee service areas; not a City of Tucson fee amount | Evidence for Territory quality, Regulatory and operating friction | [24] |
| University of Arizona procurement uses informal competition from $25,000 to $100,000 and formal sealed RFP/RFB processes at $100,000 and over | no competitive bid general rule below usd: 25,000; informal competition range usd: 25,000, 100,000; formal sealed process minimum usd: 100,000; small business restriction up to usd: 100,000procurement thresholds | Current procurement guidance accessed August 2026 | University of Arizona | Evidence for Sales and customer acquisition, Referral ecosystem | [13] |
| City formal solicitation responses are submitted electronically through the City e-procurement portal | vendor registration required for portal use: yes; formal solicitation responses electronic: yes; centralized bid opportunities: yesprocurement process flags | Current procurement process accessed August 2026 | City of Tucson | Evidence for Sales and customer acquisition, Referral ecosystem | [14] |
| City of Tucson declined to move forward with the proposed Project Blue data center proposal on August 6, 2025 | project blue city proposal status: declined; decision date: 2025-08-06; new large scale data center rules adopted: 2026-08-05; new rules effective date: 2026-09-04regulatory project status | Mayor and Council action August 5, 2026; new regulations effective September 4, 2026; Project Blue proposal declined August 6, 2025 | City of Tucson | Evidence for Labor and staffing friction, Regulatory and operating friction | [25] |
How to use the ranking
What the model can and cannot establish
- Scores measure local operating alignment, not expected financial performance or franchise-system quality.
- Citywide evidence may not describe the exact site or territory ultimately offered.
- Conditional effects are shown for diligence but do not change the published score until their applicability is established.
Methodology
How the local-alignment ranking is calculated
Measure the city
Collect reusable local metrics with source, period, geography, and confidence fields.
Profile each operating model
Map each franchise to controlled operating attributes and local sensitivities.
Apply scoreable effects
Score only effects that apply without an unresolved site, territory, customer, or project gate.
Preserve conditional effects
Keep location- or territory-dependent issues visible for diligence without automatically changing the score.
Test rank sensitivity
Remove one factor at a time from every concept and rerank using full-precision scores.
Generate public output
Create the ranking, factor-status ledger, visuals, metric registry, and automated quality report from the same data.
Why every concept begins at 70.0
70.0 is a neutral display baseline shared by every concept. Local conditions can move a score by no more than 18.0 points in either direction under the current model. It is not a percentage, probability, or estimate of investment quality.
Precision and materiality
Calculations use full-precision values. Published scores and factor contributions display one decimal place, while ranks use full precision. Effects smaller than 0.1 points are identified as below the publication threshold rather than presented as a meaningful zero.
Score tiers
How factor rows are classified
“Best” means the strongest modeled local operating alignment among the franchise concepts assessed on this page.
Model governance
How this report is calculated and corrected
Calculation controls
- Model designer
- Thomas Jepsen
No concept’s final score is manually raised or lowered after calculation. Before this template is activated, the report is reviewed for source scope, classification, arithmetic, unsupported claims, duplication, and readability.
Model history
- Model 0.9.0-calibration · August 7, 2026Added conditional scoring gates, factor-status transparency, rank-sensitivity testing, metric registry output, and factor-impact visualization data.
Corrections policy
Corrected source, geography, or operating-profile evidence triggers a full compiler rerun so every dependent score and visual is recalculated.
Source registry
Evidence represented in this report
Each source identifies its period, scope, and the local metrics it supports. Internal or supplied research is not presented as independently accessible evidence.
- 1Structural Inefficiencies and Asymmetric Franchise Opportunities in Tier-1 U.S. MarketsInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 2Forensic Audit of Municipal Structural Constraints: Cross-Jurisdictional Barrier AnalysisInternal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
Used for: City of Tucson minimum wage effective for 2026
- 3Franchise data - remake - Combine2Internal or supplied research; not publicly accessible.
- 4QuickFacts: Tucson city, Arizona
Used for: Resident population estimate on July 1, 2025, Population change from the April 2020 estimate base to July 2025, Households in the 2020-2024 QuickFacts reference period, Owner-occupied housing unit rate, and All employer firms in the QuickFacts business reference year
- 5Selected Housing Characteristics, ACS 5-Year Estimates Data Profiles, Table DP04
Used for: Total housing units in the 2024 ACS 5-year housing profile
- 6
- 7Hard Water
Used for: Tucson Water reports hard-water mineral buildup that can shorten appliance life and clog pipes
- 8Home Treatment
Used for: Tucson Water reports hard-water mineral buildup that can shorten appliance life and clog pipes
- 9Tucson Minimum Wage Act
Used for: City of Tucson minimum wage effective for 2026
- 10Occupational Employment and Wages in Tucson — May 2025
Used for: Mean hourly wage for all occupations in the Tucson MSA versus the United States and Selected major occupational-group mean hourly wages in the Tucson MSA versus U.S. averages
- 11Tucson, AZ Economy at a Glance
Used for: Tucson MSA unemployment rate in May 2026 preliminary data and Selected Tucson MSA nonfarm employment sectors in June 2026 preliminary data
- 12University Facts
Used for: University of Arizona total Fall 2025 enrollment and University of Arizona employees including graduate assistants
- 13Vendor Relations
Used for: University of Arizona procurement uses informal competition from $25,000 to $100,000 and formal sealed RFP/RFB processes at $100,000 and over
- 14Browse Bid Opportunities
Used for: City formal solicitation responses are submitted electronically through the City e-procurement portal
- 15Tucson Industrial Figures Q2 2026
Used for: Tucson industrial market conditions in Q2 2026
- 16Tucson Office Figures Q2 2026
Used for: Tucson office market conditions in Q2 2026
- 17Interstate 10: Kino to Country Club Project
Used for: I-10 Kino to Country Club reconstruction and widening is under construction with completion scheduled for summer 2028
- 18Motorists to begin using new segment of I-10 in Tucson this weekend
Used for: I-10 Kino to Country Club reconstruction and widening is under construction with completion scheduled for summer 2028
- 19Sign Permits
Used for: Permanent building and freestanding signs require City review/permits under Article 7A, with current Sign Standards amendment scheduled to terminate August 31, 2026 unless reauthorized
- 20Zoning Code
Used for: Permanent building and freestanding signs require City review/permits under Article 7A, with current Sign Standards amendment scheduled to terminate August 31, 2026 unless reauthorized
- 21CODE Tucson ’26 (Community Ordinances & Development Enhancements)
Used for: Permanent building and freestanding signs require City review/permits under Article 7A, with current Sign Standards amendment scheduled to terminate August 31, 2026 unless reauthorized
- 22Rate and Fee Changes Approved by Mayor and Council, Effective July 1
Used for: Planning and Development Services fee changes effective July 1, 2026
- 23Development Impact Fees
Used for: City development impact fees apply to new development and can also apply to expansion or changes in use that increase service need
- 24Current Rates — Roadway Development Impact Fee
Used for: Pima County roadway development impact fee for attached residential, multifamily, or apartments
- 25Regulations for Large-Scale Data Centers
Used for: City of Tucson declined to move forward with the proposed Project Blue data center proposal on August 6, 2025
Before contacting a franchisor
Complete the next layer of due diligence
- Confirm the exact protected territory and neighboring units.
- Review the current Franchise Disclosure Document.
- Validate local staffing, licensing, insurance, and service-base assumptions.
- Obtain location, vehicle, buildout, or working-capital estimates.
- Speak with current and former franchisees.
- Build a candidate-specific financial scenario.
Apply the analysis to your situation
Review how these market findings apply to your budget, role, and proposed territory.
The city score does not include your experience, capital structure, time commitment, financing, or exact territory.
